(CNN)A Russian company told a federal court Thursday that it believes that among the terabytes of data collected by special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation is a nude selfie.
The 115th Congress appears to have given up, with both the House and Senate failing to reach a deal to end the ongoing government shutdown. This likely punts the showdown over the border wall to the 116th Congress where Trump will face off against a Democratic majority in the House. An agreement won’t be pretty, but it would be a good lesson for Trump and one that could set the stage for a productive two years to come.
With Democrats controlling a majority in the House, any new deal that lands on Trump’s desk will be unlikely to hold the funding Trump has demanded for the wall. Since Trump won’t let government remain shut down for the rest of his term, he will eventually need sign a deal to end the gridlock. This will be seen as a capitulation to Rep. Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., the likely new speaker of the House.
That’s not a good start for the new year. It also doesn’t help Trump convince his base that he is the man to stand up to Democrats and make good on campaign promises ahead of 2020.
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In the long term, however, handing an early victory to House Democrats may prove a necessary wake-up call on the reality of divided government.
The early realization that a Democrat-controlled House means more trouble than investigations and subpoenas might galvanize the president to sit down and make deals rather than simply making demands. Additionally, Trump could learn to better value Republican allies in Congress and listen to their advice about what is and is not possible. Indeed, had he followed that advice in the lead up to the holidays, the government would likely still be open with agreement on appropriations one final victory of Republican controlled government.
For conservatives, the president learning the difficult lessons of divided government early on and avoiding two years of gridlock would be an important step to victory in 2020. A track record of disagreement and stalemates, however, will fail to convince all but the staunchest supporters that Republicans and Trump are serious about governing.
Source Article from https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/trump-is-headed-for-a-wake-up-call-on-reality-of-divided-government-thats-not-a-bad-thing
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(CNN)A Russian company told a federal court Thursday that it believes that among the terabytes of data collected by special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation is a nude selfie.
Source Article from https://www.cnn.com/2018/12/28/politics/mueller-russian-troll-farm-case-selfie/index.html
The Trump administration’s Environmental Protection Agency is taking aim at an Obama-era regulation that seeks to reduce mercury pollution from coal-fired power plants.
“The Trump Administration is providing regulatory certainty by transparently and accurately taking account of both costs and benefits,” the EPA said in a news release Friday.
The EPA on Friday proposed a new rule that challenges the basis for the Obama regulation. It calculates that the crackdown on mercury and other toxins from coal plants produced only a few million dollars a year in measurable health benefits and was not “appropriate and necessary” — a legal benchmark under the country’s landmark Clean Air Act.
The EPA said the proposal is meant to “correct flaws.”
The proposal, which now goes up for public comment before any final administration approval, would leave the current mercury regulation in place.
“EPA will take comment on the proposal for 60 days after publication in the Federal Register and will hold a public hearing,” the EPA said.
The EPA said it will seek comment on whether “we would be obligated to rescind” the Obama-era rule if the agency adopts Friday’s finding that the regulation was not appropriate and necessary. Any such change would trigger new rounds in what have already been years of court battles over regulating mercury pollution from coal plants.
The 2011 Obama administration rule, called the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards, led to what electric utilities say was an $18 billion clean-up of mercury and other toxins from the smokestacks of coal-fired power plants.
Overall, environmental groups say, federal and state efforts have cut mercury emissions from coal-fired power plants by 85 percent in roughly the last decade.
Mercury causes brain damage, learning disabilities and other birth defects in children, among other harm. Coal power plants in this country are the largest single manmade source of mercury pollutants, which enters the food chain through fish and other items that people consume.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Source Article from https://www.foxnews.com/politics/epa-takes-aim-at-obama-era-regulation-of-mercury-at-coal-plants
President Trump contends that his withdrawal of U.S. military forces from Syria will serve American interests without compromising the critical interests of close allies. One Syrian town is about to test that thesis.
Namely, the situation in the northern-central city of Manbij. If Trump fails to exert U.S. leverage in relation to Manbij, that city will become a marker for his version of former President Barack Obama’s red-line chemical weapons debacle in Syria. Located just west of the Euphrates river and about 50 miles northeast of Aleppo, Manbij is currently controlled by U.S.-allied Kurdish forces. But now that Trump has ordered a withdrawal of U.S. forces from Syria, other forces are moving in on Manbij. These elements know that controlling the city means controlling the access routes to Aleppo, to Turkey, and across the Euphrates to Ain Issa and the Kurdish strongholds farther east. In short, Manbij is a strategic gemstone.
Yet the various warring parties in Syria have different views over who should control Manbij. Syrian President Bashar Assad wants to control Manbij in order to dominate Syria’s northwest. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan wants to control Manbij as a buffer against the Kurds and an influencing point against Assad. The Iranians support Assad. The Sunni-Arab kingdoms also support Assad as a means to protect their own influence (more on that in another piece later). And the Russians? They love the chaotic jockeying in that it puts Russian President Vladimir Putin in his favorite position: as supreme dealmaker in chief. Russia’s strategic interest is in fostering chaos so as to demand favors for exerting its leverage on the ground.
This is a major challenge for Trump. If the president allows the Kurds to be smashed by Turkey, or dominated by Assad, or made feudal serfs to Russia, U.S. credibility with its Middle Eastern partners will evaporate. Note, here, that perception of power matters as much as practical power in Middle Eastern politics. Thanks to his abrupt Syrian withdrawal, at the moment, Trump is perceived as unreliable. This is a big problem for the president’s broader objectives in the Middle East: consolidating a Sunni-led counterterrorism alliance, strengthening balance of power relationships with Sunni kingdoms, and consolidating regional politics away from Iran.
If Trump is seen to abandon allies at critical moments such as that of Manbij, regional leaders will turn to those they believe are more useful in America’s vacuum. And that’s Russia. Seeing as Russia’s overarching game plan in the Middle East is to play various actors off against each other, Russia’s rise will mean only one thing: more chaos, the exact ingredient for conflict, instability, and terrorism.
Trump can act here. He can demand to Erdogan that the Turks not enter Manbij. He can also continue to provide U.S. logistical support to the Kurds and cut a deal with Assad that balances the interests of American allies. But Trump’s present course suggests he believes no interests are at stake in Syria. He is wrong. In physical and credibility terms, U.S. interests are on the line.
When it comes to defending those interests, the buck stops at the Oval Office desk.
Source Article from https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/in-syria-trumps-version-of-obamas-red-line-moment
A huge majority of the Republican Party supports President Trump’s handling of the partial government shutdown, according to a Huffington Post/YouGov poll released Thursday.
The poll reveals some deep divisions between Republican and Democratic voters.
A total of 84 percent of Republicans — 64 percent of whom strongly approve and 20 percent who somewhat approve — support Trump’s refusal to accept a funding bill that does not include more than $5 billion for enhancing security operations at the U.S.-Mexico border.
