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No caben dudas de que el Gobierno necesita, desde varios puntos de vista, que la economía empiece a recuperarse lo más pronto posible. Hace cinco años que el nivel de actividad no se expande (hoy tenemos el mismo PBI real que teníamos en 2011, al tiempo que el PBI real per cápita es un 5% más bajo), por lo que lograr que la economía vuelva a crecer es, indudablemente, el primer gran desafío de la administración Macri.

Existe cierto consenso, entre los analistas (tanto locales como extranjeros) que siguen el día a día de la economía argentina, en torno a la idea de que en el corto plazo se producirá una recuperación del nivel de actividad. Sin embargo, la pregunta relevante a esta altura no es si dicha recuperación va a producirse o no, sino a qué velocidad será. Más allá de que es cierto que el retorno del crecimiento económico es una buena noticia en sí misma, también lo es que en algún momento el Gobierno va a necesitar que la velocidad de recuperación se acelere lo suficiente como para que la sensación de mejora de la situación económica resulte palpable para una amplia proporción de la sociedad. Estamos a un año de las elecciones legislativas (la campaña electoral va a empezar mucho antes, no bien finalice el verano), y sin la “ayuda” de una economía creciendo a buen ritmo todo será más difícil para el oficialismo de cara a dichos cruciales comicios de medio término.

En lo que respecta a cuestiones estrictamente domésticas, hay una serie de factores que permiten ser optimistas en cuanto a las posibilidades de una expansión del nivel de actividad interno en los próximos meses. En efecto, la estabilización/recuperación del poder adquisitivo, la baja –aunque lenta– de la tasa de interés, el mayor “empuje” fiscal, el blanqueo de capitales y las perspectivas de una buena campaña agrícola para el ciclo 2016/17 son todos aspectos que, ceteris paribus, tenderán a generar una expansión del nivel de actividad respecto de los alicaídos niveles que tenemos hoy.

Sin embargo, algunas cuestiones estructurales aún no han sido resueltas –desde el déficit fiscal y los bajos niveles de productividad hasta el precio relativo del dólar, la alta presión tributaria y la insuficiencia de infraestructura productiva– y van a limitar de alguna u otra manera la tasa de crecimiento potencial de Argentina en el corto/mediano plazo. Teniendo en cuenta lo anterior, va a resultar de vital importancia la ayuda que reciba la economía argentina desde el contexto internacional. En este marco, analizar el estado actual –y lo que se espera para los próximos trimestres– de las variables externas que tienen mayor incidencia sobre la dinámica económica de Argentina cobra especial trascendencia.

Si bien varios factores internacionales afectan el día a día de la actividad interna, por razones de simplicidad hemos centrado el análisis en cuatro ítems principales:
1) tasa de crecimiento real del PBI brasileño;
2) spread de riesgo soberano emergente;
3) precio internacional de la soja, y
4) poder adquisitivo del dólar norteamericano en Brasil.

Mediante la combinación de estas cuatro variables hemos construido el Indice de Condiciones Externas (ICE). Un aumento de dicho índice debe ser interpretado como una situación en la que, en promedio, el contexto internacional está “empujando” el crecimiento económico en Argentina, y viceversa.

Lo primero que hay que remarcar es la muy fuerte caída que sufrió el ICE durante el año pasado. En efecto, el índice se redujo nada menos que un 17,4% en 2015, contracción que se suma a la que se produjo en 2014 (período durante el cual el ICE cayó 5,4%). Durante el año pasado, todos los ítems que componen el ICE sufrieron un marcado deterioro, en especial los asociados a la evolución de la economía brasileña y al precio internacional de la soja. En el primer caso, la fuerte apreciación real del dólar (con respecto a la moneda brasileña), en conjunto con la contracción de la actividad económica en Brasil (en torno al -3,9% durante 2015), significó un duro impacto para la economía argentina, en general, y para el sector industrial (dada su alta dependencia de la demanda brasileña) en particular. Asimismo, la caída del precio internacional de la soja (que resultó el año pasado, en promedio, un -24,1%) también implicó un shock negativo, que tendió a limitar la dinámica del nivel de actividad durante 2015.

La buena noticia es que, luego de dos años de fuerte deterioro, el ICE se estabilizó durante 2016. En efecto, según nuestros cálculos, el ICE aumentaría, en promedio, un 1,6% durante este año. El factor que más colabora en dicho leve aumento es la apreciación real del real brasileño frente al dólar, que tiende a compensar la caída esperada para este año del PBI real de Brasil. También la compresión de los spreads de riesgo de los mercados emergentes representó una ayuda externa para Argentina durante este año, en especial si tenemos en cuenta que el gobierno federal y las provincias han estado recientemente muy activos en la realización de operaciones de colocación de deuda pública en los mercados internacionales.
 
De cara a 2017, la situación luce aún más alentadora. Según nuestros cálculos, el ICE aumentaría un 8,5% durante el próximo año, gracias en buena medida a la caída esperada en el precio real del dólar en Brasil y al retorno de la economía brasileña al sendero del crecimiento económico. En el mismo sentido, también se espera un leve aumento, en promedio, del precio internacional de las commodities agrícolas y una reducción del spread de riesgo promedio para los mercados emergentes.

Si bien la mejora del contexto internacional esperada para 2016 no llega a igualar las “ayudas” que Argentina recibió del mundo durante el período 2003/2007 (con una tasa de crecimiento promedio del ICE de 13,0% por año) y 2010/11 (con una expansión del ICE de 11,8% promedio por año), no va a pasar inadvertida.

En resumen, el “mundo” vuelve a darle buenas noticias a Argentina, en general, y a la administración Macri en particular. Está claro que la leve mejora de las variables internacionales, que son relevantes para Argentina, no hará por sí sola que la economía crezca a un ritmo acelerado durante 2017. Pero, sin dudas, ayuda y mucho.

Source Article from http://www.perfil.com/columnistas/el-mundo-vuelve-a-darle-buenas-noticias-al-pais.phtml

Nikole Hannah-Jones accepting a Peabody Award in May 2016.

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Nikole Hannah-Jones accepting a Peabody Award in May 2016.

Mike Coppola/Getty Images

Trustees for the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill voted Wednesday afternoon at a closed session to give tenure to star New York Times writer Nikole Hannah-Jones, several months after refusing to consider her proposed tenure.

The case inspired a bruising debate over race, journalism and academic freedom. It led both to national headlines and anger and distress among many Black faculty members and students at UNC. Some professors there have publicly said they were reconsidering their willingness to remain at the university over the journalist’s treatment by the university..

“We welcome Nikole Hannah-Jones back to campus,” the UNC’s board chairman, Richard Stevens, said at the close of statements after the three-hour special session of the trustees. “Our university is not a place to cancel people. Our university is better than that. Our nation is better than that.

“We embrace and endorse academic freedom and vigorous debate and constructive disagreement,” Stevens said. He also said the campus was not a place for calling people “woke” or “racist.” The trustees, he said, had to endure terrible insults but could not respond for privacy reasons involving the decision.

The dean of the UNC School of Journalism and Media, Susan King, said in a statement that she was heartened by the outcome.

“It has taken longer than I imagined, but I am deeply appreciative that the board has voted in favor of our school’s recommendation,” she wrote. “I knew that when the board reviewed her tenure dossier and realized the strength of her teaching, service and professional vision they would be moved to grant tenure.”

Protesters had demonstrated at the Carolina Inn on Wednesday afternoon, where the meeting was held, and were confronted inside before its start by campus police. They relented, heading outside, after being informed that Hannah-Jones had asked for a private meeting.

