The investigation into what caused a Ukraine International Airlines jetliner to crash shortly after takeoff on Wednesday, killing all 176 passengers and crew members on board, faces complications amid tensions between the U.S. and Iran.

Determining what went wrong is critical to the maker of the 737-800 single-aisle jet, Boeing Co., which already is dealing with the grounding of its best-selling MAX fleet following two other fatal jet crashes.

Source Article from https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-iran-tensions-complicate-probe-into-crash-of-ukrainian-airline-11578529418

California Gov. Gavin Newsom is is planning to ask state lawmakers to approve more than $1 billion in additional aid to combat the state’s growing homelessness problem.

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California Gov. Gavin Newsom is is planning to ask state lawmakers to approve more than $1 billion in additional aid to combat the state’s growing homelessness problem.

Chris Carlson/AP

As the homelessness crisis in California grows more acute, Gov. Gavin Newsom is planning to ask lawmakers for $1.4 billion to pay monthly rents, build more shelters and provide treatment to those struggling with finding long-term housing, the governor’s office announced on Wednesday.

Newsom also signed an executive order directing agencies to locate public properties near state roads and highways that can be used for short-term emergency shelters. The order additionally calls for using 100 camping trailers for temporary housing and the development of a multi-agency “strike team” to help get people off the streets.

“Homelessness is a national crisis, one that’s spreading across the West Coast and cities across the country. The state of California is treating it as a real emergency – because it is one,” Newsom said in a statement, describing his budget proposal on homelessness a “massive infusion of state dollars.”

The ambitious plan comes in the context of a mounting homeless crisis in the state.

A report released Tuesday from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development issued a report underscored the depth of the homelessness problem in California, finding that more than a quarter of the nation’s homeless population resides in the state, totaling about 151,000 people.

The report noted that while homelessness declined in most states over the past year, it went in the opposite direction in California, where the homeless population jumped 16% in one year.

In a briefing with reporters, a HUD official said the response to homelessness in California is not at the scale of the problem.

“Affordable housing problems are a massive and overwhelming contributor,” said a top HUD official, speaking on background. “Certainly any efforts to make housing more affordable and to increase the supply of affordable housing and to increase development of housing. Those are all going to be important to turning the ship around and reducing homelessness.”

Trump’s feud with California officials over homeless problem

The briefing came as the Trump administration doubled down on criticism of state leaders in California for not adequately dealing with the state’s swelling homeless ranks.

President Trump has repeatedly attacked state lawmakers’ inability to curb the state’s homelessness problem, vowing to enlist the federal government to get involved if the crisis does not start turning the corner.

“It’s a shame. The world is looking at it,” said Trump in September of the state’s struggles with homelessness.

The White House has blamed the “overregulation of housing markets” on the country’s homelessness issues.

Last year, Trump sent a team of aides to California on a fact-finding mission on solutions to homelessness in the state. The administration is weighing a number of proposals, including moving those who do not have permanent, stable housing into refurbished federal facilities, but it is not clear how the idea would work in practice.

The Environmental Protection Agency, in October, issued a notice to San Francisco officials that they were violating the Clean Water Act for polluting ocean waters with homeless encampment drainage, an allegation one elected official in California called a “fraudulent political attack.”

A $1.4 billion plan to combat homelessness

Newsom is hopeful his proposal, expected to be sent to state lawmakers on Friday, will put a dent in rising homelessness in the country’s most populous state.

According to California officials, most of the money in Newsom’s plan, or about $750 million, would be placed in a special fund to pay the rent of individuals facing homelessness and to spur the building of affordable housing.

The money would be drawn from a one-time fund of surplus tax revenue collections as the state expects another tax collection windfall in the coming year of about $7 billion.

Another large slice of funding –$695 million – to boost the state’s Medicaid programs to expand services for homeless individuals whose housing struggles are directly linked to health problems.

“Californians have lots of compassion for those among us who are living without shelter. But we also know what compassion isn’t. Compassion isn’t allowing a person suffering a severe psychotic break or from a lethal substance abuse addiction to literally drift towards death on our streets and sidewalks,” Newsom said.

Newsom hopes the taxpayer-funded plan begins to put a dent in the homeless crisis, but he is calling on philanthropy and the private sector to address California’s deep homelessness problem.

The formal state budget proposal from Newsom is expected on Friday, and the legislature has until June 15 to pass a deal.

NPR’s Pam Fessler contributed to this report.

Source Article from https://www.npr.org/2020/01/08/794687084/california-governor-pushes-1-4-billion-plan-to-tackle-homelessness

The U.S. Army is trying to calm fears of a new draft, after recruiting offices across the country received panicked phone calls from people saying they or their children had been conscripted.

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The U.S. Army is trying to calm fears of a new draft, after recruiting offices across the country received panicked phone calls from people saying they or their children had been conscripted.

Mike Knaak/AP

The U.S. Army wants Americans to know they have not been selected for a military draft despite a rash of texts that falsely tells people they’re heading to fight a war against Iran.

The warning comes amid escalating tensions with Iran. Last week, the U.S. launched a drone strike that killed top Iranian military leader, Gen. Qassem Soleimani, and in retaliation, Tehran launched more than a dozen missiles at two military bases in Iraq on Tuesday.