The gap is reversed on the other side, with 87 percent of Democrats unhappy with the Republican president’s behavior, according to the Dec. 22-23 poll of U.S. citizens.
[New: Trump threatens southern border closure amid partial government shutdown]
Overwhelming support for one’s party also exists among Democratic poll respondents who say members of their party have properly handled the shutdown, now in its sixth day.
While 69 percent of Democrats approve of the way congressional Democrats are handling the shutdown, more GOP voters indicated support their party’s president: 84 percent.
That party-line division isn’t reflected in the overall figures, which show 49 percent of all U.S. citizen adults blame Trump, compared with 40 percent who pointed to congressional Democrats and one-third who said congressional Republicans shouldered the blame.
A Dec. 21-25 survey conducted by Reuters/Ipsos found 47 percent blamed the Republican president compared to 33 percent who blamed Democrats in Congress. Another 7 percent said Republican lawmakers are at fault.
The new poll results are slightly higher than those reflected in a Morning Consult survey whose dates overlap with the first two.
In the Morning Consult questionnaire, 43 percent of registered voters faulted Trump for the shutdown. Trump said last week he was willing to leave one-quarter of the federal government without money in order to get a bill that included $5 billion for enhancing border security operations.
The Homeland Security, Justice, Agriculture, and Commerce Departments, as well as other agencies, ceased all nonessential operations last Saturday.
The House passed a bill that included $5 billion of a project estimated to cost $20-$25 billion. However, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said the upper chamber would not take up the funding bill because it included money for a wall.
Although Republicans have a majority in the Senate, they need 60 votes to clear the bill and no Democrats have indicated a willingness to cross the aisle.
The Reuters/Ipsos survey was conducted online among 2,440 U.S. adults, and it had a 2.4 percentage point margin of error.
The question from the Huffington Post/YouGov online poll was asked of half of the 1,000 total respondents. The survey had a 3.4 percentage point margin of error.
The Morning Consult online poll was taken among 1,992 registered voters nationwide and had a 2 percentage point margin of error.
Source Article from https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/poll-republicans-overwhelmingly-support-trump-in-shutdown
For the past few weeks, the North Carolina elections board has been trying to sort out the results of the state’s Ninth Congressional District election, tainted by allegations of ballot tampering. But a court decision will lead to the board suddenly dissolving on Friday because of a prior legal challenge already underway.
The elections board was supposed to meet on January 11 to review evidence of possible electoral fraud connected to a local operative who worked for the Republican campaign of Mark Harris. But a state court ruled that the board — currently with an even number of Democrats and Republicans, plus one nonpartisan member — must cease operations after previously finding it unconstitutional, part of a legal fight that started in 2016.
So now there is chaos in North Carolina, with the Ninth District race still uncalled and the new Congress being sworn in next week. We’re really not sure what happens next. Michael Bitzer, a well-regarded political observer in the state, was himself at a bit of a loss for words.
Harris, who was ahead by 900 votes in the Election Day tally, had urged the state board to certify the results of his win over Democrat Dan McCready. But the outgoing board had refused to certify his win because of evidence that absentee ballots had been tampered with in the Ninth District. The No. 2 House Democrat, Steny Hoyer of Maryland, said Friday that Harris would not be seated given the “well-documented” allegations of election fraud. New members are supposed to be sworn in on January 3.
The court case that killed the board has nothing to do with the Ninth District controversy. Read Bitzer’s blog post for a fuller history, but the short version is this: Republicans, having lost the governorship to Democrat Roy Cooper in 2016, passed legislation in a lame-duck session that, among other things, changed the make-up of the elections board (from one that gave the governor a partisan advantage to one that is evenly divided) in a bid to curb Cooper’s power.
A series of court challenges has found the board, and subsequent versions of it, unconstitutional, though the current board was still allowed in place to oversee the 2018 midterms. But the state court found it unconstitutional again, even as professional staff continue the inquiry into the Ninth District election, and ruled Friday that it must disband.
The GOP-controlled legislature has approved a new version of the board, over Cooper’s veto, but it’s not supposed to assume its duties until January 31. Cooper has said he would appoint an interim board; Republican legislative leaders are saying he can’t.
It seems safe to say this is an unprecedented situation. For now, it appears unlikely Harris will be seated in the House on January 3, and the state investigation is ongoing.
North Carolina will, at some point, get a new elections board — one that, under state law, has broad discretion to call a new Ninth District election if there is enough evidence to cast doubt on the basic fairness of the November election.
It’s important to remember two things about absentee ballots in North Carolina: Anybody can request one, and at the end of every day before the election, state officials publish a file of which voters requested an absentee ballot by mail and whether they have returned it to be counted.
A campaign could check that file every morning to know how many registered Republican, Democratic, and unaffiliated voters had requested and returned a mail-in ballot.
“From a mechanics point of view, this is a gold mine of information for candidates and their campaign,” Bitzer, a politics professor at Catawba College, had told me previously.
With that in mind, here is some of what we know so far about the alleged ballot tampering scheme in the North Carolina Ninth Congressional District:
That is a lot of smoke, and you can see the contours of the scheme: People working to support the Republican campaign were collecting absentee ballots en masse, serving as witnesses for them, and possibly (but this isn’t proven by any means) destroying them.
But we don’t know a few critical pieces of information:
Without the answers to those questions, it’s hard to say definitively what the precise scheme was — though the new evidence uncovered by WSOC suggests ballots may have been destroyed or discarded. There were already legitimate concerns those ballots were mishandled, given the testimony of ballots that were collected unfinished or unsealed. We can say that much for sure.
But the list of outstanding questions is long. Another one: Were specific voters targeted? Jessica Dowless indicated to BuzzFeed News that ballots for Democratic or black (or both) voters were a focus, but later seemed to walk back that claim.
Bitzer ran the numbers and found something odd about the absentee ballots in Bladen County: Harris would have needed to win every single unaffiliated voter and a good number of Democrats in order to rack up the margins he saw on absentee ballots there.
Source Article from https://www.vox.com/2018/12/28/18159460/north-carolina-election-board-9th-congressional-district-fraud
Oliver de Ros/AP
The secretary of homeland security is traveling to the Texas border town where an 8-year-old migrant from Guatemala was detained before dying in U.S. custody the day before Christmas.
Kirstjen Nielsen already vowed improvements in medical care after two migrant children died in the custody of U.S. Customs and Border Protection this month. Nielsen is visiting El Paso, Texas, and Yuma, Ariz., on Friday and Saturday, according to a DHS official, and meeting with Border Patrol agents and local health care providers.
Eight-year-old Felipe Gomez-Alonzo had the flu when he died on Monday, according to an autopsy by the New Mexico medical investigator. Officials say 7-year-old Jakelin Caal Maquin, who died three weeks ago, was dehydrated and had similar symptoms.
Both children came from Guatemala with their fathers and crossed the border illegally. Their deaths have raised new questions about the quality of medical care at Border Patrol processing centers.
But pediatricians on the border say they have been raising similar concerns for years.