Months earlier, board members asked for more information about her credentials when originally declining to take up her proposed tenure. However, it soon became clear that opposition had focused on her work on “the 1619 Project,” a New York Times initiative she conceived on the legacy of slavery on U.S. society today.

Opposition came from a donor

Some of that opposition came from Walter Hussman, a UNC donor and Arkansas newspaper publisher whose name adorns UNC’s journalism school. Hussman, who is also an alumnus, told NPR he was given pause by criticism of prominent scholars that Hannah-Jones distorted the historical record in arguing that the protection of slavery was one of the primary motivations of the Founding Fathers in seeking independence from the British. (Hannah-Jones has recently tweeted that she will be able to back up that contention in her forthcoming book.)

He spoke to a trustee and administrators about his concerns, while saying it is the university’s choice to make.

Predecessors got tenure

Hannah-Jones was up for a professorship endowed by the Knight Foundation; several predecessors in the professorship were granted tenure while, like Hannah-Jones, also lacking a doctorate. Tenure is the promise of near-certain lifetime employment as a professor, barring misdeeds or dereliction of professional obligations. It is intended to ensure academic freedom for scholars to explore ideas and inquiry independent of public or political pressure.

It is highly unusual for a distinguished university’s trustees to turn down a professor for tenure once it has been backed by the relevant department’s faculty, chairman, the dean, and the provost, or chief academic officer. It is seen as interfering in the academic operation of the campus. Dean King had offered a Hannah-Jones a five-year contract to teach and said she intended to continue to seek the trustees’ approval for tenure.

Hannah-Jones is recipient of MacArthur genius grant

Hannah-Jones has won some of the most prestigious awards in journalism, and more. She won a MacArthur “genius grant” for her reporting on the persistence of segregation in American life. She won a Pulitzer Prize for her essay accompanying “the 1619 Project.”

Hannah-Jones also won a Peabody award for a three-part project for This American Life on racially segregated schools in contemporary America. She also won a national magazine award. She earned a master’s degree from the school itself in 2003. A former reporter for the News and Observer in nearby Raleigh, Hannah-Jones was also a reporter for the Portland Oregonian and the investigative outlet ProPublica.

Earlier this month, Hannah-Jones announced she would not accept the offer and would consider suing the university if it failed to give her tenure.

Hussman argued against her credentials by saying she was helping to erode trust in the press by ignoring important journalistic principles of objectivity – the idea that reporters should not take sides.

“I worry that we’re moving away from those time-tested principles of journalism that we had in the 20th century that were so effective at engendering tremendous trust in the media,” Hussman told NPR. He reiterated, however, his pledge of $25 million to the journalism school was not contingent on UNC’s vote on Hannah-Jones’s tenure, and that it was the university’s decision to make.

In a separate interview with NPR, Hannah-Jones said the promise of objectivity is a subterfuge.

“Most mainstream newspapers reflect power,” she said. “They don’t actually reflect the experiences of large segments of these populations, and that’s why many of these populations don’t trust them. So when I hear that, I think he’s speaking to a different audience.”

King has argued that Hannah-Jones’ intensive interests in reporting on race and society spoke to the moment and would enhance student experience. “She is a journalist’s journalist, a teacher’s teacher and a woman of substance with a voice of consequence,” King said Wednesday. “Hannah-Jones will make our school better with her presence. She will deepen the University’s commitment to intellectual integrity and to access for all.”

At 6:36p.m., about a half-hour after the announcement, Hannah-Jones posted a photo of herself on Twitter holding what appeared to be a celebratory glass of whiskey or bourbon. It had been mostly consumed.

Source Article from https://www.npr.org/2021/06/30/1011880598/after-contentious-debate-unc-grants-tenure-to-nikole-hannah-jones

A Los Angeles hiker made a gruesome discovery on a trail when they stumbled upon a decapitated head, officials said.

The hiker was walking their dog around 9 a.m. Monday in Griffith Park and came across the head, news station KCAL reported.

The victim appeared to be a man in his 40s or 50s, and was possibly living in a nearby homeless encampment, news station WRC-TV reported.

Police later discovered the rest of his body and believe he died from natural causes, the report said.

Authorities suspect his body was dismembered by animals, then swept down a hill in a rainstorm.

“The evidence suggests that the person had passed away and animals may have gotten to it, possibly a homeless individual staying up in the area,” Los Angeles police Lt. Ryan Rabbet told WRC-TV.

Source Article from https://nypost.com/2019/12/03/los-angeles-hiker-stumbles-upon-human-head-on-trail/

U.S. Army Special Forces soldiers trained in Afghanistan in 2009. Members of Congress want answers about reported Russian bounties paid to target American troops.

Maya Alleruzzo/AP


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U.S. Army Special Forces soldiers trained in Afghanistan in 2009. Members of Congress want answers about reported Russian bounties paid to target American troops.

Maya Alleruzzo/AP

Updated at 1:51 p.m. ET

Members of Congress in both parties demanded answers on Monday about reported bounties paid by Russian operatives to Afghan insurgents for targeting American troops.

The stories appeared to have taken even the most senior lawmakers off guard, and they said they wanted briefings soon from the Defense Department and the intelligence community.

“I think it is absolutely essential that we get the information and be able to judge its credibility,” said Rep. Mac Thornberry, R-Texas, the ranking member of the House Armed Services Committee.

The story is unfolding along two parallel tracks in Washington, based on two key questions:

First, what actually has taken place — and have any American troops been killed as a result of Russian-sponsored targeted action? And second: Who knew what about the reporting on these allegations that has flowed up from the operational level in Afghanistan?

The White House tried to defend itself over the weekend on both counts, arguing that senior intelligence officials aren’t convinced about the reliability of the reports and that they never reached President Trump or Vice President Pence personally.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who usually receives some of the most sensitive intelligence briefings as a member of the so-called Gang of Eight leaders in Congress, said she too hadn’t been informed and sent a letter Monday requesting a briefing for all members of the House soon.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., called for a briefing for all members of the Senate.

Pelosi cited reports in The New York Times and The Washington Post that suggested that Trump has been aware of the bounty practice since earlier this year but he and his deputies haven’t acted in response.

“The administration’s disturbing silence and inaction endanger the lives of our troops and our coalition partners,” she wrote.

Another top House lawmaker demanding more information was Rep. Liz Cheney of Wyoming, Republicans’ No. 3 leader in the chamber.

White House press secretary Kayleigh McEnany said on Monday that members of Congress have been invited to the White House to learn more about the bounty allegations.

McEnany said that lawmakers from the “committees of jurisdiction” had been invited by White House chief of staff Mark Meadows but she did not detail who specifically would attend or who would brief them or when.

McEnany repeated that there was “no consensus” about the allegations within the intelligence community and that it also includes some “dissenting opinions.”

McEnany suggested that intelligence officials decided to keep the bounty payment allegations below Trump’s level until they were “verified,” as she put it, but those details were not clear.

Custody of the information

Although Trump and John Ratcliffe, director of national intelligence, both said the president hasn’t been briefed about the alleged bounty practice, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence did not address whether aspects of the reporting had been included in written briefings submitted to the president.

McEnany did not directly address a question about written briefing materials on Monday.

Past accounts have suggested that Trump doesn’t read many of his President’s Daily Briefs and prefers to hear from in-person intelligence presenters — but even then, according to the recent book by former national security adviser John Bolton, Trump does more talking than listening.

This has added to questions about practices within the administration for passing intelligence to the president that he might not like or wish to hear about.

For example, former officials have said they learned not to talk with Trump about Russian interference in U.S. elections, about which the president has been critical and skeptical.

