Second, without precluding impeachment for this or other conduct, the House should pass a resolution condemning the welcoming of interference, reaffirming the obligation to report such conduct, explaining the necessity of protecting the American people’s right to pick their own leaders (can you believe such a statement is needed?) and setting forth the danger of such influence-peddling schemes that reduce anyone stupid enough to take such a meeting as a pawn of a foreign action. Again, let’s see which Republicans vote against it and on what grounds Senate Republicans object to the most basic reaffirmation of our democratic system.

Source Article from https://www.sltrib.com/opinion/commentary/2019/06/14/jennifer-rubin-what-do/

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var r=n(24),i=n(138),o=n(69),a=n(49)(“IE_PROTO”),u=function(){},s=”prototype”,c=function(){var t,e=n(53)(“iframe”),r=o.length;for(e.style.display=”none”,n(141).appendChild(e),e.src=”javascript:”,(t=e.contentWindow.document).open(),t.write(“

Source Article from https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/06/nyt-washington-attacks-russian-electrical-grid-cyber-malware.html

Trump or bust: President warns of market crash ‘the likes of which has not been seen’ if he is not re-elected in 2020

  • Trump issued the dire warning in a tweet on Saturday on the way to golf course
  • Said he has overseen a record-breaking economy that Dems can’t maintain
  • Trump’s re-election campaign officially launches with Orlando rally Tuesday 

President Donald Trump has said that failure to re-elect him would result in economic disaster. 

‘The Trump Economy is setting records, and has a long way up to go….However, if anyone but me takes over in 2020 (I know the competition very well), there will be a Market Crash the likes of which has not been seen before! KEEP AMERICA GREAT,’ he said in a tweet on Saturday morning.

The tweet was sent as his motorcade rolled from the White House to Trump National Golf Course in Sterling, Virginia. 

Trump officially starts his 2020 campaign on Tuesday with a rally in Orlando, Florida

Trump, seen earlier this week, tweeted on Saturday that the economy would crash if he is not re-elected as president in 2020 

He appeared to be gearing up for full campaign mode, testing a message that will highlight economic growth and low unemployment under his administration. 

‘Despite the Greatest Presidential Harassment of all time by people that are very dishonest and want to destroy our Country, we are doing great in the Polls, even better than in 2016,’ he said in another tweet.

Trump added: ‘will be packed at the Tuesday Announcement Rally in Orlando, Florida.’

Trump has claimed several times this year – and as recently as Friday – that the U.S. stock market would be 5,000 to 10,000 points higher if the Federal Reserve hadn’t raised interest rates four times in 2018. 

In January he suggested that impeachment would result in a stock market crash.

The S&P 500 index made a record high in early May before slipping over concern about Trump’s trade war with China. 

The Dow Jones last peaked more than eight months ago, on October 3.  

The comments below have not been moderated.

The views expressed in the contents above are those of our users and do not necessarily reflect the views of MailOnline.

Source Article from https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7145429/Trump-warns-market-crash-not-elected-2020.html

NORTH CHARLESTON, S.C. — Beto O’Rourke said black Americans need to be shielded from their own country.

Appearing before a gathering of 10 black community leaders and activists at Park Circle Creamery, the 2020 presidential candidate addressed the lack of trust in the law enforcement community that has arisen from incidents of police brutality.

“I don’t know the right word to describe what we need to do as a country, but it’s not just leveling the playing field. It is protecting people from their country and those who hold positions of trust, including in law enforcement right now,” the former Texas congressman told the group. “And it’s protecting from a criminal justice system, it’s protecting from a kindergarten classroom, it’s also protecting from who’s polluting the air that we breathe and the water we drink,” he said, making an apparent reference to the 2012 Sandy Hook Elementary School shooting.

O’Rourke is participating in a 10-stop, three-day swing of South Carolina, an early-voting state where candidates are investing time and resources courting the black vote. His remarks were made in response to a question probing the contender for his “opinion on what black people can do as individuals or as a collective in order to catch up.”

“We have these very specific proposals about ensuring there’s more capital in the community, capital in society, making sure everyone has access to it,” O’Rourke said. “I understand that it’s much larger than any given policy proposal or any part of the system because it is systemic. And I will in all humility admit I don’t have the answer.”