“U.S. Army Recruiting Command has received multiple calls and emails about these fake text messages and wants to ensure Americans understand these texts are false and were not initiated by this command or the U.S. Army,” officials said in a statement on Wednesday.

The notice clarified that the decision to enact a draft is not made at or by U.S. Army Recruiting Command. It is made by the Selective Service System, a separate agency outside of the Department of Defense.

A screenshot of one of the messages claims Army officials have made repeated attempts to contact the individual.

A screenshot of a text message received by Lisa Ferguson, media relations chief for U.S. Army Recruiting Command. It claims the recipient will “be fined and sent to jail for minimum 6 years if no reply”

Lisa Ferguson/U.S. Army Recruiting Command


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Lisa Ferguson/U.S. Army Recruiting Command

A screenshot of a text message received by Lisa Ferguson, media relations chief for U.S. Army Recruiting Command. It claims the recipient will “be fined and sent to jail for minimum 6 years if no reply”

Lisa Ferguson/U.S. Army Recruiting Command

“We’ve tried contacting you through the mail several times and have had no response. You’ve been marked eligible and must come to the nearest branch in Jacksonville, Florida, for immediate departure to Iran,” the text says.

It also threatens that the recipient will “be fined and sent to jail for minimum 6 years if no reply.”

A second version of the message states, “You’ve been marked eligible and must come to the nearest branch in New Jersey Area for immediate departure to Iran.” It also instructs the recipient to contact officials immediately.

A screenshot of one of the “fake” draft messages claims Army officials have made repeated attempts to contact the individual.

Lisa Ferguson/U.S. Army Recruiting Command


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Lisa Ferguson/U.S. Army Recruiting Command

A screenshot of one of the “fake” draft messages claims Army officials have made repeated attempts to contact the individual.

Lisa Ferguson/U.S. Army Recruiting Command

There does not seem to be any particular demographic that is being targeted by the messages.

“It does seem pretty random,” Lisa Ferguson, media relations chief for U.S. Army Recruiting Command, told NPR.

“I spoke with a mom on Monday whose 14-year-old daughter had received the text and her friends had also received a text,” Ferguson said.

“We have no way of knowing, you know, why people are getting them or who’s being sent the text,” she added.

The draft has not been held since 1973 and the military has been an all-volunteer force since then.

For now, Ferguson said, Army recruiting operations are proceeding as normal.

Source Article from https://www.npr.org/2020/01/08/794729081/u-s-army-alert-you-are-not-being-drafted

“The longer it goes on the less urgent it becomes,” said Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.). “So if it’s serious and urgent, send them over. If it isn’t, don’t send it over.”

Several other Senate Democrats also showed their impatience with the Democratic leaders’ strategy. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) said Wednesday morning that Democrats “should move on” and send the articles to the Senate, and Sen. Jon Tester of Montana said he’s “ready” for the trial to start.

“We need to get folks to testify and we need more information … but nonetheless, I’m ready,” Tester said. “I don’t know what leverage we have. It looks like the cake is already baked.”

“I respect the fact that she is concerned about the fact about whether or not there will be a fair trial. But I do think it is time to get on with it,” said Sen. Chris Coons (D-Del.).

House Democrats — even vulnerable moderates — are uniformly behind Pelosi: No one is explicitly pushing her to move more quickly. Yet at the same time, there is a growing feeling that the fight between Pelosi and McConnell has run its course.

Leaving their first caucus meeting of the year, several House Democrats publicly defended Pelosi’s strategy, saying they believe the speaker has a plan, even if it isn’t clear to everyone else.

But some lawmakers said privately they are worried this sparring match with McConnell is no longer viable, worried about the political ramifications of dragging it out into the Democratic presidential primaries.

The longer the delays persists the more disruptive the trial will be to the five senators seeking the Democratic presidential nomination. The Iowa caucuses are scheduled for Feb. 3. The New Hampshire primary will follow about a week later.

And several Senate Democrats have said the pressure campaign has outlived its usefulness.

“We were ready on the day the articles were voted to conduct the trial,” said Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.), who otherwise praised Pelosi for focusing on process over the past three weeks. “At some point, it’s appropriate to send them and in effect pass the baton to senators who are going to continue to insist on witnesses and documents.”

But Pelosi’s allies encouraged Senate Democrats to consider the speaker has different considerations.

“I take the senators at their word that they‘re interested in proceeding because of the gravity of the president’s conduct. But the speaker has the additional responsibility to properly staff the prosecution,” said Rep. David Cicilline (D-R.I.).

McConnell is going to pass a partisan impeachment trial blueprint based on President Bill Clinton’s 1999 trial that defers the decisions on whether to hear new evidence until after the trial has begun, and as long as Pelosi delays McConnell made clear that he’s going to continue to confirm Trump’s nominees.

“Obviously, there are limitations to what the House can do,” said Rep. Jim Costa (D-Calif.). “We’re getting there.”

