One area of relative if uncertain strength for Mr. Trump is among nonwhite voters. On average, the most recent polls show Mr. Biden with a 41-point lead among this group, his lowest of the cycle. This may be statistical noise, given the small sample of nonwhite voters in most national surveys.
But Mr. Biden has underperformed Hillary Clinton’s 2016 lead among registered nonwhite voters throughout this year, and it was notable that Mr. Biden made no gains at all among nonwhite voters in June and July, when the national political conversation was focused on issues with seemingly disproportionate resonance in Black and Hispanic communities, like criminal justice and policing.
A longer-term average of polling suggests that Mr. Trump’s relative strength among nonwhite voters is broad. He is faring better than he did four years ago among both Black and Hispanic voters.
The selection of Kamala Harris for vice president might offer at least some upside to Mr. Biden, though it is too soon to evaluate any effect she might have on the race. So far, there are no early signs that she has revitalized his standing among nonwhite voters. The only two telephone surveys conducted entirely after her selection, from CNN/SSRS and ABC News/Washington Post, show Mr. Biden faring somewhat worse among nonwhite voters than in their prior surveys from June or July.
We probably won’t have another clear sense of the overall state of the race until mid-September, after the two convention bounces have faded and the race briefly settles into a new normal ahead of the debates.
Source Article from https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/17/upshot/polls-2020-election-convention.html
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