Another example included reports that suggested Trump had received warnings about the coronavirus in his daily briefing but hadn’t absorbed them; the White House has detailed two specific briefings Trump received about the virus early this year.

Richard Grenell, the former acting director of national intelligence who temporarily held the post before Ratcliffe’s confirmation, said on Twitter that he wasn’t aware of any reporting about the alleged bounty practices.

Tension with intelligence services

The game of who knew what when is an old one in Washington but which is further complicated now by Trump’s longstanding antipathy with the intelligence community.

The president has feuded with his aides and advisers over their assessments about Russia and other issues such as North Korea’s nuclear program.

There have been reports for years about Russian paramilitary or intelligence activity in Afghanistan with implications for American forces. A top general said Russian operatives were helping the Taliban with weapons or supplies. Former Defense Secretary James Mattis also said he worried about it.

The full picture never emerged, but as the situation on the ground in Afghanistan evolved, so did the practices in Washington to ingest, process and brief intelligence in a capital that has endured a number of tense episodes involving the spy agencies.

It isn’t yet clear what practices the intelligence agencies may have adopted to process intelligence like that connected to the alleged bounty program and whether they were continuing to evaluate it — or different agencies might have reached different conclusions, as sometimes happens.

In other words, did the Defense Intelligence Agency or one of the military services find evidence about the bounty practice in Afghanistan, but there hasn’t yet been confirmation about the intentions of Moscow from the eavesdropping National Security Agency or human spy-operating CIA?

The involvement of overseas allies also might complicate the processing and reporting. Britain’s Sky News reported that British military forces also may have been targeted in exchange for bounties paid by Russian forces and that members of Parliament want clarity from Prime Minister Boris Johnson.

What was clear Monday is that members of Congress want to resolve these questions fast. The House Armed Services Committee’s Thornberry said that the safety of American and allied troops could depend on it.

“When you’re dealing with the lives of our service members, especially in Afghanistan — especially these allegations that there were bounties put on Americans deaths, then it is incredibly serious,” he said. “We in Congress need to see the information and the sources to judge that ourselves, and it needs to happen early this week. You know, it will not be acceptable to delay.”

NPR congressional correspondent Claudia Grisales contributed to this report.

Source Article from https://www.npr.org/2020/06/29/884611485/congress-unites-to-demand-answers-from-trump-on-russian-bounties-in-afghanistan

After being captured by Mexican forces, the Sinaloa cartel managed to wrest El Chappo’s son free from government control with a stunning show of force complete with machine guns and rocket launchers.

The events unfolded in the city of Culiacán on Thursday after troops captured the son of jailed drug lord Joaquín Guzmán Loera, known as El Chapo. His son, Ovidio Guzmán Lopez, is one of many of the notorious kingpin’s children who live in the area. Another one of El Chapo’s sons called up cartel members to begin a siege on Culiacán, according to the New York Times.

Trucks with large mounted machine guns were spotted, as were videos showing rocket launchers and rocket-powered grenades. Many civilians in the city were able to capture the staccato of gunfire during the prolonged battle, which ended in the deaths of at least seven and injured more than a dozen.

The Mexican forces who arrested the younger Guzmán released him after eight of their members were taken hostage. Part of the effort by the cartel to get Guzmán released reportedly included not only taking armed forces hostage, but also kidnapping their families.

Given that they were surrounded, the violence was continuing to rise, and there were hostages, the government surrendered and let Guzmán go.

“Decisions were made that I support, that I endorse because the situation turned very bad and lots of citizens were at risk, lots of people and it was decided to protect the life of the people,” said President Andrés Manuel López Obrador on Friday. “You cannot value the life of a delinquent more than the lives of the people.”

Raúl Benítez, a security expert at the National Autonomous University of Mexico, said that this another example of extreme violence displayed by the cartels this year. He criticized the president for his decision to pull back and surrender to the cartel.

“The government was forced to accept the cartel’s control over the city and not confront them,” Benítez said. “To the people of Culiacán, the president is sending a very tough message: The cartel is in charge here.”

Videos captured the violence unfolding and were posted on social media.

Source Article from https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/the-cartel-is-in-charge-here-narcos-overpower-authorities-and-release-el-chapo-son-in-massive-show-of-force


“We’re just getting closer and closer to a point where we have to do something,” said freshman Rep. Katie Hill. | Zach Gibson/Getty Images

congress

The rift demonstrates the near-impossible balance for Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her allies as they try to keep focus on their legislative agenda.

Freshman Democrats who delivered the House majority are starting to split under impeachment pressure, as a number of those in competitive districts are now warming to the idea of launching proceedings against President Donald Trump.

As the administration continues to stonewall requests for documents — not just surrounding special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation, but oversight probes into other agencies and Trump’s finances — Democrats are growing frustrated. Some freshmen are questioning what recourse can be taken other than an impeachment inquiry — a tactic presented by a number of veteran Democratic leaders to strengthen their hand in court.

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“We’re just getting closer and closer to a point where we have to do something,” said Rep. Katie Hill (D-Calif.), a freshman member of leadership who beat a GOP incumbent last fall. “Each of us is personally struggling because we see on so many levels … where he’s committed impeachable offenses.”

The shift by some creates a divide among the class of vulnerable members into two camps: those who see a moral and constitutional obligation to say Trump’s conduct is unfit for the presidency despite potential political risks, and those who believe impeaching Trump won’t result in his removal — and will only hurt Democrats like them.

Until recently, the majority of Democrats in competitive districts have stayed away from calling for impeachment or even commenting on current investigations. But the growing interest in impeachment among several key battleground members could be a sign that the Democratic caucus as a whole is inching toward taking more drastic action to rebuke Trump — over the objections of their leadership. Multiple vulnerable Democrats privately say that refusing to pursue impeachment could actually hurt their reelection chances by depressing enthusiasm among the party’s base.

The rift demonstrates the near-impossible balance for Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her allies as they attempt to expose what they see as unprecedented misconduct by Trump, without distracting from an ambitious legislative agenda that delivered them the majority.

“The public wants us to do our job, which we are, but it also includes continuing our investigation and the more the Trump administration and the president defies Congress’s Constitutional law the more we’re seeing increasing demand for Congress to take action,” said Rep. Harley Rouda (D-Calif.) who flipped a longtime Republican seat in Orange County in 2018, told POLITICO.

Days later, Rouda went further during an interview on MSNBC, saying he thinks Democrats should “draw a line in the sand.”

“Either honor the subpoenas and the request for documentation by this date, or we will move towards impeachment proceedings,” Rouda said Sunday.

And the administration’s move this week to block former White House counsel Don McGahn from testifying, coupled with the unproductive negotiations over Mueller’s public testimony, have pushed more frontline Democrats to consider an impeachment inquiry, which they argue wouldn’t necessarily lead to an actual vote on the floor.

New Jersey Democrat Tom Malinowski, who is a top Republican target in 2020, plans to decide whether he supports an impeachment inquiry in the coming days.

“I’m going to be cautious, but I think the administration’s actions are pushing us to a point where that may be the only option,” Malinowski said. “The hard question that we’ve been forced to confront is: How do we fulfill our constitutional and moral obligation at a time when Congress is broken by partisanship, and we know that the Senate will not remove him if he shoots a man on 5th Avenue. That’s what a lot of us have been struggling with.”

But while some of the party’s most vulnerable freshmen are warming to the idea, many of the caucus’ moderates, especially those in districts Trump carried in 2016, are privately grateful for Pelosi’s efforts to stamp out talk of impeachment.