Earlier Charleston’s Jerez Mitchell, 32, and Columbia’s Warrenetta Mann, 52, told the ex-congressman about their nonprofit organization, Cuts and Conversations, founded to boost black male college and university retention rates, including by creating open, nonjudgmental spaces for them to talk about their different experiences.

O’Rourke is one of a few White House hopefuls visiting the greater Charleston area this weekend to address Saturday’s Black Economic Alliance Presidential Forum. Sens. Cory Booker of New Jersey and Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts are also in town to attend the business leaders coalition’s inaugural presidential event, where they were asked to speak to how they would provide more black economic opportunities.

O’Rourke ranks sixth, with 3.5% support, in the latest RealClearPolitics average of polls for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.

Source Article from https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/beto-orourke-to-black-leaders-we-need-to-protect-people-from-their-country

United States President Donald Trump on Saturday warned without evidence of a massive market crash if he’s not re-elected in 2020.

“The Trump Economy is setting records, and has a long way up to go,” he said. “However, if anyone but me takes over in 2020 (I know the competition very well), there will be a Market Crash the likes of which has not been seen before! KEEP AMERICA GREAT).”

Twitter

The stock market, a close but far from perfect measure for some aspects of the economy’s health, are indeed up about 27% since the President’s inauguration on January 20, 2017, but those gains have been mired by massive sell offs sparked by trade war fears amid tariff fights with China, Mexico, and other countries.

Read more: Keep track of how the stock market, the US economy and other key financial indicators are performing since the inauguration of President Donald J. Trump.

Leading economists, meanwhile, are warning more trade disputes could unfurl economic gains from even before Trump’s election. But even professionals struggle to forecast when — and why — economic recessions occur.

“The trade war has so far offset all benefits of fiscal stimulus and, if continued, may lead to global recession,” Marko Kolanovic, JPMorgan’s global head of quantitative and derivatives strategy, said on Thursday.

“If this recession materializes, historians might call it the ‘Trump recession’ given that it would be largely caused by the trade war initiative.”

Read more: Beware a ‘Trump recession’: JPMorgan unloads on the president’s role in erasing a full year of market progress — and lays out a scenario that could save the day

Beyond Wall Street, businesses are worried too. On Thursday, 600 companies sent a joint letter to Trump saying that broader tariffs on China would hurt workers and consumers.

Consumers share their fears too.

A closely-watched gauge of consumer sentiment fell to 97.9 at the beginning of the month from 100 in May, the University of Michigan’s consumer survey indicated Friday, compared with expectations for a reading of 99.

“Consumers responded by lowering growth prospects for the national economy, and as a consequence, reduced the expected gains in employment,” Richard Curtin, the survey’s chief economist, said of tariffs.

Saturday’s warning is far from the first time Trump has attempted to forecast an economic downturn in the event he loses the presidency.

In August 2018, he told Bloomberg News: “If I ever got impeached, I think the market would crash. I think everybody would be very poor. Because without this thinking you would see numbers that you wouldn’t believe, in reverse.”

Source Article from https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-warns-market-crash-if-not-re-elected-2020-trade-war-wages-on-2019-6

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When Hong Kong was returned to Chinese control in 1997, Beijing solemnly vowed that economic and political rights in the formerly British-ruled enclave would remain inviolate until at least 2047. In a legally binding Joint Declaration, it stipulated that freedom “of speech, of the press, of assembly, of association, of travel, of movement, of correspondence, of strike, of choice of occupation, of academic research, and of religious belief” would “remain unchanged for 50 years.” That was the much-ballyhooed “one country, two systems” principle — the face-saving pretext on which Britain relied to justify putting millions of people under the sovereignty of a brutal tyranny.

But China, like all communist tyrannies, regards freedom of thought, political openness, and liberal norms as dangerous contagions. It never had any intention of preserving and protecting Hong Kong’s civil liberties. In recent years, notwithstanding the guarantees in the Joint Declaration, Beijing has “jailed activists, used the courts to disqualify democratically elected opposition lawmakers, expelled a foreign journalist, and banned a political party that advocated Hong Kong independence,” to quote a Wall Street Journal summary of developments in the city.

