President Donald Trump leads former Vice President Joe Biden in the potential swing state of Missouri, recent polls show.
The incumbent Republican president holds a solid five-point lead in Missouri, according to the most recent “We Ask America” poll released Tuesday. But in other potential swing states, including Wisconsin, New Mexico, and Pennsylvania, Biden still holds significant polling leads. The only other states where Trump and Biden are statistically tied are Florida and Texas, according to Dallas Morning News and Trafalgar Group polls released last week.
Led by concerns over a recent spike in crime tied to racial justice protests across the country, Missouri voters have given a boost to Trump’s November re-election prospects. According to the “We Ask America” poll, 49 percent of Missourians say they plan to vote for Trump versus 44 percent who say they will vote for Biden. Only 2 percent of those surveyed said they remain undecided about the 2020 election contest. Missouri has long been considered a “safe” Republican state during presidential elections, but despite Trump, Mitt Romney and John McCain all winning there, many political analysts say it’s a potential swing vote this year.
Among all voters polled in Missouri, 80 percent said they are “concerned” about crime levels spiking in cities across the country as a result of protests against police brutality. Two-thirds of those surveyed said they are “strongly concerned” about crime rising as a result of the protests. And similar to many other states, Trump’s polling lead is tied to his success in attracting male voters, with the president holding the support of 51 percent of male Missouri voters compared to just 40 percent of women voters. He also holds a slight 39 to 36 percent lead among independent voters.
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But in other potential swing states across the country, Trump has fallen behind the Democratic presidential nominee, although the Biden campaign, in a plea to Ohio voters, is highlighting a recent Ohio poll showing Trump clinging to a slight lead and noting that “JFK was the last Democrat to win the presidency without winning the state.”
In Wisconsin, Rasmussen Reports data shows Biden holds a solid 8 percent lead over Trump, 51 to 43 percent. Among the 84 percent of Wisconsin voters who say they are absolutely certain about how they will vote on November 3, Biden leads 54 percent to 46 percent. The former vice president holds the support of 93 percent of Wisconsin Democratic voters and a significant 17-point lead among voters who are not affiliated with either party.
A CBS News/YouGov poll released Sunday showed Biden holding onto a solid 10-point lead among overall voters nationwide. Biden also is seen leading Trump by six percentage points in Wisconsin.
In Pennsylvania, Biden’s native state, he holds an eight-point lead over Trump, according to a recent Quinnipiac poll. But a Rasmussen Reports poll released the same day showed the two candidates in a statistical dead heat among state voters.
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The only other states where Trump has gone back-and-forth in polls against Biden are Florida and Texas—states he won in 2016 against then-Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton.
Newsweek reached out to both campaigns for additional remarks about the latest 2020 election polls Tuesday morning.
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