Rep. Max Rose (D-N.Y.), who flipped a Staten Island-based seat that went for Trump by nearly 10 points in 2016, expressed frustration with his fellow battleground-district freshman who are inching toward impeachment.

If Democrats go down that path, Rose said, “then they should warm to the idea of going back to the minority.”

“Right now we’re in this incredibly childish game of impeachment chicken, and everyone has to start acting like adults,” Rose added. “The president needs to listen to Congress. Congress needs to act responsibly — I believe that for the most part it is — and then let’s go back to actually doing the work of the American people that they sent us here to do.”

Several freshmen moderates say they’re anxious that it could drown out all talk of the caucus’s legislative agenda, particularly issues like health care and infrastructure.

“I think impeachment is probably the last decision that we would ever want to make,” said Rep. Jeff Van Drew (D-N.J.). “If there really isn’t something significant enough there to impeach — which I don’t think there is at this point — then let’s move on and get the work of the people done.”

“The thing that I’m concerned about is that we constantly risk losing focus on the legislation that affirmatively helps people’s lives,” added Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.), who also acknowledged that the White House’s response is “not going in the right direction right now.”

Even Democrats from safe districts privately worry that mounting talk of impeachment will carry the same political costs today as it did two decades ago for Republicans. They point to 1998, when Democrats defied history in Bill Clinton’s second midterm election and actually gained seats amid a fierce impeachment battle with congressional Republicans.

Pelosi and her top deputies have repeatedly said that the caucus’s decision on how to proceed on impeachment will not be based on the party’s chances in 2020. But House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer acknowledged to reporters Tuesday that the caucus does have to consider political factors.

“To say there’s no political calculus would not be honest for any of us in the Congress,” Hoyer (Md.) said. “The political calculus is, what is the reaction of the American people? What do the American people think we ought to be doing?”

The loudest calls for impeachment, so far, have been mostly confined to members of the House Judiciary Committee — few of whom are expected to face competitive elections back home.

One exception is Rep. Lucy McBath (D-Ga.), who sits on the committee and is also among the caucus’s most vulnerable Democrats. McBath said she talks to her colleagues daily about the political pressures she faces at home on matters like impeachment.

“Specifically, for people like me that are in the kinds of districts that I’m in, impeachment is not something that a lot of people in my district want to talk about,” she said. “But at the same time, I’m tasked with being on this committee to make sure no one is above the law.”

Another Democrat on Judiciary, Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D-Fla.), who is a GOP target, took a different tack, though she dodged questions about her support for launching an inquiry.

“[Trump is] acting as an authoritarian leader, which I have seen many times in Latin America, and it is very dangerous,” Mucarsel-Powell said. “I want the people living in South Florida, people living in my community, to understand what is written in that report, and we can’t do that unless we have these hearings.”

Heather Caygle and Kyle Cheney contributed reporting.

Source Article from https://www.politico.com/story/2019/05/21/battlegrounds-democrats-impeachment-1338084

Gastón Silva se lesionó en el encuentro entre Uruguay y Colombia del pasado 11 de octubre, por lo que ha estado alejado de los terrenos de juego tres semanas, pero el martes retomó los entrenamientos.

La vuelta al trabajo con el resto de sus compañeros del zaguero sudamericano ha sido la principal novedad en el entrenamiento que este martes ha completado el equipo dirigido por Lucas Alcaraz en su Ciudad Deportiva, el primero de los cuatro que el Granada realizará esta semana.

Tras haber recibido el alta médica Gastón Silva, los únicos jugadores que permanecen lesionados en la plantilla rojiblanca son el meta croata Ivan Kelava y el lateral francés Dimitri Foulquier.

La recuperación del lateral puede ser la solución a una duda que se venía planteando en los últimos días. Con Álvaro Pereira suspendido y Jorge Fucile lesionado, el lugar podría ser para Federico Ricca, pero la recuperación de Silva abre la puerta para que el del Granada sea titular.

Source Article from http://www.ovaciondigital.com.uy/seleccion/buenas-noticias-tabarez.html

Ten Democrats running for president are likely to have qualified for the primary debate next month after the Democratic National Committee’s (DNC) deadline to meet its criteria passed on Wednesday night.

That is half of the 20 Democrats who took part in the two previous debates after the DNC doubled the thresholds to make the stage. It will likely mean the debate will take over only one night, on Sept. 12. 

The previous two debates in June and July were spread over a total of four nights, as the DNC has capped the maximum number of candidates who can debate at once at 10.

For the September debate, the DNC required each candidate to reach 130,000 unique donors and at least 2 percent support in four DNC-approved polls to qualify.

Ten candidates have met those requirements: Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenFormer Biden economic adviser: ‘I really like a lot of’ Warren’s tax proposals Poll: Trump trails top 2020 Democrats in Michigan Monmouth acknowledges poll showing Biden losing support was ‘outlier’ MORE; Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersFormer Biden economic adviser: ‘I really like a lot of’ Warren’s tax proposals Poll: Trump trails top 2020 Democrats in Michigan Monmouth acknowledges poll showing Biden losing support was ‘outlier’ MORE (I-Vt.); Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenFormer Biden economic adviser: ‘I really like a lot of’ Warren’s tax proposals Poll: Trump trails top 2020 Democrats in Michigan Monmouth acknowledges poll showing Biden losing support was ‘outlier’ MORE (D-Mass.); Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisPoll: Trump trails top 2020 Democrats in Michigan Social justice advocate steps up calls for DNC to hold poverty-focused debate Trump trails top five 2020 Democrats in national poll MORE (D-Calif.); South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPeter (Pete) Paul ButtigiegTrump trails top five 2020 Democrats in national poll Two new polls show Biden with big edge on Warren, Sanders We know Mayor Buttigieg’s drug decriminalization plan works — ask Portugal MORE; Sen. Cory BookerCory Anthony BookerKey questions in final hours before Democratic debate deadline 2020 Democrats sit for interviews with health care activist Alyssa Milano: The key to beating Trump? Elect all of the Democratic candidates MORE (D-N.J.); Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy Jean KlobucharThe Hill’s Morning Report – Dem lawmakers put guns, hate groups on fall agenda Key questions in final hours before Democratic debate deadline Alyssa Milano: The key to beating Trump? Elect all of the Democratic candidates MORE (D-Minn.); former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas); former tech executive Andrew YangAndrew YangSaagar Enjeti: Why Joe Biden is slipping; Krystal Ball breaks down UBI versus a federal jobs guarantee Two new polls show Biden with big edge on Warren, Sanders Biden inches higher atop 2020 Democratic field: poll MORE; and former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julián Castro.