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“One country, two systems” was always a dishonorable delusion. Britain’s surrender of Hong Kong was a shameful betrayal, as anyone should have seen at the time. But Western governments and corporations, in their ravenous hunger for access to the Chinese market, consistently turned a blind eye to Beijing’s repression, bad faith, and flouting of international standards. China, in turn, drew the logical conclusion — that it need not even pretend to uphold its commitment to Hong Kong’s freedoms. So it hasn’t: In 2017, the Chinese foreign ministry sneeringly declared the joint declaration “no longer has any practical significance.”

The enormous outcry against the extradition bill comes just days after the world marked the 30th anniversary of the Tiananmen Square massacre. Yet when it comes to human rights and the strangling of pro-democracy activism, nothing about China has changed since that bloody atrocity. Since 1989, the country has grown richer and stronger, but the regime is every bit as ruthless in its demand for absolute political power — and just as prepared to crush anyone who resists its grip.

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Is it any wonder that residents of Hong Kong have reacted with such rage and fear, and in such immense numbers, to a proposal that would put their necks within the Communist Party’s grip? They know only too well what Beijing is capable of: A million ethnic Uighurs packed into concentration camps. The forced harvesting of vital organs from prisoners of conscience. Endless cruelty and oppression in Tibet. The persecution unto death of even a Nobel peace laureate. A vast, asphyxiating machinery of online censorship. Institutionalized torture and slave labor. The utter denial of all political rights.

But Hong Kong’s people are on their own. The Western democracies will do nothing to help them. For decades, the political and economic leaders of the free world have generally averted their gaze from China’s depredations, preferring to cooperate with Beijing’s barbarism rather than to challenge it. That has been true especially of American presidents, as Democrats and Republicans alike have refused to pressure Beijing over its grisly human-rights crimes.

After the Tiananmen massacre, George H. W. Bush secretly dispatched two top aides to assure Deng Xiaoping that business could proceed as usual. Though Bill Clinton condemned Bush for “coddling dictators,” once in office he hailed China as a “strategic partner,” and announced that human rights would be “de-linked” from trade. Chinese dissidents pleaded with Barack Obama to speak out against Xi Jinping’s pitiless crackdown on dissenters, but the Obama administration had other priorities. And while Donald Trump has enthusiastically gone after China on trade, he has shown no more interest than his predecessors in the Chinese government’s repression of Chinese citizens.

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Asked on Wednesday about the turmoil in Hong Kong, President Trump said merely that he was “sure they will be able to work it out.” That was another way of assuring Beijing there will be no pushback from Washington. A million protesters cry out in desperation, but the world isn’t listening. Hong Kong is still free, but probably not for long.


Jeff Jacoby can be reached at jacoby@globe.com. Follow him on Twitter @jeff_jacoby.

Source Article from https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2019/06/14/hong-kong-being-strangled-and-free-world-just-watches/eA3Kw3O3uVDGpB8brmkdZK/story.html

Iran fired a missile – but missed – at an American drone on Thursday after the supposed Iranian attack on oil tankers, while another U.S. drone was shot down by Iran-backed rebels in Yemen in recent days.

A senior U.S. official told Fox News that an MQ9 Reaper drone was fired on by the Iranians on Thursday shortly after it arrived at the scene where the MV Altair tanker sent out a distress signal amid the attacks the U.S. says were perpetrated by Iran.

REP. DAN CRENSHAW DINGS EX-OBAMA AIDE BEN RHODES FOR DOUBTING US LINK OF IRAN TO TANKER ATTACK

The official said the first distress call from the MV Altair tanker, a Marshall Islands-flagged but Norwegian-owned crude oil tanker, went out at 6:12am local time. The unmanned MQ9 Reaper drone arrived 8 minutes later.

Then at 6:45am local time, a missile was fired at the drone, but missed. The U.S. military said that it was a modified SA-7 fired from Iran’s mainland. It was fired on after the drone arrived on station to assist the Norwegian tanker.

Officials also told Fox News that a U.S. MQ9 drone was shot down in Yemen by Iranian-backed Houthi rebels in recent days.

The news comes amid tensions in the region following the attack on oil tankers that put the U.S. and Iran on the brink of a direct conflict.

EUROPEANS SKEPTICAL OF TRUMP’S CLAIM THAT IRAN TO BLAME IN TANKER ATTACK

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has blamed Iran for the “blatant assault” on oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman earlier Thursday.