“Realistically there is a timeline, there’s a limit. The American people are going to want this to happen sooner rather than later,” said Rep. John Yarmuth (D-Ky.). “It did give us a couple of weeks, three weeks, to just keep pounding home ‘what are they trying to hide?’ But we can’t keep that drumbeat up forever.”

But House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer dismissed concerns about the impeachment standoff disrupting the presidential primaries.

“The politics of the United States are moving apace and that will continue. But that will not dictate the timing on doing what we believe is our constitutional duty,” Hoyer said.

McConnell has routinely mocked Pelosi’s delay and attempts to pressure him into cutting a deal with Democrats on witnesses and documents. On Wednesday, he read quotes from three members of the Senate Democratic Caucus on the floor asking for the trial to begin and said he was “glad Democratic Senators are losing patience with this.”

That might be overstating things: No Democrat would criticize Pelosi directly, and every Democratic senator interviewed on Wednesday praised her fight for a more comprehensive trial. Moreover, Pelosi is also juggling the impeachment decision with how to respond to Trump’s tit for tat with Iran.

Source Article from https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/08/senate-democrats-break-pelosi-over-impeachment-096224

A satellite photo from the commercial company Planet shows damage to at least five structures at the Ain al-Assad air base in Iraq.

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A satellite photo from the commercial company Planet shows damage to at least five structures at the Ain al-Assad air base in Iraq.

Planet/MIIS

Updated at 2:45 p.m. ET

Satellite photos taken Wednesday show that an Iranian missile strike has caused extensive damage at the Ain al-Assad air base in Iraq, which hosts U.S. and coalition troops.

The photos, taken by the commercial company Planet and shared with NPR via the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey, show hangars and buildings hit hard by a barrage of Iranian missiles that were fired early Wednesday morning local time.

At least five structures were damaged in the attack on the base in Anbar province, which apparently was precise enough to hit individual buildings. “Some of the locations struck look like the missiles hit dead center,” says David Schmerler, an analyst with the Middlebury Institute.

Iran’s attack targeted at least two military bases in Iraq. The extent of the damage to the second base, in Irbil, was unclear.

Shortly afterward, President Trump said in an optimistic tweet: “All is well!

Satellite images show damage to hangars and buildings in what appears to be a series of precision missile strikes launched by Iran.

Planet Labs Inc./Middlebury Institute


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Planet Labs Inc./Middlebury Institute

Satellite images show damage to hangars and buildings in what appears to be a series of precision missile strikes launched by Iran.

Planet Labs Inc./Middlebury Institute

There are no reports of casualties as a result of the strike on Ain al-Assad, which follows last week’s U.S. drone strike in Iraq that killed Iranian military commander Qassem Soleimani.

Schmerler says it is unclear whether targets on the base were chosen to avoid loss of life. “The buildings we’re tallying now seem to be used for storing aircraft,” he says. “There are other structures at the air base that would be exclusively for people so maybe they intended to strike sites with equipment over people.”

Photos circulating online that were reportedly taken on the ground some 20 miles from the air base show the wreckage of two missiles. “These appear to be the remnants of a Qiam missile body/airframe,” tweeted Michael Elleman, who directs nonproliferation and nuclear policy at the International Institute for Strategic Studies.


The Qiam-1 missile is a single stage, liquid-fueled, short-range ballistic missile developed by Iran with a range of up to 500 miles, according to the Center for Strategic & International Studies’ Missile Defense Project. It is capable of carrying a 1,650-pound warhead and has a precision guidance system that can be redirected during flight.

Videos posted on Iranian state media also showed what appeared to be solid-fueled missiles being launched, according to Fabian Hinz, an Iranian missile expert at the Middlebury Institute. Such missiles can be launched at short notice, are precision guided and can include decoys to foil missile defenses. They are “very advanced,” Hinz says.

All the missiles used are far larger than the rockets used in previous attacks on U.S. personnel in Iraq. Those weapons carry warheads of a few pounds in size, while these ballistic missiles have warheads that are many hundreds of pounds. “It’s a really, really substantial difference,” Hinz says.

A U.S. official confirmed to NPR that 10 missiles struck Ain al-Assad, one hit the base in Irbil, and four missiles apparently fell short.

Analysts at Middlebury identified several impact points at Ain al-Assad, including one missile that landed on a runway — a likely miss.

“Overall I think it’s a relatively modest response,” says Tom Karako, a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic & International Studies.

Karako says he believes the strike deliberately avoided areas that house personnel. Given the apparent precision of the missiles used: “If they wanted a bunch of causalities they could have done something different,” he says.

“U.S. early warning systems detected the incoming ballistic missiles well in advance, providing U.S. and Coalition forces adequate time to take appropriate force protection measures,” added a U.S. defense department official.

Despite the possibly symbolic thrust of Iran’s attack — Iraq’s foreign minister says it targeted the base where the Reaper drone used to kill Soleimani was launched — Iran’s military has also demonstrated its ability to openly strike U.S. forces in Iraq at the same military installation that Trump visited last year.

“For the time being, the Americans have been given a slap, revenge is a different issue,” Iran’s Fars News Agency quotes Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, as saying Wednesday. “Military moves like this are not enough. The Americans’ corruption-stirring presence should come to an end.”