The 10 remaining candidates in the Democratic field appear likely to have failed to make the stage: billionaire hedge fund executive Tom SteyerThomas (Tom) Fahr SteyerTwo new polls show Biden with big edge on Warren, Sanders Biden inches higher atop 2020 Democratic field: poll The Hill’s Morning Report – Dem lawmakers put guns, hate groups on fall agenda MORE; Rep. Tulsi GabbardTulsi GabbardTwo new polls show Biden with big edge on Warren, Sanders Biden inches higher atop 2020 Democratic field: poll The Hill’s Morning Report – Dem lawmakers put guns, hate groups on fall agenda MORE (D-Hawaii); Sen. Michael BennetMichael Farrand BennetKey questions in final hours before Democratic debate deadline Sanders doubles down on ‘Medicare For All’ defense: ‘We have not changed one word’ Democratic candidates face hard choices as 2020 field winnows MORE (D-Colo.); Montana Gov. Steve BullockSteve BullockThe Hill’s Morning Report – Dem lawmakers put guns, hate groups on fall agenda Overlooked Nevada seeks to pack a bigger punch in 2020 race Key questions in final hours before Democratic debate deadline MORE; Rep. Tim RyanTimothy (Tim) John RyanKey questions in final hours before Democratic debate deadline Alyssa Milano: The key to beating Trump? Elect all of the Democratic candidates Democratic candidates face hard choices as 2020 field winnows MORE (D-Ohio); former Rep. John DelaneyJohn Kevin DelaneySocial justice advocate steps up calls for DNC to hold poverty-focused debate Key questions in final hours before Democratic debate deadline Delaney rips DNC over climate debate rejection: ‘How does that possibly make sense?’ MORE (D-Md.); New York City Mayor Bill de BlasioBill de BlasioKey questions in final hours before Democratic debate deadline New York City panel recommends ending gifted programs for students CNN town hall with de Blasio, Bullock marks ratings low for network MORE; bestselling author Marianne WilliamsonMarianne WilliamsonKey questions in final hours before Democratic debate deadline New poll shows Biden falling badly, three-way tie for Democratic lead Marianne Williamson on Trump: We have a little bit of a ‘mad King George’ in charge MORE; former Rep. Joe Sestak (D-Pa.); and Miramar, Fla., Mayor Wayne MessamWayne Martin MessamKey questions in final hours before Democratic debate deadline Democratic candidates face hard choices as 2020 field winnows 2020 Democrats release joint statement ahead of Trump’s New Hampshire rally MORE.

The DNC will make a final determination on which candidates make the stage after a certification process.

Candidates who fell short for the September event could still qualify for the October debate, which will have the same criteria.

The qualifying window for both events opened on June 28, but a DNC memo sent to the campaigns earlier this month said that the deadline to qualify for the October debate will be two weeks before it begins.

That would give candidates more time to make the October stage, joining the 10 candidates who will appear in September, who will also qualify for the following debate.

Of the 10 candidates who are likely not to make the stage in September, Steyer is the closest to qualifying, needing only one more survey that meets the DNC threshold after meeting the donor criteria. Steyer has yet to make any of the debates after launching his presidential campaign shortly before the July debate.

Gabbard, who has also met the donor requirement, needs two more surveys. The Hawaii congresswoman made the stage in the previous two debates.

But missing out on the September debate could make it even harder to climb in the polls or attract new donors given that it will deprive candidates of a critical platform to pitch themselves to voters and an opportunity to distinguish themselves in a crowded primary field.

Harris, for example, shot up in the polls after she confronted Biden in June over his past opposition to school busing, while Booker saw his best day of fundraising of the 2020 cycle the day after the July debate. 

Sen. Kirsten GillibrandKirsten Elizabeth GillibrandKey questions in final hours before Democratic debate deadline Alyssa Milano: The key to beating Trump? Elect all of the Democratic candidates Democratic candidates face hard choices as 2020 field winnows MORE (D-N.Y.) dropped out of the race just hours before the qualification deadline after failing to make much headway in the crowded field.

Some of the candidates who were on the verge of failing to make the cut have grumbled that the DNC’s requirements are too stringent or that the decisionmaking process behind them lacked transparency.

In a statement on Wednesday, hours before the deadline, Steyer’s campaign sent a statement calling on the DNC to expand its “polling criteria in the future to include more early state qualifying polling.”

Meanwhile, Gabbard’s campaign hammered the body last week over its process for selecting which pollsters will count toward the qualifying criteria. 

Source Article from https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/459138-ten-candidates-make-september-debate-stage-while-several-others-fall-short

Two and a half years into the Donald Trump presidency, Americans are used to Trump posting off-the-rails tweets. But Thursday morning still stood out.

Trump body-shamed Sen. Elizabeth Warren while using a slur to demean her, mistakenly tagged a random retired teacher who is not of fan of his while insulting her fellow 2020 contender Pete Buttigieg, expressed confusion about when his presidential campaign began, joked about illegally staying in power beyond a second term, brazenly gaslighted about his indebtedness to banks, and said he thinks he’ll win in Minnesota in 2020 simply because a city council there decided to stop saying the Pledge of Allegiance before meetings.

All of this happened before 8 am.

Each of these tweets, by themselves, would’ve been highly abnormal public statements coming from any other president. For Trump, they are not. Still, the volume with which he posted them on Thursday morning was remarkable.

Here’s a breakdown of Trump’s odd tweets on Thursday, in the order in which he posted them.

Trump is confused about when his campaign began

While hyping the sham social media summit that’s set to take place at the White House on Thursday, Trump tried to take shots at “The Fake News,” which he claimed has “lost tremendous credibility since that day in November, 2016, that I came down the escalator with the person who was to become your future First Lady.”

(Trump deleted and reposted a number of tweets, including this one, in a thread that contained errors, but not before I captured screengrabs of the originals.)


There’s just one problem: The escalator incident Trump referred to actually happened happened in Trump Tower 17 months before November 2016, in June 2015, just before the speech in which he launched his presidential campaign. While Trump’s election night victory speech also took place in Trump Tower, there was no footage of him coming down an escalator on that night. He appears to have mixed it up.

Remembering when your presidential campaign began seems like a pretty odd thing to get confused about. But Trump was just getting started.

Trump “jokes” about staying in office for for 14 more years

Trump segued from a tweet expressing confusion about when his campaign began to one in which he joked about staying in office for as many as 14 more years.


This is far from the first time Trump has indicated that he’s interested in staying in office for more than two terms. He’s said he does so to troll the media, but given his open admiration for dictators abroad and repeated efforts to undermine the rule of law at home, his jokes about becoming president for life really aren’t funny.

Trump mistakenly tags a retired teacher who isn’t a fan of his

In the same tweet in which he joked about illegally extending his term in office, Trump, while trying to demean South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg for purportedly resembling cartoon character Alfred E. Neuman, mistakenly tagged an account belonging to a retired teacher who, based on his recent retweets, is clearly is not a fan of the president.

This isn’t the first time Trump has mistakenly tagged the wrong account on Twitter — he did so as recently as two weeks ago. But that he continues to make easily avoidable mistakes like this is a sign of how little vetting his tweets get before they’re posted for the world to see, as well as a broader recklessness.

Trump body-shames Elizabeth Warren while using a racial slur

After insulting Buttigieg, Trump demeaned Elizabeth Warren by describing her as “a very nervous and skinny version of Pocahontas.”


“Pocahontas” has become Trump’s go-to slur while mocking Warren and her ill-fated attempt to claim Native American ancestry. But attacking Warren’s demeanor and looks is a new twist, and comes while first lady Melania Trump is purportedly busying herself with anti-cyberbullying work as part of her broader “Be Best” campaign.

Trump went on to compare Warren unfavorably with himself, describing himself as “so great looking and smart, a true Stable Genius!” But note that in that very same tweet, Trump revealed a confusion about fractions. According to an analysis of the results of the DNA test Warren released, her fractional Native American ancestry is somewhere between 1/64 and 1/1024. But in writing “1000/24th,” Trump got it backward.

“Stable Genius,” indeed.

Trump thinks he’ll win Minnesota over a silly Pledge of Allegiance controversy

Trump then turned his attention to Minnesota, where the city council in the Minneapolis suburb of St. Louis Park recently voted to stop saying the Pledge of Allegiance before meetings. The story has been a major topic this week on Trump’s favorite television show, Fox & Friends.

The latest polling indicates that Trump’s approval rating is 16 points underwater in Minnesota, but Trump seems to think that the St. Louis Park City Council’s move will be enough for him to overcome that deficit and win a state that hasn’t gone for a Republican since Richard Nixon in 1972.