“It’s not a place for a well child, much less a sick child,” said Marsha Griffin, a pediatrician in Brownsville, Texas, and spokeswoman for the American Academy of Pediatrics.
Immigration authorities rarely allow visitors inside processing centers near the border. But Griffin did get access to some of them while conducting research for the AAP, and she recalls touring one facility in South Texas in 2016.
“We passed mounds of teddy bears and security blankets that were taken from the children because they might have scabies or lice,” Griffin said. “The lights are on 24 hours a day. The children sleep on thin mats on the floor with only a Mylar blanket.”
Record numbers of migrant families
Federal officials say they are scrambling to care for a record number of migrant children and families, many of them fleeing from Central America and seeking asylum in the U.S.
“This is just devastating for us,” said Kevin McAleenan, the commissioner of U.S. Customs and Border Protection, in an interview earlier this week with CBS This Morning.
“We’ve got over 1,500 emergency medical technicians that have been co-trained as law enforcement officers. They work every day to protect the people that come into our custody,” McAleenan said. “We’re doing dozens of hospital trips every single day with children that have fevers or manifest other medical conditions.”
Up and down the border, volunteer doctors and nurses are also struggling to care for migrant parents and children after they’ve been released from federal custody.
“We feel overwhelmed,” said Marcela Wash, a nurse in San Diego who is coordinating medical screenings and care for migrants at local shelters. Wash told member station KPBS that some of these migrants are already sick when they’re released from CBP custody.
“They come over not having bathed for three or four days, however many days they have been in detention,” Wash said. “Some of them arrive with upper respiratory problems, nausea, vomiting.”
Pediatricians say migrant children would benefit from earlier medical screenings.
“In a child, an infection or a medical condition can get worse within hours,” said Carlos Gutierrez, a pediatrician in El Paso.
Gutierrez is one of about two dozen local doctors and nurses who are giving free medical exams at local shelters. But that is only after migrant children and parents have been released from Border Patrol custody, as many as five or six days after they’ve crossed the border.
When the number of migrant children spiked back in 2014, local doctors and nurses were allowed to give these screenings as soon as they arrived at Border Patrol facilities, Gutierrez said. He hopes to be able to do that again.
“It’s a better chance of us preventing the catastrophe if we see them earlier,” Gutierrez said. “If we’re allowed to get in there, things such as the death of the two children that we’ve heard about … they probably wouldn’t have happened. Those are needless.”
Source Article from https://www.npr.org/2018/12/28/680794189/after-two-needless-migrant-deaths-pediatricians-voice-concerns-about-care
The government shutdown fight may be burning quietly over this holiday week, but it still needs to end. President Trump’s lather, rinse, repeat routine of hoisting out border wall funding as an eleventh-hour demand over which to shut down the government is getting old, particularly for his base. In 2018 alone, the federal government has shut down three separate times, always due to an immigration negotiation spurred by Trump. The country blames the president.
Trump can’t afford to go into the 2020 election without a cent of real funding for a physical barrier along the southern border. With Democrats taking over the House and mobilized to resist Trump at all costs, President Dealmaker needs to finally sit Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., at the table and make one.
In a stroke of irony, Trump’s best bet looks eerily similar to the Gang of Eight bill that passed the Senate with a whopping 68 votes.
Repeal the diversity visa? Check.
Significantly curb the extent of chain migration? Check.
Institute a points-based meritocratic immigration system to keep out the bad hombres? Check.
Require employers to use E-verify? Check.
Crack down on our existing visa system? Check.
Deliver Democrats a win in allowing existing DACA recipients amnesty and a pathway to citizenship? Check.
And most importantly, allocate $4.5 billion to the Department of Homeland Security for border security (read: the wall)? Checkmate.
Trump botched this latest round of negotiations at every step, from publicly declaring that he would own the shutdown to suggesting that Senate Republicans nuke the legislative filibuster right as Democrats are about to take over the House. But for the author of The Art of the Deal to sit down Schumer and make him reject the bill that he sponsored just five years ago would be the greatest and grandest finale of this incessantly boring performance art-as-politics.
Outside of this, Trump doesn’t have too much of a choice. In January, it seemed unlikely that Democrats would give Trump a penny for the wall without some protection of DACA recipients, and now it seems impossible.
So go ahead Mr. President, show us the art of the deal.
Source Article from https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/just-pass-the-gang-of-eight-bill-already
RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) — The dissolution of North Carolina’s elections board Friday injected further uncertainty into a still-undecided congressional race as a U.S. House Democratic leader rejected the idea of filling the seat until an investigation of ballot fraud allegations is complete.
Gov. Roy Cooper was met with Republican resistance after announcing he would appoint an interim Board of Elections after a three-judge state court panel ruled Thursday that the current board should disband at noon Friday. The Democrat’s move would fill the gap — and allow the board to proceed with a Jan. 11 evidentiary hearing about the 9th District congressional race — until a new law governing the statewide elections panel can take effect Jan. 31.
Amid the turmoil, incoming U.S. House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer issued a statement saying House Democrats won’t allow Republican Mark Harris to be sworn in next week because of the ongoing investigation.
“Given the now well-documented election fraud that took place in NC-09, Democrats would object to any attempt by Mr. Harris to be seated on January 3,” Hoyer said, adding that “the integrity of our democratic process outweighs concerns about the seat being vacant at the start of the new Congress.”
The U.S. Constitution states that the House is the judge of the elections of its members and the final arbiter of contests.
The state Elections Board has refused to certify the race between Harris and Democrat Dan McCready while it investigates absentee ballot irregularities in the district in the south-central part of the state. Harris holds a slim lead in unofficial results, but election officials are looking into criminal allegations against an operative hired by the Harris campaign.
Friday’s standoff was set in motion by the latest ruling from a state court that previously had found the elections board’s makeup unconstitutional after the Republican-controlled legislature altered the board in 2016. The court had ruled earlier this year to allow the board to remain in place until Friday while it investigates the congressional race. The latest ruling came as lawmakers enacted a new law Thursday to largely restore the board to how it operated before 2016.
Cooper started the process of rebuilding the elections board Friday by informing the state Democratic and Republican parties that he plans to create an interim panel with five members of the current elections board, unless he receives different picks from the state parties. The interim board would last until the new law takes effect Jan. 31.
He said he would appoint both Democrats and Republicans to comply with pre-2016 state elections law he says is temporarily back in force.
“All of these members have election law experience and an awareness of the circumstances around the allegations involved in the Ninth Congressional District election,” Cooper said in his letter to state party heads.
But state GOP Chairman Robin Hayes said the dissolving board’s four GOP members “will not accept appointments to an unconstitutional, illegal sham Roy Cooper creation.” Republicans instead will withhold GOP nominees until the new law takes effect, he said.
The outgoing state board refused a last-minute formal request by Harris to certify him the winner.