Speaking at the White House on Wednesday, Trump sought to portray the missile attacks as the end of Iran’s military response to the killing of Soleimani. “All of our soldiers are safe and only minimal damage was sustained at our military bases,” he said. “Iran appears to be standing down, which is a good thing for all parties concerned and a very good thing for the world.”

But one expert on Iran says the missile attacks may prove to be only a prelude to further reprisals.

“My mother used to say a gentleman carried two handkerchiefs: 1 for show (in the breast pocket of his jacket) and 1 for blow, ie, use. I expect what we have seen is the Iranian retaliation for show,” tweeted Council on Foreign Relations President Richard Haass. “What is likely to come at some point are the deniable attacks meant to cause harm.”

NPR Pentagon correspondent Tom Bowman contributed to this report.

Source Article from https://www.npr.org/2020/01/08/794517031/satellite-photos-reveal-extent-of-damage-at-al-assad-air-base

Democratic senators are growing impatient over the delayed start of President TrumpDonald John TrumpIranian diplomat after strike: ‘We do not seek escalation or war’ Graham: Iran missile attack ‘an act of war’ ‘All is well’ Trump tweets after Iran hits Iraq bases housing US troops MORE’s impeachment trial and some say it’s time for Speaker Nancy PelosiNancy PelosiPelosi digs in on impeachment rules fight Pelosi urges end to ‘needless provocations’ after Iran missile attack ‘It’s a spiral now’: Democrats say they’re not surprised by Iran attack MORE (D-Calif.) to send the articles of impeachment to the Senate.

Democratic lawmakers in the upper chamber say Pelosi has achieved her goal of putting a spotlight on Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellPelosi digs in on impeachment rules fight McConnell takes round one in impeachment battle Overnight Defense: Iran takes credit for rocket attack on US base | Trump briefed | Trump puts talk of Iraq withdrawal on hold | Progressives push to block funding for Iran war | Trump backs off threat to hit Iranian cultural sites MORE’s (R-Ky.) opposition to witness testimony and they’re ready to start hearing House impeachment managers and Trump’s defense team make their arguments.

“Time plays an unknown role in all of this, and the longer it goes on, the less the urgency becomes. So if it’s serious and urgent, it should come over. If it isn’t, don’t send it over,” said Sen. Dianne FeinsteinDianne Emiel FeinsteinBiden picks up endorsements of past Castro, Harris supporters in Texas, California Trump remarks on striking cultural sites in Iran provoke outrage The Hill’s Morning Report — Impeachment unknowns await returning lawmakers MORE (Calif.), the top-ranking Democrat on the Judiciary Committee.

Asked if colleagues are starting to get impatient, Feinstein said, “If it’s going to happen, yes,” referring to the likelihood of a trial actually taking place.

“I’m not a big fan of impeachment but I think there’s enough to take a good look, and we should,” she said.

Feinstein said she doesn’t have “any sense” when the trial may start and neither do her colleagues.

Sen. Jon TesterJonathan (Jon) TesterTrump trade deal likely to sow division in Democratic presidential field Krystal Ball: Is this how Bernie Sanders will break the establishment? GOP braces for Democratic spending onslaught in battle for Senate MORE (D-Mont.) said he’s ready to get the trial started.

“As far as I’m concerned, she can send them over at any time. I’m fine with that,” he said.

Tester said it’s “unfortunate” that Republicans have not agreed ahead of the trial to call key witnesses such as former national security adviser John BoltonJohn BoltonPelosi digs in on impeachment rules fight McConnell takes round one in impeachment battle Trump says Bolton testimony up to Senate, claims former adviser knows ‘nothing’ MORE, Secretary of State Mike PompeoMichael (Mike) Richard PompeoOvernight Defense: Iran takes credit for rocket attack on US base | Trump briefed | Trump puts talk of Iraq withdrawal on hold | Progressives push to block funding for Iran war | Trump backs off threat to hit Iranian cultural sites House chairman asks Pompeo to testify on Iran next week Progressives push for votes to block funding for war against Iran MORE and acting White House chief of staff Mick MulvaneyJohn (Mick) Michael MulvaneyMcConnell takes round one in impeachment battle Romney ‘comfortable’ with Clinton precedent to delay witness testimony Schumer vows to force votes on impeachment witnesses MORE.

But he’s ready to get going.

“I’m ready to study it,” he said.

Other Democrats have also weighed in.

“I think it needs to start. I really do,” said Sen. Joe ManchinJoseph (Joe) ManchinTen senators to watch on Trump impeachment trial ‘Will a majority of senators pursue the truth over all else?’ Doug Jones asks in op-ed GOP predicts bipartisan acquittal at Trump impeachment trial MORE (D-W.Va.). “Let us do what we have to do over here.”

Sen. Chris MurphyChristopher (Chris) Scott MurphyImpeachment battle lines harden ahead of pivotal week Pompeo defends Soleimani strike as critics question intel, timing Sunday shows – Pompeo makes rounds in defense of Soleimani strike MORE (D-Conn.) told The Washington Post on Tuesday that the time has come for Pelosi to act.

“I think the time has passed. She should send the articles over,” he said.