Trump’s tweet suggests that instead of using his power to do things that make people’s lives better, he thinks a winning strategy heading into 2020 is identity grievance issues. The polling in Minnesota begs to differ, but then again, Trump doesn’t buy polls that aren’t favorable to him.

Trump gaslights about his indebtedness to banks

Hours after the New York Times published a report about the business relationship between Deutsche Bank and Jeffrey Epstein, a convicted sex offender with ties to Bill Clinton and Trump, the president proclaimed that he doesn’t need to do business with banks because “I didn’t (don’t) need their money (old fashioned, isn’t it?).” He went on to acknowledge but downplay his dealings with Deutsche Bank.

This is brazen gaslighting. In March, the New York Times reported that Trump took out an astounding $2 billion in loans from Deutsche Bank and was cut off on two separate occasions by the bank because executives realized he was a risky client. That reporting came a little less than a year after news that Trump still owed as much as $480 million to a number of banks and financial services firms, including but not limited to Deutsche Bank.

And, of course, while Trump tries to brag about his business acumen, it’s worth remembering the Times’s bombshell reporting from last October about how he was gifted at least $413 million by his father, then participated in “dubious tax schemes during the 1990s, including instances of outright fraud” to increase that fortune.

Some of Trump’s most bizarre mornings of tweeting have come amid bad news cycles for him or when bad news is on the horizon; for instance, as I detailed at the time, Trump posted a string of increasingly bizarre tweets shortly after the Mueller report was released publicly in April. But these Thursday tweets come as his approval rating hits historic highs — he’s still 9 points underwater but, according to a new Washington Post/ABC poll, at the highest point of his presidency — and with no obvious reason for him to be melting down. Perhaps there is less method to the mayhem than there sometimes seems.


The news moves fast. To stay updated, follow Aaron Rupar on Twitter, and read more of Vox’s policy and politics coverage.

Source Article from https://www.vox.com/2019/7/11/20690150/trump-tweets-off-the-rails-july-11-2019

Donald Trump has appeared to drop his strongest hint yet at another presidential run in 2024, responding to news of his two-year ban from Facebook on Friday by saying he would not invite Mark Zuckerberg to dinner “next time I’m in the White House”.

It has also been widely reported this week that Trump believes he will be reinstated in the presidency by August.

He will not. But in his statement on Friday he did not say if he thought he would return to the White House because he would be reinstated or because he would run for the Republican nomination again and then defeat Joe Biden or another Democrat.

Trump’s statement read: “Next time I’m in the White House there will be no more dinners, at his request, with Mark Zuckerberg and his wife. It will be all business!”

Trump has a history of using public statements to troll his opponents and a long record of lies and exaggerations and promoting baseless conspiracy theories. At the same time Trump has maintained a strong grip on the Republican party and there is intense speculation about whether or not he would run for the presidency again.

Nick Clegg, the former British deputy prime minister who is now Facebook’s vice-president of global affairs, announced the social media website’s ban on Trump until 2023.

It follows the recommendation of Facebook’s oversight board. Trump has been suspended from the social media site since January, when he incited supporters to attack the US Capitol in service of his lie that his defeat by Joe Biden was the result of electoral fraud.

In a first statement on the suspension, Trump said it was an “insult” to those who voted for him in “the rigged presidential election” and said: “They shouldn’t be allowed to get away with this censoring and silencing.”

Amid striking polling about support for his lies among Republican voters, Trump still dominates polls of possible contenders for the party’s nomination in 2024.

Trump appears to be convincing himself the election was stolen and that some mechanism exists by which he might be reinstated, a belief apparently stoked by Mike Lindell, the chief executive of MyPillow and a hardline Trump supporter.

According to CNN, which confirmed reporting by Maggie Haberman of the New York Times and by the conservative National Review, Trump has asked advisers: “What do you think of this theory?”

A source also told CNN: “People have told him that it’s not true.”

Source Article from https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/jun/04/donald-trump-facebook-white-house

Former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort talks to reporters on the floor of the Republican National Convention in 2016. Prosecutors say Manafort “brazenly violated the law.”

Matt Rourke/AP


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Matt Rourke/AP

Former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort talks to reporters on the floor of the Republican National Convention in 2016. Prosecutors say Manafort “brazenly violated the law.”

Matt Rourke/AP

Prosecutors for special counsel Robert Mueller say they take no position on what Paul Manafort’s prison sentence should be, but say President Trump’s former campaign chairman acted in “bold” fashion to commit a multitude of crimes.

Manafort is scheduled to be sentenced next month after pleading guilty in a Washington, D.C. court last year to charges of conspiracy against the United States and conspiracy to obstruct justice.

In a sentencing memo submitted to the court on Friday but made public on Saturday, prosecutors told Judge Amy Berman Jackson that Manafort “brazenly violated the law.”

“Manafort chose repeatedly and knowingly to violate the law— whether the laws proscribed garden-variety crimes such as tax fraud, money laundering, obstruction of justice, and bank fraud, or more esoteric laws that he nevertheless was intimately familiar with, such as the Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA),” they wrote in the filing.

Manafort shows a “hardened adherence to committing crimes,” the memo said. “His criminal actions were bold, some of which were committed while under a spotlight due to his work as the campaign chairman and, later, while he was on bail from this Court.”

Manafort had agreed to cooperate with the Mueller investigation after initially pleading guilty. But the plea deal fell apart after Jackson ruled earlier this month that he intentionally lied to Mueller’s office, the FBI and the grand jury in his case. The ruling meant prosecutors were no longer bound by the plea deal.

Jackson found Manafort broke the agreement after he lied about his interactions with Konstantin Kilimnik, who has also been indicted by the special counsel and whom the FBI believes has ties to Russian intelligence. Authorities said Manafort was also untruthful in response to questions about his finances and his contacts with members of the Trump administration. Manafort’s attorneys say he did not intentionally give false information.

In D.C. the statutory maximum Manafort, 69, faces is 10 years.

In a separate case in Virginia, Manafort was found guilty on eight counts in a sprawling bank and tax fraud case. He faces up to 24 years in prison and tens of millions of dollars in possible fines for that conviction.

Manafort’s sentencing in the Virginia case is also scheduled for March. Prosecutors have urged Jackson to consider stacking his sentence in D.C. on top of his punishment in Virginia. Lawyers for Manafort are due to file their sentencing recommendation in D.C. on Monday.

Separately, authorities in New York are preparing charges against Manafort for violating state tax laws and other financial crimes, according to reports by Bloomberg News and The New York Times on Friday.

Source Article from https://www.npr.org/2019/02/23/697391538/paul-manafort-brazenly-broke-the-law-special-counsel-says-in-sentencing-memo

December 22 at 5:46 PM

For two years, they tried to tutor and confine him. They taught him history, explained nuances and gamed out reverberations. They urged careful deliberation, counseled restraint and prepared talking points to try to sell mainstream actions to a restive conservative base hungry for disruption. But in the end, they failed.

For President Trump, the era of containment is over.

One by one, the seasoned advisers seen as bulwarks against Trump’s most reckless impulses have been cast aside or, as Defense Secretary Jim Mattis did Thursday, resigned in an extraordinary act of protest. What Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) once dubbed an “adult day care center” has gone out of business.

Trump will enter his third year as president unbound — at war with his perceived enemies, determined to follow through on the hard-line promises of his insurgent campaign and fearful of any cleavage in his political coalition.