In a news conference, Pompeo said: “This assessment is based on intelligence, the weapons used, the level of expertise needed to execute the operation, recent similar Iranian attacks on shipping, and the fact that no proxy group operating in the area has the resources and proficiency to act with such a high degree of sophistication.”

He charged that Iran was working to disrupt the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz and this is a deliberate part of a campaign to escalate tension, adding that the U.S. would defend its forces and interests in the region, although he did not elaborate.

President Trump, meanwhile, told “Fox and Friends” Friday morning that the attack had “Iran written all over it.’

FEARS US WEAPONS ARE FALLING INTO THE ‘WRONG HANDS’ DURING CHAOTIC YEMENI WAR

“[Iran is] a nation of terror and they’ve changed a lot since I’ve been president, I can tell you,” he added.

— President Trump

“Iran did do it and you know they did it because you saw the boat,” he said, before pointing to the video showing the Iranians removing the unexploded mine. “They’re a nation of terror and they’ve changed a lot since I’ve been president, I can tell you,” he added.

CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP

U.S. officials released a video Friday supposedly showing Iran’s Revolutionary Guard removing an unexploded limpet mine from one of the vessels.

The black-and-white footage, as well as still photos released by the U.S. military’s Central Command on Friday, appeared to show the limpet mine on the Japanese-owned Kokuka Courageous, before a Revolutionary Guard patrol boat pulled alongside the ship and removed the mine, Central Command spokesman Capt. Bill Urban said.

Fox News’ Jennifer Griffin contributed to this report.

Source Article from https://www.foxnews.com/world/iran-shoot-us-reaper-drone-oil-tanker-scene

The FBI had to wiretap mafia bosses like John Gotti and Vincent “The Chin” Gigante to catch them breaking the law. All they had to do to catch Donald Trump on Wednesday night was turn on ABC News. Trump proceeded to commit multiple felonies out in the open on national television when he told George Stephanopoulos he would be happy to accept dirt on his opponent from foreign governments in his 2020 re-election campaign.

“Somebody comes up and says, ‘hey, I have information on your opponent,’ do you call the FBI?” Trump asked rhetorically. “It’s not an interference, they have information — I think I’d take it,” Trump said. “I’ll tell you what, I’ve seen a lot of things over my life. I don’t think in my whole life I’ve ever called the FBI. In my whole life. You don’t call the FBI. You throw somebody out of your office, you do whatever you do.” He paused for a moment. “Oh, give me a break — life doesn’t work that way.”

He looked like he’d been gobbling Adderall. His pupils were pinned, and he kept doing that thing with his hands, holding them in front of himself and moving them apart and then together impatiently, talking to Stephanopoulos like he was a school child just learning about politics rather than the seasoned operative he is (Stephanopoulos was one of the architects of the Bill Clinton campaign when he won the presidency in 1992 and has covered political campaigns as a reporter and news anchor in the decades since then).

But perhaps Trump was right. Maybe Stephanopoulos needs a good talking to from the Capo du tutti capo on Pennsylvania Avenue. Doesn’t George get it that politics in the age of Trump is a criminal enterprise, that politicians are no different from gangsters? They don’t go to the FBI and turn each other in. They don’t report crimes. They commit them, and they keep their mouths shut. My buddy’s having sex with underage girls? Call the FBI? Are you kidding?

Trump acted like a bank robber who walked up to a cop standing in front of the bank and said, “hey, man, I’m going in there in a minute, and I’m going to rob that bank, and what are you going to do about it?” We got our answer from Republicans the next day. Nothing. Zip. He’s going to rob that bank? We’re cool with that. By the way, we’ll be happy to pick up any bills he drops on the way out.

Stephanopoulos looked like Lester Holt the day Trump told him on TV that he fired Comey because of “the Russia thing.” He knew he was onto a big story, so he pressed him. “You want that kind of interference in our elections? he asked, fishing. Trump allowed that he might call the FBI “if I thought there was something wrong,” but he doesn’t think there’s anything wrong with accepting campaign help from the Russians or anybody else. He has admitted he didn’t think there was anything wrong with seeking Russian help when he begged them during the 2016 campaign, “Russia, if you’re listening,” and urged them to find Hillary Clinton’s missing emails. That’s what he does. That’s who he is.