The elections board reorganization threatens to delay the Jan. 11 hearing. Lawyers for Harris and McCready had a Monday deadline to submit requests to the elections board for people they wanted to have compelled to appear and testify at next month’s hearing. But if the current elections board is disbanded without a new one to replace it, the board chairman or vice chairman who could issue the requested subpoenas wouldn’t exist.
Last week, elections board chairman Josh Malcolm said in an affidavit to the three-judge panel that investigative staffers — who can continue working through any reorganization — had collected more than 182,000 pages of materials in response to 12 subpoenas.
Malcolm said Friday that the elections board issued “numerous additional subpoenas” before disbanding. In a letter to Harris’ attorney, Malcolm wrote that the GOP candidate had turned over only about 400 pages of subpoenaed documents and had yet to produce another 140,000 documents. Harris also had so far failed to arrange a requested interview with agency staffers, Malcolm said.
Harris’ campaign committee has pored through about 135,000 documents that needed review, the Republican’s attorney David Freedman said Friday. Harris “has cooperated and intends to continue cooperating with the investigation,” Freedman said.
If House Democrats refuse to seat Harris, it wouldn’t be the first time a chamber of Congress delayed or rejected seating a new member. In 2009, U.S. Senate leaders initially refused to seat Roland Burris as the replacement for President-elect Barack Obama’s Illinois seat. Burris had been named to succeed Obama by Gov. Rod Blagojevich, who was eventually convicted on corruption charges for trying to sell the Senate appointment.
___
Follow Emery P. Dalesio on Twitter at http://twitter.com/emerydalesio . His work can be found at https://apnews.com/search/emery%20dalesio .
___
Follow Drew on Twitter at www.twitter.com/JonathanLDrew
Source Article from https://www.aol.com/article/news/2018/12/28/house-leader-democrats-wont-seat-candidate-in-unresolved-race/23628929/
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Washington (CNN)Gov. Paul LePage certified the election results for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District after a recount and legal battle dragged out the final result in the race for almost two months, cementing a Democratic victory.
Source Article from https://www.cnn.com/2018/12/28/politics/maine-governor-certifies-congressional-election/index.html
House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi is spending the holidays vacationing in Hawaii, as a partial government shutdown grinds on with no resolution in sight.
Fox News has confirmed that Pelosi, the House speaker-designate, is vacationing in Kona, Hawaii, and was seen there Thursday as well as Friday morning. Pelosi’s office on Friday did not return requests for comment about her whereabouts.
Earlier Friday, The Washington Free-Beacon first reported that Pelosi was spotted at the Fairmont Orchid resort. According to that resort’s website, guests “are treated to luxury resort amenities featuring our Spa Without Walls, a 10,000 sq.ft. oceanfront swimming pool and 24-hour fitness center.”
Pelosi is poised to become speaker of the House again after Democrats officially retake the majority of the House next week.
Because of the partial government shutdown – which went into effect a week ago – President Trump canceled plans to spend Christmas in Florida, and stayed at the White House. White House Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney said on “Fox & Friends” that Trump is also nixing his plans for New Year’s because of the shutdown.
“He canceled his plans for Christmas, now he’s canceled his plans for New Year’s,” Mulvaney said. “The president is very heavily engaged in this.”
Though Pelosi is in Hawaii, her office has continued to release press statements over the shutdown.
TRUMP THREATENS TO CLOSE BORDER, TERMINATE TRADE DEALS, CUT AID UNLESS WALL IS FUNDED
“Democrats have offered Republicans three options to re-open government that all include funding for strong, sensible, and effective border security – but not the President’s immoral, ineffective and expensive wall,” Drew Hammill, Pelosi’s deputy chief of staff, said Friday. “With the House Majority, Democrats will act swiftly to end the Trump Shutdown, and will fight for a strategic, robust national security policy, including strong and smart border security, and strong support for our servicemembers and veterans.”
Meanwhile, Trump warned Friday that if Democrats do not agree to his demands to fund a wall on the southern border, he will “close the Southern border entirely” and cut aid to Central American countries — while pulling back on trade with Mexico.
“We will be forced to close the Southern Border entirely if the Obstructionist Democrats do not give us the money to finish the Wall & also change the ridiculous immigration laws that our Country is saddled with,” he tweeted Friday morning. “Hard to believe there was a Congress & President who would approve!”
Fox News’ Claudia Cowan, Chad Pergram and Adam Shaw contributed to this report.
Source Article from https://www.foxnews.com/politics/nancy-pelosi-is-vacationing-at-hawaii-resort-during-shutdown
President Trump contends that his withdrawal of U.S. military forces from Syria will serve American interests without compromising the critical interests of close allies. One Syrian town is about to test that thesis.
Namely, the situation in the northern-central city of Manbij. If Trump fails to exert U.S. leverage in relation to Manbij, that city will become a marker for his version of former President Barack Obama’s red-line chemical weapons debacle in Syria. Located just west of the Euphrates river and about 50 miles northeast of Aleppo, Manbij is currently controlled by U.S.-allied Kurdish forces. But now that Trump has ordered a withdrawal of U.S. forces from Syria, other forces are moving in on Manbij. These elements know that controlling the city means controlling the access routes to Aleppo, to Turkey, and across the Euphrates to Ain Issa and the Kurdish strongholds farther east. In short, Manbij is a strategic gemstone.
Yet the various warring parties in Syria have different views over who should control Manbij. Syrian President Bashar Assad wants to control Manbij in order to dominate Syria’s northwest. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan wants to control Manbij as a buffer against the Kurds and an influencing point against Assad. The Iranians support Assad. The Sunni-Arab kingdoms also support Assad as a means to protect their own influence (more on that in another piece later). And the Russians? They love the chaotic jockeying in that it puts Russian President Vladimir Putin in his favorite position: as supreme dealmaker in chief. Russia’s strategic interest is in fostering chaos so as to demand favors for exerting its leverage on the ground.
This is a major challenge for Trump. If the president allows the Kurds to be smashed by Turkey, or dominated by Assad, or made feudal serfs to Russia, U.S. credibility with its Middle Eastern partners will evaporate. Note, here, that perception of power matters as much as practical power in Middle Eastern politics. Thanks to his abrupt Syrian withdrawal, at the moment, Trump is perceived as unreliable. This is a big problem for the president’s broader objectives in the Middle East: consolidating a Sunni-led counterterrorism alliance, strengthening balance of power relationships with Sunni kingdoms, and consolidating regional politics away from Iran.
If Trump is seen to abandon allies at critical moments such as that of Manbij, regional leaders will turn to those they believe are more useful in America’s vacuum. And that’s Russia. Seeing as Russia’s overarching game plan in the Middle East is to play various actors off against each other, Russia’s rise will mean only one thing: more chaos, the exact ingredient for conflict, instability, and terrorism.
Trump can act here. He can demand to Erdogan that the Turks not enter Manbij. He can also continue to provide U.S. logistical support to the Kurds and cut a deal with Assad that balances the interests of American allies. But Trump’s present course suggests he believes no interests are at stake in Syria. He is wrong. In physical and credibility terms, U.S. interests are on the line.