So far, the result has been disarray. The federal government is shut down. Stock markets are in free fall. Foreign allies are voicing alarm. Hostile powers such as Russia are cheering. And Republican lawmakers once afraid of crossing this president are now openly critical.

“I want him to be successful, but I find myself in a position where the best way I can help the president is to tell him the truth as I see it,” Sen. Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.), a Trump confidant and frequent golf partner, said as he denounced the president’s abrupt decision to withdraw U.S. troops from Syria against the counsel of his military advisers.

Trump is surrounding himself with “yes” men and women — at least relative to Mattis and other former military generals who tried to keep him at bay — who see their jobs as executing his vision, even when they disagree. He has designated some officials, including the new White House chief of staff, Mick Mulvaney, as “acting,” meaning they must labor to please the president to eventually be empowered in their positions permanently. And he is railing against his handpicked chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome H. Powell, whom he blames for the sliding market and says he never should have chosen.

Meanwhile, Trump’s family members are ascendant. Son-in-law Jared Kushner is an increasingly influential interlocutor with foreign governments, such as Saudi Arabia, and was dispatched, along with Vice President Pence and Mulvaney, to the Capitol on the eve of the government shutdown to try to negotiate a spending deal with congressional leaders.

The increasingly isolated president explained his mind-set in a Nov. 27 interview with The Washington Post: “I have a gut, and my gut tells me more sometimes than anybody else’s brain can ever tell me.”

Earlier this year, Trump began rejecting the advice of such economic advisers as Gary Cohn, who resigned in March, and instead followed his nationalist instincts to implement tariffs.

But the departure of Mattis and the national security implications that come with it sent a shock of anxiety through Washington and world capitals that far exceeded the worries over Trump’s earlier trade moves.

“This is a rogue presidency,” said Barry McCaffrey, a retired four-star Army general.

“We’ve got Mr. Trump who looks, in the eyes of our allies and of the professionals in the key elements of our national security power, to be incompetent and impulsive and to be making bad decisions and to be excoriating America’s historic allies and then embracing people who are threats to U.S. national security,” he said.

Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) called this “the most chaotic week of what’s undoubtedly the most chaotic presidency ever in the history of the United States.”

In a speech Friday, he added: “The institutions of our government lack steady and experienced leadership. With all of these departures, it is about to get even more unsteady. The president is making decisions without counsel, without preparation, and even without communication between relevant departments and relevant agencies.”

Consider the recent departures. Mattis, a revered former Marine Corps general who commanded respect worldwide, especially among NATO countries, quit after Trump defied him on the Syria withdrawal. His resignation letter was a stunning rebuke of Trump’s worldview, which he presented as a threat to the global order the United States helped build over the past seven decades.

John F. Kelly, another Marine Corps general widely respected for his battlefield experience, was ousted this month as White House chief of staff after running afoul of Trump, who chafed against Kelly’s restrictive management style. After being turned down by a number of other candidates, Trump tapped Mulvaney to replace Kelly — temporarily, at least. Mulvaney has vowed to Trump that he would try to manage only the staff, not the president.

Nikki Haley, who as ambassador to the United Nations showed flashes of independence and was far more aggressive with Russia and other traditional American adversaries than the president, is leaving this month on her own accord. Trump nominated as her replacement Heather Nauert, a onetime Fox News Channel presenter who has been delivering the administration’s message as State Department spokeswoman.

Earlier this year, Trump pushed out H.R. McMaster as national security adviser, replacing the Army lieutenant general and military intellectual with John Bolton, a neoconservative veteran of the George W. Bush administration who officials say has proved more accommodating than McMaster of Trump’s impulses.

“Trump wants total freedom to do what he wants when he wants and he’s much closer to getting that, which is what will terrify not only Congress but the rest of the world as well,” said Thomas Wright of the Brookings Institution.

Rex Tillerson, Trump’s first secretary of state and a longtime corporate executive, recently described the futility of trying to contain Trump. He said Trump is “pretty undisciplined, doesn’t like to read, doesn’t read briefing reports, doesn’t like to get into the details of a lot of things, but rather just kind of says, ‘This is what I believe.’ ”

In an onstage interview this month with Bob Schieffer of CBS News, Tillerson explained: “So often, the president would say, ‘Here’s what I want to do, and here’s how I want to do it,’ and I would have to say to him, ‘Mr. President, I understand what you want to do, but you can’t do it that way. It violates the law.’ ”

Trump fired Tillerson in March after months of tension and replaced him with Mike Pompeo, who has a better personal rapport with the president.

“In Trump’s mind, and those of some of his supporters, he’s shedding those establishment figures who have prevented him from following his instincts and fulfilling his campaign pledges,” said David Axelrod, a political strategist who was a White House adviser to President Barack Obama. “But his instincts are impulsive, almost always grounded in his own narrow politics and often motivated by spite. An unbridled Trump is a frightening proposition.”

At the same time, some institutional checks on Trump’s impulses are under duress. Trump’s decision to remove troops from Syria blindsided Gen. Joseph F. Dunford Jr., the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, because he was kept out of final discussions.

House Speaker Paul D. Ryan (R-Wis.) and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), after securing from the White House what they believed to be a short-term spending compromise, were unable to prevent a government shutdown once Trump reversed course in reaction to criticism from Rush Limbaugh, Ann Coulter and other conservative firebrands.

“This is tyranny of talk radio hosts, right?” Corker asked reporters. The retiring senator then wondered aloud, “Are Republicans really going to trust the guy that comes out of the White House on a go-forward basis? I mean, this is a juvenile place we find ourselves at.”

Some of Trump’s former advisers and outside allies share the same concern about the president’s recent behavior. One former senior administration official said “an intervention” might be necessary. And a Republican strategist who works closely with the White House called the situation “serious, serious, serious.”

This strategist, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to be candid, drew comparisons to the presidencies of Richard M. Nixon and George W. Bush. “There are no adults like there were in Nixon days,” this strategist said. “And the V.P. is perceived as nowhere. He’s just a bobblehead. It’s not like [former vice president Richard B.] Cheney.”

Since his drubbing in the midterm elections last month, Trump has been preoccupied with worries about his political survival. Democrats take over the House on Jan. 3, promising a torrent of investigations into Trump’s conduct, his personal finances and alleged corruption throughout his administration.

Meanwhile, various federal investigations are intensifying. Special counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s Russia investigation has moved into a more perilous phase. That probe, as well as a federal investigation into illegal hush-money payments to women who claimed sexual encounters with Trump, have ensnared his former personal lawyer Michael Cohen, former national security adviser Michael Flynn and former campaign chairman Paul Manafort, among others.

In a separate case, Trump agreed to shut down his family charitable foundation last week after New York Attorney General Barbara Underwood said it engaged in “a shocking pattern of illegality.”

Ian Bremmer, a foreign affairs expert and president of the ­Eurasia Group, posited that despite the global reaction to Mattis’s exit, the ouster last year of Stephen K. Bannon as chief White House strategist was the more significant episode.

“The reduction in potential damage of the Trump administration could exact on the world from Bannon’s firing is significantly greater than the additional chaos and danger that comes from Mattis’s resignation,” Bremmer said. “Bannon actually was a compelling individual with a lot of influence and power in Trump’s ear that wanted to really upset the apple cart in U.S. foreign policy.”

Still, alarm bells rang last week throughout the foreign policy establishment. The resignation of Mattis was held up as a singular moment. Eliot A. Cohen, a senior official in the State Department during the Bush administration and Trump critic, wrote in the Atlantic, “Henceforth, the senior ranks of government can be filled only by invertebrates and opportunists, schemers and careerists.”