A growing number of Senate Democrats think it doesn’t make much sense for Pelosi to keep holding on to the articles of impeachment because McConnell has already announced he has enough votes to pass an organizing resolution that would set up phase one of the trial without witnesses.

Democratic senators say Pelosi has successfully put a spotlight on McConnell’s opposition to requiring key witnesses and documents, which they say is essential to holding a fair trial.

“I think she’s achieved her goals of both making sure Mitch McConnell just couldn’t move to dismiss [the articles of impeachment] right before Christmas and also to flush out what McConnell’s posture will be,” said another Democratic senator who requested anonymity to discuss party strategy.

The senator said it’s not clear why Pelosi is continuing to hold onto the articles. 

“We’re ready to receive them,” the lawmaker said, speculating that Pelosi hasn’t yet initiated the Senate trial because she is still choosing the team of House prosecutors.

“She has to make decisions about House managers. She just can’t send them over and have selected them,” the source said. 

Once Pelosi sends the articles of impeachment, the Senate trial will begin immediately.

The Senate’s impeachment rules require it to convene at 1 pm the day after the presentation of the articles by the House managers and senators will be required to continue in session six days a week — except for Sunday — until the final judgment is reached.

Before proceeding to the articles of impeachment, Chief Justice John Roberts, the presiding officer, will administer the oath of office to all senators

The Senate’s rules require that the president be immediately notified with a writ of summons that shall ask his defense team to appear before the chamber at a day fixed by the Senate to file its answer to the articles of impeachment. 

Source Article from https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/477369-democratic-senators-growing-impatient-with-pelosi-on-impeachment

Chat with us in Facebook Messenger. Find out what’s happening in the world as it unfolds.

Source Article from https://www.cnn.com/2020/01/08/politics/rockets-land-in-green-zone/index.html

DUBAI (Reuters) – Iran will not give the black box of the crashed Ukrainian airliner to planemaker Boeing, the head of Tehran’s civil aviation organization was quoted as saying on Wednesday.

Ali Abedzadeh also said it was not clear which country Iran would send the box to so that its data could be analyzed, semi-official Mehr news agency reported.

A Ukraine International Airlines Boeing 737 crashed earlier on Wednesday, killing all 176 people aboard shortly after taking off from Tehran’s Imam Khomeini airport.

Reporting by Parisa Hafezi, writing by Alexander Cornwell, Editing by Andrew Heavens

Source Article from https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-crash-black-box/iran-will-not-give-black-box-from-crashed-ukrainian-airliner-to-boeing-mehr-idUSKBN1Z71C7

“We are always the forgotten ones — no help gets here,” said Jessica Ramos Sotero as she stood in line under a blazing sun at one of the only three bakeries in the town of Guayanilla that were open. “Please, let people know what is happening here.”

Customers were being allowed into the bakery five at a time, and were limited to buying no more than two pounds of bread and a small bag of ice. A nearby supermarket, where there also was a line, was limiting customers to purchases of five items each.

In some parts of the southwestern coastal city of Ponce, the lights were back on.

Xiomara Cedeño, 34, said the electricity at her house went out for about a day after the first of the strong tremors, which came late on Dec. 28. A number of lesser aftershocks continued to shake the island after that, followed by stronger ones on Monday and Tuesday.

Monday’s quake, which registered 5.8 magnitude, destroyed a beloved rock formation known as the Punta Ventana in Guayanilla. One death was attributed to that quake.

The ground continued to shake on Wednesday, with at least 10 recorded tremors of 2.5 magnitude or greater, according to the United States Geological Survey.

Source Article from https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/08/us/puerto-rico-earthquake.html

Iran’s Tuesday night missile attacks on multiple US military targets in Iraq are the country’s first tangible retaliation for the killing of Qassem Soleimani, a key Iranian military leader. A White House source told Vox there were no American casualties, but it is still possible Iraqis may have been killed in the strike.

The big question now — the really scary question — is how President Donald Trump will respond.

The Iranians have sent clear signals, both through the missile strikes and through semi-official and official channels, that this is their big response. If Trump chooses a relatively limited and restrained form of retaliation, or even a nonmilitary response like just sending out a tweet declaring victory, it’s possible that Iran won’t escalate things any further.

This crisis set off by Soleimani’s killing would then turn out to be a short-lived military skirmish rather than a full-scale war. Indeed, Trump’s first tweet after the attacks suggests this is the route he’s going down:

But this is not necessarily the last word (after all, he said he plans to make a statement Wednesday morning). If Trump changes his mind and goes in the other direction — ordering some kind of aggressive retaliation like airstrikes on targets inside Iranian territory, for example — the Islamic Republic will likely feel a need to respond yet again. Fox News’s Sean Hannity, one of the media personalities the US president watches religiously, is calling for attacks on Iran’s oil and nuclear facilities.

If that happens, we could very well be on the road to a much bigger war — the kind of war that, if it comes to it, could dwarf even the Iraq War in scope and horror. Iran’s Revolutionary Guard has vowed to respond to another strike by the US with an attack on the American homeland.

Congress has largely abandoned its oversight role when it comes to war and peace. That means that, in the American political system as it actually operates, one person gets the final say on this. Currently, that person is Donald Trump. Whether this crisis escalates depends a great deal on his deeply questionable judgment.