The only thing that’s new is that Trump has dropped any pretense he’s going to follow the law. He doesn’t care what the law is. When Stephanopoulos reminded him that Christopher Wray, the Director of the FBI, had testified to Congress that any campaign receiving a solicitation from a foreign government should report that fact to the FBI, Trump told him, “The FBI director is wrong.”

Trump just warned the chief law enforcement officer of the land that if he does his job, he’ll be fired. This should come as no big news to Wray, however. He watched it happen to former FBI director James Comey. He watched it happen to former deputy FBI director Andrew McCabe. Trump treats law enforcement officials like subcontractors on one of his buildings. Stiff the stupid fucker, and if he comes back at you, fire him. And if he doesn’t like that, sue him.

Trump just put up a banner outside the White House telling autocrats around the world that he’s open for business. You want a few F-22’s over there in Poland or the Czech Republic? Bring me some crap on Biden, or Bernie, or Warren! You want to get that oil flowing out of the ground up there above the Arctic Circle, Putin my pal? Get those damn hackers clacking those keyboards! Hey, MBS! You want some more smart bombs to drop on goat herders over there in Yemen? How about putting some bucks in my buildings!

Are the Democrats up for this kind of open-field thievery and in-your-face treachery? Is anybody? One of the anchors on MSNBC asked Frank Figliuzzi, the former FBI assistant director for counterintelligence, what FBI Director Wray should do now that Trump has pointed to the corner and told him to go sit down and keep his mouth shut. Get this: Figliuzzi said Wray should write a memo telling the most important law enforcement agency in the land to keep their heads down and do their jobs.

Trump could have the White House painted high gloss black and order the Treasury Department to deliver pallets of hundred dollar bills to the front door, and the Democrats would accuse him of a cover-up and order another hearing.

Pelosi had a chance on Thursday at her weekly press conference to tell the world that Trump is an out and out felon, and we’re going to impeach him starting today. Instead, she called Mitch McConnell the Grim Reaper and put up a poster showing a cemetery filled with the headstones of the bills he hasn’t passed.

The next time Trump has Stephanopoulos over to the Oval Office for a lecture on the Way the World Works, he’s going to call off the election, turn to the camera and say, now what are you going to do?

Impeach him? Is it even a question anymore? If not now, when?

Source Article from https://www.salon.com/2019/06/15/trump-isnt-a-president-hes-a-gangster/

President Donald Trump is gearing up for a big announcement of his 2020 election campaign on Tuesday in Florida. But he’s warming up in the bullpen via Twitter to fire up his base in advance of the official announcement.

As news reports circulate that the President is honing in on potential Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren after knocking around Joe Biden, the Commander-in-Tweet is leaning on the strong economy in his messaging.

In a line reminiscent of New York Times columnist Paul Krugman’s prediction about the market’s direction in the wake of Trump’s 2016 victory (a prediction which ultimately proved totally wrong), the President noted that Democrats carry the same potential if they supplant him.

“The Trump Economy is setting records, and has a long way up to go…However, if anyone but me takes over in 2020 (I know the competition very well), there will be a Market Crash the likes of which has not been seen before!”

We’ll update as more rolls in today. The tweetstorm so far:

Source Article from https://deadline.com/2019/06/president-donald-trump-tweetstorm-the-saturday-edition-32-1202633172/

Chat with us in Facebook Messenger. Find out what’s happening in the world as it unfolds.

Source Article from https://www.cnn.com/2019/06/15/asia/hong-kong-extradition-law-china-intl-hnk/index.html

If you lived in Sudan, you wouldn’t be able to read this.

The country is under a “near total” internet blackout now as its military government attempts to quell protests that have been rumbling since December. The country’s longtime dictator Omar al-Bashir was forced out in April, but Sudan has struggled to gain stability in the time since. Recently, things got violent.

Celebrities and citizens have been turning their social media profiles #BlueForSudan, as the military crackdown that reportedly left 100 people dead has received little media coverage.

Protesters in Sudan may not be able to check social media, but people in the U.S. are trying to make sure their voices get heard. Musicians such as Demi Lovato, Cardi B, and J. Cole all added blue to their social media profiles, and Brooklyn-based beauty blogger Shahd Khidir explained why.

“There’s a massacre happening in my country Sudan’s and a media blackout and internet censorship for four consecutive days,” she wrote. “My friend @mattar77 was MURDERED by the Rapid Support Forces. My best friend was in hiding on June 2 and that’s the last time I spoke to him.”