When it comes to defending those interests, the buck stops at the Oval Office desk.
Source Article from https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/in-syria-trumps-version-of-obamas-red-line-moment
“For a lot of folks, this was just another example of Obama regulatory overreach,” said Jeffrey R. Holmstead, a partner at the law firm Bracewell who served as E.P.A. air chief under the second President George Bush.
The Obama administration itself had broadly accepted that it is difficult to put a specific dollar-figure on some health benefits, for instance, avoiding lost I.Q. points in infants or other fetal harm that has been linked to pregnant women eating mercury-contaminated fish. For that reason, the original rule argued against using a strict cost-benefit analysis to decide whether the regulation should be imposed, said Joseph Goffman, the executive director of Harvard Law School’s Environmental and Energy Law Program.
The new proposal fundamentally changes that approach. It recognizes that difficult-to-quantify benefits exist, but said the administrator “has concluded that the identification of these benefits is not sufficient, in light of the gross imbalance of monetized costs.”
Ann Weeks, senior counsel for the Clean Air Task Force, an environmental group, criticized the rule as “bean counting,” and said, “This is not tax law. This is public health benefits. It’s a very different calculus.”
Environmental activists said they intend to challenge the new finding in court. If it survives those challenges, observers say it would set a precedent that could make it tougher for the government to justify any number of future regulations.
“There is a likelihood that this rule-making will be the administration’s flagship effort to permanently change the way the federal government considers health benefits,” said Janet McCabe, who ran the E.P.A.’s air office under Mr. Obama.
Mr. Wheeler, in a recent interview, dismissed the idea that utilities, having spent billions of dollars on pollution controls, would stop using them. “It’s not like people are going to start taking off their equipment and start putting mercury into the atmosphere,” he said.
Source Article from https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/28/climate/mercury-coal-pollution-regulations.html
The mayor of El Paso, Texas, called on lawmakers in Washington, D.C., to finally do something to address the many problems with the nation’s immigration system.
Earlier this week, ICE released hundreds of migrants into the city, as the government struggles to detain illegal immigrants amid an influx of Central Americans trying to cross the U.S.-Mexico border.
Mayor Dee Margo (R) said on “America’s Newsroom” Friday there have been about 24,000 migrants released into El Paso since October, five times more than 2017.
He said the city has an agreement with federal authorities that they will notify an NGO called Annunciation House, which helps the migrants obtain food and shelter for 96 hours before they’re transported to sponsors elsewhere in the country.
Homan on Illegal Immigrant Wanted for Cop’s Murder: ‘California Provided Him Sanctuary’
Margo said there was a breakdown in communication before Wednesday’s release and the NGO did not know the migrants would be coming.
“It was a surprise, yes, and it was in violation of our agreement with them,” said Margo, explaining that the migrants are having to be released due to overcrowding at federal facilities.
He said the bottom line is that U.S. immigration policy “stinks” and lawmakers have refused to address the situation for years.
“It’s about time somebody steps up and develops a little manhood along the way and determines what they need to do irrespective of the political fallout,” he said, adding that a “myriad” of issues must be dealt with.
Margo said he doesn’t like the term border “wall” but there has been a fence on the El Paso-Mexico border since 2008 and it has worked.
“Something’s gotta give. We need a rational process to deal with DACA, legal immigration and the migrant population coming north and claiming asylum.”
Watch the interview above.
Mulvaney: Dems Supported Border Security Until Trump Took Office, Pelosi Holding Up Deal
House Dem: We Had a Deal to Fund Gov’t, Then Trump ‘Went Off His Meds’
Source Article from http://insider.foxnews.com/2018/12/28/el-paso-mayor-calls-congress-fix-immigration-system-after-release-migrants
The illegal immigrant fugitive who was wanted in the murder of a California police officer was taken into custody on Friday after being on the run for more than two days, according to an official, who made the case that the fatal encounter may have been preventable.
Stanislaus County Sheriff Adam Christianson announced the arrest of the suspect — identified as Gustavo Perez Arriaga — in Bakersfield, about 280 miles southeast of Newman, where Police Cpl. Ronil Singh was gunned down early Wednesday. The arrest was confirmed by the Fresno County and Kern County Sheriff’s Offices.
Christianson, whose department has been handling the case, told reporters at a news conference that Arriaga is from Mexico and was in the U.S. illegally after previously crossing the Arizona border. It wasn’t clear when that crossing occurred, though.
Christianson said the suspect had been in the country for a number of years and was seeking to cross back over the border before the shooting occurred.
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The suspect had known gang affiliations, as well as two past DUI arrests, Christianson said.
The suspect was stopped by Singh for a DUI investigation before getting into a gunfight with the officer, during which Singh tried to defend himself, Christianson said at a separate news conference Thursday.
Authorities also said they’ve arrested two others — 25-year-old Adrian Virgen and 27-year-old Erik Razo Quiroz — who Christianson said had attempted to mislead investigators in an effort to protect the suspect. The sheriff’s office said on Facebook that Arriaga would be charged with homicide. Virgen and Quiroz were arrested and accused of being accessories after the fact to a felony, the post said.
As for whether Singh’s death was preventable, Christianson noted that had law enforcement previously been able to report the suspect to Immigration and Customs Enforcement because of his criminal record, the loss of life might never have occurred.
“While we absolutely need to stay focused on Officer Singh’s service and sacrifice, we can’t ignore the fact that this could’ve been preventable,” Christianson said. “And under SB54 in California, based on two arrests for DUI and some other active warrants that this criminal has out there, law enforcement would’ve been prevented, prohibited from sharing any information with ICE about this criminal gang member. Ladies and gentlemen, this is not how you protect a community.”
At a separate news conference, Kern County Sheriff Donny Youngblood told reporters that he’d been notified on Thursday that the suspect was somewhere between Modesto and Bakersfield and was thought to be heading toward Mexico.
Surveillance teams set up in different communities, and authorities were able to obtain a search warrant for the residence where the suspect was located, Youngblood said. As a SWAT team moved in, the suspect came out with his hands up and surrendered, he added.
Officer Singh’s handcuffs were later used on the suspect, according to the sheriff.
“When you use a firearm against a police officer, you can run but you can’t hide,” Youngblood said.
Additionally, three others were arrested on suspicion of helping the suspect elude authorities, Youngblood said, adding that he expected more arrests may be coming.
The announcement of it came nearly a day after Newman Police Chief Randy Richardson made an emotional plea for the suspect to turn himself in.
“A coward took his life,” Richardson said. “We need closure. His family needs closure.”
The suspect may have connections to a violent Mexican-American street gang, according to an image circulating on social media and confirmed as authentic by investigators early Friday.
The photo shows the alleged “cop-killer” posing in a tank top, with a metal chain necklace draped around his neck and a large flaming skull tattoo visible on his right arm. Underneath the tattoo is the word “$ur3no$,” which, according to police in Washington State, is Spanish for “southerners”.