Why almost everything hangs on America’s — that is, Trump’s — response now

It’s possible this isn’t the end of the Iranian military response. However, strong signals from Tehran sent out Tuesday night through various channels are all framed as contingent on another American response. If you attack us again, we’ll hit you again — but not otherwise.

This suggests the Iranians don’t want a wider war. That makes sense: It’s not in their interest to fight a major war against a vastly superior military power like the United States.

But it’s not in American interests to fight that war, either. As my colleague Alex Ward explains, a US-Iran war would be incredibly ugly and bloody. Iran’s capabilities to fight back, both in the region and via terrorist attacks around the world, far outstrip Iraq’s in 2003. An untold number of soldiers and civilians would die for very little strategic gain.

The hope is that Trump recognizes this: that his oft-stated desire to avoid US involvement in Middle East wars kicks in, and he backs down from the brink in the same way that he pulled away from the threats to attack North Korea in 2017 (and Iran in June). Maybe just send out some tweets declaring his policy a success, and call it a day.

His first tweet certainly indicates this could be the outcome. But it’s not necessarily what this mercurial president will settle on.

President Trump speaks to reporters during a meeting with the prime minister of Greece in the Oval Office on January 7, 2020.
Alex Wong/Getty Images

The administration’s thinking behind the hit on Soleimani was, as far as we can tell, that hitting Iran hard would deter the country from further attacks on American interests — “deterrence by escalation,” essentially.

Yet Tuesday night, Iran openly struck directly at American bases for the first time in recent memory (typically, it has proxy forces conduct such risky operations to add a layer of plausible deniability). According to the administration’s stated logic and that of its validators on Capitol Hill and in the media, this could require yet another, bigger US response.

This would likely have the opposite of the intended effect — pushing Iran to retaliate, thus locking the two countries in a cycle of escalation that could make a full-scale war that nobody wants a reality.

And more fundamentally, Trump is an erratic and impulsive man. He’s demonstrated little capability to think strategically about conflict, going with whatever seems persuasive in the moment rather than some kind of well-thought-out strategy. The strike on Soleimani was something he decided on personally, an extreme policy option the Pentagon was reportedly fairly confident he wouldn’t take.

So we’re at a fork in the road between deescalation and a wider war. All the strategic logic in the world suggests the smart move would be to travel down the first path. But the White House’s unpredictable occupant is at the wheel, and there is no real way to predict which direction he’ll go. The first signs are encouraging — but we’re not out of the woods yet.

Source Article from https://www.vox.com/world/2020/1/7/21056108/iran-bomb-us-base-iraq-qassem-soleimani-response-war

WASHINGTON – Democratic presidential candidates say they are sending prayers to U.S. military members as reports develop of Iranian missile strikes on Iraqi military bases that house American and coalition forces.

The strike, an apparent move of retaliation for the U.S.-ordered killing of military leader Qasem Soleimani, occurred Tuesday evening and consisted of at least a dozen ballistic missiles targeting at least two sites, according to the Defense Department.

“It is clear that these missiles were launched from Iran and targeted at least two Iraqi military bases hosting U.S. military and coalition personnel at Al-Assad and Irbil,” a Pentagon spokesperson said. “We are working on initial battle damage assessments.”

Pentagon:Iran launched ‘more than a dozen’ missiles at bases in Iraq housing U.S. troops

Democratic candidates have criticized Trump heavily for his decision to target Soleimani, but the immediate aftermath of the Tuesday missile strikes largely focused on supporting troops while calling for a de-escalation of hostilities.

Former Vice President Joe Biden said on Twitter he would not comment on the strikes until more information was available, “but there is one thing I will say: Jill and I are keeping our troops and Americans overseas in our prayers. We hope you’ll keep them in yours.”

Source Article from https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/01/07/2020-dems-react-iran-missile-attacks-iraqi-bases-send-prayers/2838081001/

The Boeing 737-800, operated by Ukraine International Airlines, left the international airport in Tehran at 6:12 a.m. for Kyiv, the Ukrainian capital, and abruptly ceased the automatic transmission of flight data two to three minutes later. It remained in the air a few minutes longer, and crashed shortly before dawn.

No one survived. Ukraine’s foreign minister, Vadym Prystaiko, said in a tweet on Wednesday that there were 82 Iranians, 63 Canadians, 11 Ukrainians including nine crew members, 10 people from Sweden, four from Afghanistan, three from Britain and three from Germany.

But separate breakdowns of the victims’ nationalities diverged, possibly because some passengers had dual nationalities. According to one Iranian tally, there were 147 Iranians and two Canadians.

The Iranian Students’ News Agency, a state-run media organization, shared a video it said showed the predawn crash, with an aircraft, apparently in flames, descending in the distance before a burst of light filled the sky upon impact.

Early statements from both countries were somewhat contradictory.

Qassem Biniaz, an official at the Iranian Ministry of Roads and Urban Development, told the Islamic Republic News Agency, the government’s official news agency, that an engine had caught fire and the pilot was unable to regain control.