Fast Company reports that the color blue “was chosen by friends of 26-year-old Mohamed Mattar, who was killed during an attack by security forces in Sudan at the beginning of June. Blue was his favorite color.”

The massacre in Sudan has received little media coverage, especially, some noted, compared to the burning of Notre Dame Cathedral, an iconic landmark in Paris to which many people felt connected.

Yet the toll on Sudan is heavy — at least 60 dead by the mlitary government’s reckoning, and at 118 according to groups linked to the protesters, according to the Washington Post.

Changing social media profiles may not do much, but when the news is filled with political drama and events that we, as Americans, readily understand, it’s worth doing something to make more people aware.

This isn’t the first time a moment from Sudan has run through social media. A powerful photo of a woman standing up among protesters went viral in April, and photos like this, as well as viral social media campaigns, can help people have a little more empathy for something they’d otherwise have known nothing about.

“She was trying to give everyone hope and positive energy and she did it,” Lana Haroun, who took the photo, told CNN. “She was representing all Sudanese women and girls and she inspired every woman and girl at the sit-in. She was telling the story of Sudanese women. … She was perfect.”

Source Article from https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/when-america-heard-sudan-why-people-are-turning-their-social-media-profiles-blue

Arkansas authorities have arrested a woman in connection with the murder of former state Sen. Linda Collins-Smith (R), State Police and Randolph County Sheriff’s deputies announced Friday.

Special agents have taken Rebecca Lynn O’Donnell, 48, into custody and criminal charges against her are pending, police said in a statement.

Police said the investigation is currently at a “critical juncture,” and they are not releasing any further information to maintain the case’s integrity.

Collins-Smith, 57, was reportedly found in her Pocahontas, Ark., home with a gunshot wound on June 4. It wasn’t clear how long she had been dead when her body was found, but she was said to be wrapped in some kind of blanket and her body had begun to decompose.

Collins-Smith served in the state House of Representatives from 2011 to 2013. When she was first elected, she identified as a Democrat but switched to the Republican Party during her first term.

After that, she represented District 19 in the Arkansas state Senate but lost her reelection bid in 2018.

The former Arkansas legislator was one of two state lawmakers two be found dead within a week. Police found Oklahoma state Sen. Jonathan Nichols (R) fatally shot after responding to reports of gunfire.

Source Article from https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/448703-arkansas-authorities-arrest-woman-in-killing-of-former-state-senator

It’s clear that President Trump had good reason to send the aircraft carrier USS Lincoln, flanked by destroyers and cruisers, to the Persian Gulf to protect shipping lanes from Iranian aggression. Then again, if American military power is merely political performance art, rather than a tool of genuine deterrence, what’s the point?

Even as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was in Tehran trying to calm tensions between the United States and the Islamic Republic, the Iranians were carrying out a sophisticated attack on the Japanese-owned tanker Kokuka Courageous. The message was explicit: If the United States doesn’t drop its sanctions, Iran will disrupt oil shipments and threaten the world’s economy.

The Trump administration, quick to blame the Islamic Republic for the attacks, has produced a video and photos of an Iranian navy boat removing evidence of an unexploded mine attached to the hull of the Japanese-owned oil tanker. None of which stopped Obama-era echo-chamberists like Ben Rhodes from calling for international investigations into the matter, intimating that the attacks might be a “false flag” operation by some other nation.

Why would the Iranians do something so foolish, they ask? It doesn’t make sense.

Well, it’s simple, really. First, this is the brand of terrorism that Iran — either directly or through its numerous proxies — has employed, without any real repercussions, for the past 40 years. Last year, the Revolutionary Guard commander, Ismail Kowsari, in fact, explicitly promised his forces would ignite havoc in the Gulf if the United States sanctioned Iranian oil sales.

The Strait of Hormuz, which connects the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea, sees around 30%  of the world’s crude oil and natural gas sail through it. Once the extremist mullahs of Iran are in possession of nuclear weapons, the world’s economy will be their hostage.

Then again, the Iranians — not only responsible for the deaths of hundreds of American servicemen but a player in nearly every destructive conflict in the Middle East today — already act with impunity.

The attacks on shipping are meant to spike oil prices to damage the world economy and undermine Trump’s maximum-pressure campaign. An added bonus, of course, is that a campaign may undercut Trump’s electoral chances in 2020 and bring someone into the White House who would almost certainly reenter the Obama-era nuke deal with Iran and allow it a wide berth to destabilize the region.