“Sureños are a group of Mexican-American street gangs with origins in southern California (south of Bakersfield),” reads a profile on the group in a police gang recognition guide. “The gang has allegiance to the [California] prison gang, Mexican Mafia, aka “La Eme”.
The gang recently has been blamed for murders and human smuggling crimes along the U.S.-Mexico border.
Christianson said Thursday that police have possession of a truck believed to have been driven by the suspect in Singh’s killing.
The man appears to have at least five Facebook profiles, each with a different alias. Four of the pages say he is from Mexico’s Colima State on its Pacific Coast and contain images of him with the “Sureños” tattoo and silver chain necklace visible. Some of the pages are Facebook friends with one another.
One of the profiles purportedly belonging to the individual contains numerous images of pistols and weapons, and several images of him crossing his arms while holding a pistol.
Singh was a native of Fiji and left behind a wife and 5-month-old son. The officer, who joined the force in the summer of 2011, was remembered fondly by the Newman police chief, who said Singh “truly loved what he did.”
“He came to this country with one purpose, and that was to serve this country,” Richardson said.
The Stanislaus Sworn Deputies Association has established a memorial fund in Singh’s honor.
Fox News’ William LaJeunesse and The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Source Article from https://www.foxnews.com/us/california-illegal-immigrant-cop-killer-taken-into-custody-officials-say
The 115th Congress appears to have given up, with both the House and Senate failing to reach a deal to end the ongoing government shutdown. This likely punts the showdown over the border wall to the 116th Congress where Trump will face off against a Democratic majority in the House. An agreement won’t be pretty, but it would be a good lesson for Trump and one that could set the stage for a productive two years to come.
With Democrats controlling a majority in the House, any new deal that lands on Trump’s desk will be unlikely to hold the funding Trump has demanded for the wall. Since Trump won’t let government remain shut down for the rest of his term, he will eventually need sign a deal to end the gridlock. This will be seen as a capitulation to Rep. Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., the likely new speaker of the House.
That’s not a good start for the new year. It also doesn’t help Trump convince his base that he is the man to stand up to Democrats and make good on campaign promises ahead of 2020.
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In the long term, however, handing an early victory to House Democrats may prove a necessary wake-up call on the reality of divided government.
The early realization that a Democrat-controlled House means more trouble than investigations and subpoenas might galvanize the president to sit down and make deals rather than simply making demands. Additionally, Trump could learn to better value Republican allies in Congress and listen to their advice about what is and is not possible. Indeed, had he followed that advice in the lead up to the holidays, the government would likely still be open with agreement on appropriations one final victory of Republican controlled government.
For conservatives, the president learning the difficult lessons of divided government early on and avoiding two years of gridlock would be an important step to victory in 2020. A track record of disagreement and stalemates, however, will fail to convince all but the staunchest supporters that Republicans and Trump are serious about governing.
Source Article from https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/trump-is-headed-for-a-wake-up-call-on-reality-of-divided-government-thats-not-a-bad-thing
Matt Brown/AP
In another proposed reversal of an Obama-era standard, the Environmental Protection Agency Friday said limiting mercury and other toxic emissions from coal- and oil-fired power plants is not cost-effective and should not be considered “appropriate and necessary.”
The EPA says it is keeping the 2012 restrictions in place for now, in large part because utilities have already spent billions to comply with them. But environmental groups worry the move is a step toward repealing the limits and could make it harder to impose other regulations in the future.
In a statement, the EPA said it is “providing regulatory certainty by transparently and accurately taking account of both costs and benefits.”
The National Mining Association welcomed the move, calling the mercury limits “punitive” and “massively unbalanced.”
When coal is burned it releases mercury into the air, where it can cause health risks to people including neurological disorders, heart and lung problems and compromised immune systems. Babies developing in the womb and young children are especially at risk. The main source of exposure is through eating contaminated fish and seafood.
In 2015, a court ordered the EPA to take into account not just the benefits of the mercury rule but also its cost to industry. In its new proposal, the EPA estimates that cost at $7.4 billion to $9.6 billion annually and the benefits at just $4 million to $6 million a year.
By contrast, the Obama administration had calculated an additional $80 billion in health benefits because particulate matter and other toxic pollutants are also reduced when utilities limit mercury. It said those “co-benefits” included preventing up to 11,000 premature deaths each year.
“What has changed now is the administration’s attitude towards public health,” said Clean Air Task Force Legal Director Ann Weeks in a statement. Weeks called the EPA’s estimates outdated and said more recent research finds billions of dollars in public health benefits from reducing mercury emissions alone.
Others are concerned about the future impact.
“We should not limit ourselves in the ongoing fight against this dangerous pollutant,” said mercury expert Celia Chen of the Dartmouth Toxic Metals Superfund Research Program. In a statement, she said the warming climate, for example, might affect mercury’s impact on the environment but the EPA’s proposal could make it harder to address that. “Regulators need the tools to strengthen mercury controls in the future if needed,” she said.
Critics worry that revising the way the costs and health benefits of regulations are calculated could undermine the justification for a range of other environmental rules as well, possibly making them more vulnerable to legal challenge.
Jeff Holmstead doesn’t think that’s necessarily so. He’s a former EPA air administrator now with Bracewell LLP, which represents energy industry clients. In a statement, he said the EPA is not restricting courts from considering the co-benefits of a certain regulation but merely saying it should not justify a regulation like “this case, where virtually all the benefits are co-benefits.”
Even though the EPA’s mercury standards have faced court challenges, utilities spent more than $18 billion to comply with the requirements. In a letter to the EPA last summer, utilities and regulatory and labor groups said mercury emissions had been reduced by nearly 90 percent over the past decade.
In that letter they also asked the Trump administration’s EPA to leave the existing standards in place.
Since many regulators have included the equipment costs in utility rates, some worry that no longer requiring the limits could leave customers paying for the pollution controls without getting cleaner air. That’s because it also costs money to continue operating that equipment.
“It’s not unreasonable to expect that if the standards go away there will be some number of utilities that will choose to no longer operate pollution controls that they’ve installed,” says Janet McCabe, former acting assistant administrator of the Office of Air and Radiation at EPA during the Obama administration.
In 1990 Congress amended the Clean Air Act and advised the EPA to limit mercury emissions from a variety of industries. It took 21 years before the EPA finalized the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards for coal-fired power plants. The standards help meet the country’s commitments under the Minamata Convention on Mercury.
The proposal to weaken the mercury limits is the latest in a series of efforts the Trump administration has taken to help the struggling coal business. The federal Energy Information Administration says U.S. coal consumption in 2018 is expected to be at its lowest level in nearly four decades. Even as coal use rises in China and India, the domestic industry has struggled to compete with cheaper electricity produced from natural gas and renewable energy.