Source Article from https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/08/world/middleeast/boeing-plane-crash.html

This aerial photo shows Ain al-Assad air base in the western Anbar desert, Iraq, in December 2019.

Nasser Nasser/AP


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Nasser Nasser/AP

This aerial photo shows Ain al-Assad air base in the western Anbar desert, Iraq, in December 2019.

Nasser Nasser/AP

Updated at 10:03 p.m. ET

Iran has launched more than a dozen ballistic missiles against U.S. military and coalition forces, targeting at least two military bases in Iraq, the U.S. Defense Department announced late Tuesday.

The strikes on military and coalition personnel at the Ain al-Assad air base in Anbar province and in Irbil — at the center of Iraq’s Kurdistan region — began at approximately 5:30 p.m. ET, according to a statement.

Iran’s Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif defended the strike, saying it was an act of “self-defense.”

“Iran took & concluded proportionate measures in self-defense under Article 51 of UN Charter targeting base from which cowardly armed attack against our citizens & senior officials were launched,” he wrote in a tweet.

The attacks come less than a week after a U.S. drone strike killed the top Iranian military commander, Qassem Soleimani, in Iraq.

Iran had vowed to avenge the killing, and Zarif suggested the Tuesday bombing may be the extent of Iran’s planned retribution.

“We do not seek escalation or war, but will defend ourselves against any aggression,” Zarif said.

President Trump projected an air of cheerful calm on Tuesday night, tweeting: “All is well! Missiles launched from Iran at two military bases located in Iraq.”

He said damage is being assessed but, “So far, so good! We have the most powerful and well equipped military anywhere in the world, by far! I will be making a statement tomorrow morning.”

In a statement, Pentagon spokesman Jonathan Hoffman said officials are working to assess the extent of the damage.

Hoffman added:

“In recent days and in response to Iranian threats and actions, the Department of Defense has taken all appropriate measures to safeguard our personnel and partners. These bases have been on high alert due to indications that the Iranian regime planned to attack our forces and interests in the region.

“As we evaluate the situation and our response, we will take all necessary measures to protect and defend U.S. personnel, partners, and allies in the region.”

There were no immediate reports of casualties.

White House press secretary Stephanie Grisham said Trump has been briefed on the situation and is monitoring it closely with his national security team.

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Defense Secretary Mark Esper arrived at the White House late on Tuesday.

Hours earlier, Esper had cautioned that the administration expected Iran would “retaliate in some way shape or form,” adding that it could come from proxy groups outside of Iran.

The Federal Aviation Administration has banned civilian flights over “Iraq, Iran, and the waters of the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman.”

Iranian media outlets, meanwhile, report that Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard claimed responsibility for the attack, saying it was carried out in “hard revenge” for Soleimani.

“We are warning the US that if they take any further action, they will receive a harsher response,” it said in a statement, according to state-run ISNA.

The organization also called on Americans to “prevent more damage by asking for their soldiers to be sent back home.”

“They shouldn’t let the lives of the military personnel be exposed to more potential danger because of the acts of their government.”

Members of Congress, who have already expressed frustration with Trump for circumventing them before striking against Soleimani, are warning the U.S. cannot afford to start a war with Iran.

“We must ensure the safety of our service members, including ending needless provocations from the Administration and demanding that Iran cease its violence,” House Speaker Nancy Pelosi wrote in a tweet.

“America & world cannot afford war,” she added.

Pelosi was briefed on the Iranian attacks by Vice President Pence earlier in the evening, her staff said.

Florida Republican Marco Rubio said, “A full assessment is underway to determine an appropriate response.”

Iran has used short-range ballistic missiles for attacks against ISIS, and also a deadly precision strike against Kurdish leaders in 2018.

All of Iran’s ballistic missile forces are under the control of the IRGC Aerospace Force, Fabian Hinz, an expert on Iranian military and missile systems at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies, told NPR.

Hinz added that the Tuesday airstrike is not symbolic, but a serious attack.

This is a developing story. Some things reported by the media will later turn out to be wrong. We will focus on reports from officials and other authorities, credible news outlets and reporters who are at the scene. We will update as the situation develops.

NPR’s Ayda Pourasad contributed to this report.

Source Article from https://www.npr.org/2020/01/07/794388410/military-base-housing-u-s-troops-in-iraq-has-been-attacked

The disaster has the potential to add to the crisis at Boeing, which has been dealing with the fallout from two crashes involving a different model of jet.

After the crash, Ukraine’s Embassy in Iran initially issued a statement ruling out terrorism or a rocket attack as a cause of the crash. But the statement was later removed from the embassy’s website and replaced by a statement saying it was too early to draw any conclusions.

Mr. Abedzadeh said the airliner had not contacted the control tower about an emergency.

After an accident, the “black boxes” are often sent to the plane’s maker for analysis, but Iran would not send the flight data recorders to Boeing, an American company, Mr. Abedzadeh said in an interview with Mehr.

“We will not give the black box to the manufacturer and the Americans,” Mehr quoted him as saying. Ukrainian officials, he said, would be involved in Iran’s investigation of the crash.