Perhaps Iranian leadership has been emboldened after listening to former Obama administration officials like John Kerry tell them to wait out the president.

Yet despite domestic scaremongering about the prospects of “stumbling into war” with Iran, no one wants all-out conflict, especially not the mullahs. They would be devastated in such a clash. The Iranians, running a war of attrition, seem to be calibrating their attacks to inflict as much damage as possible without sparking a retaliatory strike by Trump, who has been reticent to engage militarily.

The administration shouldn’t allow the mistakes of the Iraq invasion, and subsequent attempts at social-engineering democracy, to handcuff the United States from using force if needed. Deterrence in the Gulf doesn’t work if everyone knows we won’t react.

In the end, whether we have an appetite for such a confrontation or not, something has to be done about the Islamist state’s obsession with attaining nuclear weapons. “You should know that if we planned to produce nuclear weapons,” Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said just this week, “America could not do anything.”

Perhaps not. Yet these attacks are likely proof that Trump’s sanctions agenda is working.

The Iranian economy is in shambles. The Revolutionary Guard’s terrorist proxy armies have been financially squeezed. The mullahs are lashing out. We can do something now by exerting maximum economic pressure, or we can delay a confrontation, as the Iran deal did, to a time when we are in a weaker position.

While Secretary of State Mike Pompeo says the US will “stand with its partners and allies to safeguard global commerce and regional stability,” Iran’s mullahs, obviously, are betting we won’t. Let’s hope Trump & Co. prove them wrong.

Twitter: @DavidHarsanyi

Source Article from https://nypost.com/2019/06/14/how-to-answer-irans-deadly-gulf-games/

HONG KONG — Hong Kong’s Chief Executive Carrie Lam on Saturday announced the government would suspend debate on a controversial extradition bill that had prompted massive protests in the former British colony.

“We decided that it was important to return society to peace,” Lam told reporters, referring to the huge demonstrations.

Hong Kong’s Chief Executive Carrie Lam speaks on Saturday.Kin Cheung / AP

The announcement represented a major victory for protesters in the semi-autonomous Chinese territory. Organizers have said they would not back down until the bill was withdrawn altogether, and on Saturday renewed calls for a planned march on Sunday.

The climb down followed formal warnings from U.S. and European officials, with international business and human rights groups saying the changes would hurt the rule of law in Hong Kong, which was handed back to Chinese rule in 1997 amid guarantees of autonomy.

Hong Kong enjoys greater freedoms than mainland China under a “one country, two systems” framework. Residents can freely surf the internet and participate in public protests, unlike in the mainland.

The measure was not definitively cancelled, however, and Lam did not say when debate would resume.

“The council will halt its work in relation to the bill until our work in communication, explanation and listening to opinions is completed,” she said, adding that the government also had other priorities, including an expected economic downturn.

The controversial bill had been introduced in response to a murder case in Taiwan where the suspect fled back to Hong Kong, revealing what Lam described as a “loophole in our regime with respect to mutual legal assistance on criminal matters.”

Lawmakers said it was designed to simplify case-by-case arrangements to allow extradition of wanted suspects to jurisdictions including mainland China, Macau and Taiwan.

But opponents said the bill would severely compromise their freedoms and erode Hong Kong’s legal independence, with fears over the fairness and transparency of the Chinese court system and worries over Chinese security forces contriving charges.

Lam has maintained the legislation was needed and would have safeguards to ensure human rights were protected.

Source Article from https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/hong-kong-extradition-bill-sparked-massive-protests-may-be-suspended-n1017861

“I think the government faces some tough choices,” Ms. Ip told reporters on Friday about the Legislative Council’s options for handling the bill. “If LegCo proceeds with second reading and debate, it could face large crowds and violent protests.”

“But on the other hand, if the government caves in to violence and external influencers, in the long run that would also make Hong Kong ungovernable,” she added.

To address concerns about the bill, officials in the Legislative Council have proposed more than 100 amendments. Now, many fear that the amount of time allocated for debating the bill — 61 hours — will not be enough. Some have called political foul play.

Others object to the length of time that the government allocated for public consultation on the bill before moving it to the legislature. The government set aside 20 days, but other bills, including ones that are far less contentious, routinely get a few months.