In December the administration proposed a revision that would allow coal-fired generators to emit more CO2 per megawatt-hour of electricity generated. The EPA has also moved to relax Obama-era regulations on carbon emissions and roll back existing regulations that govern coal ash.
The EPA proposal is open to public comment for 60 days after it is posted in the Federal Register.
Source Article from https://www.npr.org/2018/12/28/679129613/trump-epa-says-mercury-limits-on-coal-plants-too-costly-not-necessary
Facebook has had a difficult 2018, enduring issues that included data-leakage scandals, congressional enquiries, and even accusations that foreign governments used the social network to spread misinformation and propaganda.
But looking back on the year, Facebook founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg sees a job well done.
“For 2018, my personal challenge has been to focus on addressing some of the most important issues facing our community — whether that’s preventing election interference, stopping the spread of hate speech and misinformation, making sure people have control of their information, and ensuring our services improve people’s well-being,” he wrote in a note posted to his Facebook page on Friday.
“In each of these areas, I’m proud of the progress we’ve made.”
Zuckerberg famously gives himself an ambitious goal every year as part of his New Year’s resolutions. In 2018, it was to fix Facebook.
Mission accomplished, Zuckerberg said, although there’s still more work to be done.
“To be clear, addressing these issues is more than a one-year challenge. But in each of the areas I mentioned, we’ve now established multi-year plans to overhaul our systems and we’re well into executing those roadmaps,” Zuckerberg wrote.
The rest of Zuckerberg’s lengthy note goes into how Facebook has improved its systems and incorporated artificial-intelligence systems to fight propaganda, remove harmful content, and even reduce the amount of time people spend on viral videos on the site.
“One change we made reduced the amount of viral videos people watched by 50 million hours a day,” Zuckerberg wrote. “In total, these changes intentionally reduced engagement and revenue in the near term, although we believe they’ll help us build a stronger community and business over the long term.”
Zuckerberg didn’t reveal what his personal goal for 2019 is in Friday’s post, but if it’s anything like what he did last year, it’s sure to make headlines.
Source Article from https://www.thisisinsider.com/mark-zuckerberg-reflects-on-facebooks-2018-2018-12
The letters began immediately. Dozens at first, then hundreds, each day bringing more: from a Texas man telling her this was why we needed to build the wall. From a New York television producer asking for an interview. From an elderly woman despairing “this divided America in which we now live.” Nearly every day since her daughter’s body was found, she had opened the mailbox, then sat and read them, because that was her routine, that was how she tried to make sense of something so senseless. But now the mailbox was empty for the first time, and she had a new routine.
Laura Calderwood, whose daughter, Mollie Tibbetts, 20, was allegedly murdered by an undocumented immigrant and left to rot in a cornfield this past summer, closed the mailbox, walked up the steps to her house and turned on the stove. It was getting on toward 6, and she needed to get dinner going. The boys would be hungry.
There were two inside the house now. One was her son, Mollie’s younger brother, a high school senior named Scott. And the other was his friend, a courteous teenager named Ulises Felix. He was the child of Mexican immigrants. For years, his parents had lived and worked beside the man accused of killing her daughter at the same dairy farm on the other side of town, which they fled after his arrest, leaving behind not only Brooklyn, where they’d been for nearly a decade, but also Ulises, their 17-year-old son. He’d wanted to finish high school in the only town he’d ever known, and soon, remarkably, he had a new home – the home of Mollie Tibbetts – where Laura had promised to look after him in his parents’ absence.
She flipped on the television.
The news that day was what the news was every day in a country where the central political clash no longer revolved around a choice between candidates, or a question of big government vs. small, but rather an elemental battle over who gets to be an American. Should any immigrant – regardless of race, religion, nationality or circumstance – have that chance? Or should it be reserved for the few who might more quickly assimilate into the American majority?
Today, on the news, President Donald Trump was again making clear where he stood. Birthright citizenship was “ridiculous.” The caravan of Central American migrants marching through Mexico toward the United States was an “invasion.” In their numbers were “many gang members.”
And today, Laura was standing at a countertop cluttered with the letters from strangers who found her address online, in a kitchen heaped with hundreds more, dropping shredded rotisserie chicken and noodles into a pot of boiling water, when the front door opened.
“Uli?” she called.
“Yeah?” he replied, coming into the kitchen, hair dyed blond and wearing white sneakers.
“Are you hungry now?” Laura asked. “I’ve got homemade chicken soup and some garlic bread.”
She brought him a bowl of soup, and he took it, and they stood there for a moment.
“There’s some more if you want,” she said.
“Thank you,” he said, eyes going from the dinner table to his nearby bedroom, then back to the dinner table. He turned to walk with the bowl to his room, where he would eat alone on his bed, but Laura stopped him. Scott was downstairs. She was about to eat alone, too.
“Eat out here, if you want, Uli,” she offered, so he came back. They both sat at the table, as opinions of the caravan and immigration seesawed on the television.
“. . . we simply cannot tolerate the continued invasion of this country . . . ” a voice on the news program said.
They discussed his excitement about playing basketball that season, and little else, two people from two different Americas – one an immigrant, the other a native – whose lives were upended by the same moment of violence and then plunged into the center of another divisive national debate about immigration.
“. . . sending close to 5,000 troops to the border . . .”
Two people who were, each in their own way, mourning the loss of family members, with little in common beyond raw need. Two people now trying to translate this unspoken need into somethingfamilial, an effort increasingly complicated by their separate connections to the alleged killer, Cristhian Bahena Rivera.
Ulises stood. He took his empty bowl to the sink. He washed it, put it away quietly, then returned to his room. He closed the door behind him. At the table, Laura finished her meal in silence.
The stories almost always begin the same way. A son or daughter is dead, and an undocumented immigrant is blamed. Aggrieved and adrift, the parents search for meaning in it all, some finding what they can in obsession and hatred. “In mylife we’re going to find the trash who killed my kid,” said Scott Root of Council Bluffs, Iowa, whose daughter, Sarah Root, 21, was killed in 2016, allegedly by an undocumented drunk driver who was released after partially paying bail, then disappeared. Others find meaning in political transformation. “I became a Republican,” said Sabine Durden of Mineral Springs, Ark., whose son was killed by an undocumented immigrant in a traffic collision. And still others in activism: “My story needed to get out,” said Laura Wilkerson of Pearland, Texas, whose son, Josh Wilkerson, 18, was beaten to death in 2010 by an undocumented immigrant.
Then there is Laura Calderwood. Fifty-five, with curly blond hair and a halting gait, she is a lifelong liberal who didn’t abandon her politics. She feels anger like the others, but not toward an entire group of people. She’s not afraid of the demographic change remaking the country. But she does fear the deepening polarization. So she never goes to political rallies – never speaks publicly – because she believes that would just inflame things. Instead, she tries to live every day, including this one, just as she did before it all happened.