There were 176 people aboard, including nine crew members, according to Ukrainian officials, but the Iranian authorities, who released the names of the dead, listed 177, while some Iranian news organizations cited other figures. The breakdown of the victims’ nationalities also diverged, though that may be because some passengers held dual citizenship; Iran’s tally included 147 Iranians and two Canadians, while Vadym Prystaiko, Ukraine’s minister of foreign affairs, said there were 82 Iranians and 63 Canadians.

At a news conference at Boryspil International Airport in Kyiv several hours after the crash, Ukraine International Airlines executives said the plane had been in good working order and operated by a highly trained crew. They offered no theories as to what might have happened and declined to comment on whether or not it might have been shot down.

“Given their experience, it is very difficult to say that there was something wrong with the crew,” Ihor Sosnovskyi, the airline’s vice president of flight operations, said at the briefing.

Source Article from https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/07/world/middleeast/iran-plane-crash-boeing-ukraine.html

“Tonight, Americans in Iraq are under fire,” former South Bend, Ind., mayor Pete Buttigieg said. “My prayers are with them, their loved ones, and their families.”

Source Article from https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/iran-live-updates/2020/01/08/c835c218-31a0-11ea-9313-6cba89b1b9fb_story.html

The news comes on the heels of the Pentagon’s admission that the letter informing Iraq’s Defense Ministry that U.S.-led coalition troops would leave Iraq “was a mistake.”

“A draft unsigned letter that was acquired by an Iraqi official has no import. It has no value whatsoever,” Secretary of Defense Mark Esper said Tuesday in an interview with CNN.

“I will say this, the United States is not withdrawing from Iraq. In fact, in my conversations with my counterpart, the Iraqi defense minister, I conveyed to him that we do want to stay in Iraq and we want to continue the important defeat ISIS mission,” he added.

“That letter is a draft, it was a mistake, it was unsigned, it should never have been released,” Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Gen. Mark Milley told reporters at the Pentagon on Monday.

“Poorly worded, implies withdrawal,” Milley said. “That is not what’s happening,” he continued.

Alongside Milley, Esper told reporters earlier in the day that the U.S. was “repositioning forces throughout the region.”

Source Article from https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/07/confusion-builds-over-letter-on-us-troop-withdrawal-in-iraq.html

  • Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif claimed his country’s missile attacks against Iraqi military bases housing US troops were merely “proportionate measures in self-defense.”
  • “Iran took [and] concluded proportionate measures in self-defense under Article 51 of UN Charter targeting base from which cowardly armed attack against our citizens & senior officials were launched,” Zarif said on Twitter.
  • His statement comes as US officials estimated that more than 12 missiles were launched from Iran against two Iraqi bases.
  • Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.

Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif claimed his country’s missile attacks against Iraqi military bases housing US troops were merely “proportionate measures in self-defense.”

His statement comes as US officials estimated that around 15 missiles were launched from Iran against two Iraqi bases. There were no US service member casualties reported immediately after the attack, but futher assessments were ongoing, according to a US official who spoke to Business Insider.

“Iran took [and] concluded proportionate measures in self-defense under Article 51 of UN Charter targeting base from which cowardly armed attack against our citizens & senior officials were launched,” Zarif said on Twitter.

“We do not seek escalation or war, but will defend ourselves against any aggression,” he added.

Article 51 of the United Nations’ charter says that a member has “the inherent right” to defend itself “if an armed attack occurs … until the Security Council has taken measures necessary to maintain international peace and security.”

Experts on Article 51 described its terms as “sufficiently vague” and that it is difficult to prove whether military actions between its members would be justified under the article’s current definition. Jared Zimmerman, writing last year as a MA candidate at American University’s School of International Service, assessed that Article 51 did not answer several questions.

“It does not define what constitutes an armed attack,” Zimmerman previously wrote in RealClearDefense. “For example, is a cyber attack an armed attack?”

The missile strike follows a series of moves that have raised tensions between Iran and the US: on Friday local time in Iraq, a US airstrike near Baghdad International Airport killed Iran’s elite Quds Force commander, Maj. Gen. Qassem Soleimani. The US claimed the attack was in response to an “imminent threat” that was perceived from Soleimani.

US officials have yet to submit evidence of their claim against the Iranian general, who is widely accepted to have provided material aid to proxy forces fighting against the US. Following the killing of Soleimani, Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei vowed “harsh revenge” against the US.

After Iran’s missile strikes, President Donald Trump said in a tweet that “all is well!”

“So far, so good,” Trump tweeted, adding that US officials were still assessing the situation. “We have the most powerful and well equipped military anywhere in the world, by far! I will be making a statement tomorrow morning.”

Source Article from https://www.businessinsider.com/iran-missile-strike-self-defense-trump-attack-iraq-2020-1

Iran fires missiles at U.S. troops in two Iraqi bases.
RELATED: U.S.-Iran tensions: How close are we to WWIII?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwGzl…

Iran fired more than a dozen missiles at U.S. troops and coalition forces at the Ain-Assaid airbase and Erbil base in Iraq in a revenge operation over the killing of Revolutionary Guard Gen. Qasem Soleimani.

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Source Article from https://www.cnn.com/2020/01/08/politics/trump-iran-missile-attacks/index.html