Lawyers have questioned the government’s sense of urgency in passing this bill, too. Mrs. Lam has said it would address a legal loophole urgently needed to ensure that a Hong Kong man accused of killing his girlfriend in Taiwan last year does not go free.

But officials in Taiwan have objected to the legislation and said they would not seek the man’s extradition if it passed. In its current form, the bill could undermine the sovereignty of Taiwan, which China regards as part of its territory.

Mr. Tien, the pro-Beijing lawmaker, said that he did not understand why Mrs. Lam remained “so adamant” about passing the bill given Taiwan’s opposition.

That opposition “would provide the basis for any leader to change their position,” he said. “There is nothing wrong with that. This is what I am imploring the chief executive to do.”

Source Article from https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/14/world/asia/hong-kong-protests-extradition-law.html

With the flurry of questions about Iran’s motives and the United States’ intelligence, even the president appeared to be treading carefully. While he said the United States would not allow Iran to shut down the Strait of Hormuz, a key transit point for oil shipments, Mr. Trump insisted he was not looking for war. He even reopened the door to some kind of engagement with the Iranian leadership.

“I’m ready when they are,” Mr. Trump said in a telephone interview on Friday with “Fox & Friends,” the Fox News morning program. “Whenever they’re ready, it’s O.K. In the meantime, I’m in no rush.”

Mr. Trump’s remarks were more cautious than those of Secretary of State Mike Pompeo a day earlier, and they captured a tension in the administration. The president has signaled a desire to reduce American involvement in wars and engage in diplomacy even as he has taken aggressive positions in confronting rivals like Iran. His more hard-line advisers, including Mr. Pompeo and the national security adviser, John R. Bolton, are pushing for the United States to tighten the pressure.

Iran accused the United States and its allies, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates, of seizing on the attacks to “sabotage diplomacy” as it waged economic warfare on the country. Iran’s foreign minister, Mohammed Javad Zarif, said on Friday on Twitter that the United States accused Iran without “a shred of factual or circumstantial evidence.”

American military and intelligence officials expressed a high level of confidence in Tehran’s involvement in the attacks. While the black-and-white video of a group of men on a boat pulling a mine off one of the tankers is the most public evidence, military and intelligence officials said that other streams of intelligence showed Iran’s intent to demonstrate control over the flow of oil from the Persian Gulf.

“There’s no one else in the region that really attacks ships in the water — it’s not an easy thing to do,” Vice Adm. Kevin M. Donegan, a former Fifth Fleet commander, said in a telephone interview.

Source Article from https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/14/us/politics/trump-iran-tanker-hormuz.html

Democrats should bring back the “kiddie table” debates.

On Friday, Democrats announced that after a random drawing, the 20 Democratic candidates participating in the first set of primary debates next week will be split into the following two groups:

What this means in practice is that the surging Massachussetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who has been threatening Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders’ grip on second place, will be stuck on stage with candidates in the low-single digits, while self-help author Marianne Williamson, who has barely registered in polls, gets to debate Sanders, Joe Biden, South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, and Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., — in other words, the other candidates with relatively decent polling. This is totally ridiculous.

During the 2016 nominating process, in response to a historically crowded field, Republicans decided to split their candidates up by their polling averages, creating a main event with the higher polling candidates, and an “undercard” debate with the ones with lower polling. The undercard debate was mocked mercilessly, and the DNC was determined to avoid the appearance of a “kiddie table” debacle lest they be accused of tipping the scales toward one candidate or against another, and so they decided to go with a random lottery system.

The DNC may want to avoid charges of rigging the system that plagued them in 2016, but at the end of the day, managing a field of over 20 candidates is going to always create problems and require certain arbitrary decisions. The criteria for qualifying for the debate, for instance, is already coming under criticism for denying a spot to Montana Gov. Steve Bullock.

For all its flaws, the “kiddie table” provided all candidates with the ability to be on a debate stage, but ensured that the leading candidates would be able to debate with each other.

Sure, one could argue that Warren could shine by essentially being the leader on her debate stage. But this isn’t about her campaign as much as it is to voters. And voters trying to decide between Warren and other candidates should get to see her on the same stage as those she’s realistically competing with.

Source Article from https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/bring-back-the-kiddie-table-debates