By late afternoon, Laura had finished up her shift at the grocery store, where she works in the catering department, and gotten into her white SUV. She drove through nearby Grinnell, pulling up to the public library, as always, seeking a sense of calm in its quiet. She went in and sat near the magazines, one of which she had been reading the afternoon of July 19, when her phone rang.
It was her son Scott. He was asking, “Did you know Mollie didn’t come into work today?” Laura quickly thought back to the night before. Mollie, who’d been dogsitting at her boyfriend’s house, was supposed to have come home for dinner but hadn’t. That wasn’t unlike Mollie, sometimes scattered, always losing something. But for her to miss work? Laura quickly reported her missing. The following weeks blurred: search missions, media reports, false ransom demands, death threats, misreported sightings, private fears. On and on it went, until Aug. 21, when police announced that a body was found, and those fears were confirmed, and Laura began a new life, this one saddled by public expectations.
Source Article from https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/midwest/ct-mollie-tibbets-mom-20181228-story.html
Prague is lovely in the late summer. The twilight creates silhouettes out of the hundreds of spires weaving throughout the city until 9 p.m. or so, and chances are that the sky is brightening again when you stumble out of some dance club off of the Vltava. With the tipsy Czech lining the winding streets at all hours of the humid days, Prague lets you lose yourself to anonymity. But as Franz Kafka knew a century ago, “Prague never lets you go.”
So I’m inclined not to believe the latest McClatchy D.C. report claiming, yet again, that President Trump’s since-fired fixer and grifter of a personal attorney spent two summers ago meeting with Kremlin officials in the Czech capital. For perhaps the first time ever, I believe Cohen when he tweeted, “I hear #Prague #CzechRepublic is beautiful in the summertime. I wouldn’t know as I have never been. #Mueller knows everything!”
The infamous Christopher Steele dossier, whose author estimates of which 70 to 90 is accurate, originally charged Cohen with spending “August/September 2016” in Prague. The McClatchy report, if true, would eviscerate a key defense from the Trump camp against accusations of Russian collusion.
Despite the #Resistance hype built around the latest report, as it stands, only anonymous sources have backed up McClatchy’s assertions, relayed in two stories over the course of eight months. Not one other journalist or news organization has corroborated the Cohen story, nor has anyone even hinted that they are close on the trail.
That said, Cohen still hasn’t provided the public any definitive evidence exonerating him from the charge. He posted a photo of his unopened passport on Twitter shortly after BuzzFeed released the dossier, and the Atlantic confirmed that he was in fact in Los Angeles for a week in August. Because the Czech Republic belongs to the EU’s Schengen Area, a group of member countries which have effectively abolished border control, even the complete publication of Cohen’s passport wouldn’t provide a full defense (Cohen could have easily flown from the U.S. to Paris and then taken the train to Prague, leaving him only with a French stamp in his passport, not a Czech one).
But at this point, Mueller likely does know everything, at least as it pertains to Cohen. If Mueller was capable of strong-arming Cohen into a guilty plea for lying about the infamous Trump Tower meeting, it seems highly unlikely that Cohen would have persisted in a lie about the Prague trip, which would presumably leave a much clearer paper trail.
As with all things Trump-related, no verdicts are certain, and the public should continue to be open to new evidence. But as it stands, the Prague hypothesis consists of anonymous sources, conjecture, and nothing else.
Source Article from https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/improbable-but-not-impossible-that-michael-cohen-went-to-prague
WASHINGTON — January will mark the beginning of a cavalcade of Democratic presidential hopefuls who are preparing to officially launch their campaigns early in the new year, according to multiple advisers and aides working for the prospective candidates.
Running for president has become a two-year endeavor, and, even though everyone says they hate it, candidates invariably get sucked into the presidential primary-industrial complex and rush to Iowa and New Hampshire as quickly as possible, lest they get left behind.
The calculus that goes into that decision turns out to be pretty simple and comes down to one thing above all else: money. And lots of it.
Seeking the White House has never been more expensive, and some veteran Democrats estimate a candidate will need to raise $10 million to $15 million in the first quarter of 2019, and at least $50 million during the full year, to be seriously competitive once voters start actually casting ballots in early 2020.
Trump’s re-election campaign and affiliated GOP groups have already raised more than $100 million, while the Republican National Committee has raised tens of millions more.
Many potential Democratic candidates have circled January or early February on their calendars as the ideal launch window — early enough to try to raise an impressive amount of money in the first quarter of the year without stepping on November’s midterm elections.
“I have an announcement on Jan. 12,” Julian Castro, the former Obama Housing secretary, who is publicly exploring a presidential campaign, said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” on Sunday.
“I know I have to make up my mind, and I have to do it by January,” former Vice President Joe Biden said earlier this year on CNN.
“Anything I might do politically is probably not something that I’ll be making any news about before January,” Mayor Pete Buttieig of South Bend, Indiana, said this month after announcing he won’t run for re-election, potentially to make a bid for the presidency.
Meanwhile, Democratic Sens. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Cory Booker of New Jersey and Kamala Harris of California are all also quietly preparing for potential campaign launches in early 2019, people close to them have said.
That follows roughly the same timing as Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, who started their famous 2008 primary brawl in late January and early February 2007, respectively.
As December winds to a close, no new names have come up, even though November and December were wide open for the taking. Whatever advantages other timelines may offer, the financial calendar seems to trump them.
January is likely to be crowded because it comes at the start of a financial quarter, which gives candidates the maximum amount of time to raise money before announcing their first fundraising haul at the end of the quarter in March. Extra days mean more swank campaign fundraisers, dialing-for-dollars calls, and more email solicitations to grassroots contributors who chip in just a few dollars at a time.
Presidential campaigns’ first fundraising reports to the Federal Election Commission are scrutinized like report cards by the media, rivals and opinion-leading party leaders, labor union heads and elected officials, as they decide whom to support.
A lack of early fundraising strength can be a death knell for a candidate since donors both large and small look to bet on a winning candidate and are quick to drop perceived losers.
Money isn’t everything in politics, but it’s a lot. And a strong first quarter fundraising haul is one of the surest ways to demonstrate viability and strength, not just in the primary, but in the general election against Trump.
Plenty of candidates run for president when they have little chance of winning, but none do so once they run out of money. “We simply didn’t have the resources to compete going forward,” Rick Santorum explained of his decision to quit the 2012 Republican race.
Unexpectedly strong fundraising has helped underdog candidates like Obama in 2008 and Bernie Sanders in 2016 be taken seriously and vault to the top of the field.
For Democrats in 2020, the financial demands will be even higher and the need to raise funds even more urgent since large, expensive states like California and Texas have moved their primaries to just after the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina primaries. That makes California and Texas more important, creating incentives for candidates to invest more heavily and earlier there than they would have in previous years.
The Democratic National Committee has also moved up its national convention and will start conducting debates as early as June 2019.
“It’s going to be a very condensed,” Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti, who is considering a 2020 bid, said of the primary process at a Bloomberg event this month. “There’s going to be, I think, a very different dynamic this time around.”
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