“They may try to manipulate the president, or make some feeble efforts to subvert him,” Cohen added, “but in the end they will follow him.”

Source Article from https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/a-rogue-presidency-the-era-of-containing-trump-is-over/2018/12/22/26fc010e-055b-11e9-b5df-5d3874f1ac36_story.html

In more than a week of civil unrest since the killing of George Floyd, Los Angeles Police Chief Michel Moore has been at the helm of a massive police response, which has included the controversial firing of foam bullets and arresting of peaceful protesters.

Some of those tactics and a remark he made in an empty room at City Hall on Monday, with reporters watching remotely because of COVID-19, have left him scrambling to preserve all he has worked for as a chief staking his legacy on repairing frayed relationships with black and Latino residents.

Minutes after saying that looters were as responsible for Floyd’s death as were the Minneapolis police officers who held down his neck with a knee or watched it happen, Moore walked back the words.

But no matter how much he repeated and rephrased the apology, the damage was done.

The following day, he sat silently at a Police Commission meeting for nine hours as citizen after citizen — several hundred in all — demanded his resignation. While Mayor Eric Garcetti and other officials have expressed support for Moore, a petition calling for him to be fired because of the remark has more than 42,000 signatures.

The comment and the uneven response to the unfolding unrest have put Moore on the defensive.

The department will be preparing an “extensive after-action report” to assess its performance during the protests and is investigating disturbing images of aggressive police tactics caught on video, he said.

As the situation spiraled out of control in the Fairfax District last weekend, Moore ordered officers to stop striking protesters with batons. On Tuesday, Garcetti said he has instructed the LAPD to minimize the use of foam bullets and batons, and “if we can, to not use them at all.”

Moore has tried to show another side of the LAPD, sympathizing with the public outcry over Floyd’s killing, acknowledging the racial inequities in American society and sometimes kneeling in front of protesters to show his willingness to listen.

“We see the hurt. We know and recognize the pain, the anguish,” Moore said in an interview with The Times. “We’re disgusted, and we share so many of the same emotions with regard to this latest episode that George Floyd represents and with regard to issues of black people and all communities of color and their standing in America and the inequities that exist today and the history that has made that existence seem forever.”

But his Monday comments, while focused on looters, were perceived by many as at odds with that ethos.

“We didn’t have protests last night. We had criminal acts,” Moore said. “We didn’t have people mourning the death of this man, George Floyd. We had people capitalizing. His death is on their hands as much as it is those officers.”

Moore said he spoke off the cuff, on little sleep after a long day, and “entirely made the wrong connection” in searching for an analogy.

He meant to say that the looters were distracting from the focus on racism in policing sparked by Floyd’s death and the nationwide protests that followed, he said.

“I regret that that misstatement and that mistake has taken as much time away from focusing on the true issues and true concerns of police reform, of societal reform, of how we make our society fair to all, and particularly addressing the injustices involving our black communities,” he said.

Moore is not known for being a stylish orator. His statements often devolve into bureaucratese. But he chooses his words carefully and is not prone to gaffes. That made the remark all the more striking.

Some community leaders say it reminded them of something an LAPD leader would say in the 1980s and early 1990s, at a time of widespread police abuse targeting minorities. Moore was a young officer back then and rose through the ranks of a department that spent two decades enacting wrenching reforms, trying to repair relationships with communities of color and working to build a more diverse police force.

“Was he in a candid moment actually telling the truth? If so, that candid moment told me one thing,” said longtime civil rights leader Earl Ofari Hutchinson. “Has this department, with its promises of reform, is there a danger of showing the old face of the LAPD? Is there a danger of slipping back into that?”

Hutchinson said he is not calling for the chief to step down, despite his grave concern over the remark. But he said Moore has work to do to build back his credibility.

“What the chief doesn’t want is to be the second coming of Daryl Gates,” Hutchinson added, referring to the former police chief known for his hard-charging crime-fighting tactics, including Operation Hammer, with officers attacking apartment buildings with battering rams and rounding up thousands of people in South L.A. in 1988.

Many protesters and Black Lives Matter leaders say it’s time for him to go.

Paula Minor, an organizer for Black Lives Matter, said Moore’s remark shows that his mindset is closer to Gates’ than to a reformer who will work with activists to change policing in the city.

“He may sound better, look better and use better words,” Minor said. “But the mentality, the attitude is the same. It’s a ‘them,’ it’s a ‘those people’ philosophy. That’s why our policing system truly has bias against black people.”

Moore appears to have survived the crisis, for now. Garcetti has rallied behind him, as have City Council members.

Garcetti said he has known Moore for decades, and the chief could not possibly have meant that looters are “the equivalent of murderers.”

“If I believed for a moment that the chief believed that in his heart, he would no longer be the chief,” Garcetti said.

But Moore’s misstep highlights the fragility of the progress the LAPD has made since the 1992 riots, which still haunt him and other veteran officers, and the enormity of the task ahead, once the protesters go home and the shattered windows of looted businesses are replaced.

He must build trust in the Police Department in a city where thousands of protesters experienced firsthand officers making arrests for curfew violations and firing foam bullets into crowds.

The Times reported Thursday on a growing number of videos showing disturbing behavior by officers against protesters. While he contended that violent individuals have “intermixed” with peaceful protesters at some scenes, Moore conceded that footage of officers swinging at people with batons and firing foam bullets has given him pause and will be investigated.

On Friday, U.S. Rep. Ted Lieu (D-Torrance) wrote a letter to the civilian Police Commission demanding an investigation into how the department responded to peaceful demonstrations in the Fairfax District last Saturday.

“Folks who loot or commit arson or assault police officers are committing crimes, and that cannot be condoned or tolerated. At the same time, you can’t attribute what some folks did on one day and then deal with peaceful protesters on a different day and hit them with batons,” Lieu said Friday.

In addition to the investigations, Moore must remake the department following the outline described by Garcetti and the civilian Police Commission on Wednesday, including increased training, more emphasis on community policing, greater scrutiny of officers’ use of force and $100 million to $150 million in cuts out of an overall $1.86-billion budget.

Informing his actions will be the demands, grievances and raw emotions of the protesters he spoke with on the streets, as well as the needs of his 10,000 police officers, some of whom were upset by the vitriol directed at them during the unrest and some of whom were injured in the chaos.

Since becoming chief in June 2018 after more than three decades with the LAPD, Moore has attended countless community events — violence prevention groups, life skills meetings for formerly incarcerated people, Sunday church services, black university alumni gatherings.

But those efforts at relationship-building and mutual understanding can be undone by police brutality caught on a video from halfway across the country — or by a leader’s jarring remark that he quickly retracted.

The LAPD’s reputation as an agency reformed by a federal consent decree has suffered during Moore’s tenure after Times reporting revealed that officers disproportionately stopped and searched black drivers and that
some members of the elite Metropolitan Division falsely portrayed people as gang members or associates.

In response, Moore has drastically reduced the department’s reliance on vehicle stops and is investigating the Metro officers who allegedly falsified records. Among the reforms announced by Garcetti earlier this week is a moratorium on entries into the CalGang database.

“We work hard for trust,” Police Commissioner Steve Soboroff said. “Look at it as a bank account, where deposits can be only made a dollar at a time, by doing the right things, but withdrawals are made from all over the country at a million dollars each.”

Soboroff said he views Moore in the context of his long career and his value to law enforcement. Contrary to his one unfortunate statement, Moore is a firm believer in community policing and deescalation techniques that reduce the use of force, Soboroff said.

Moore’s predecessor, Charlie Beck, was met at every weekly Police Commission meeting by Black Lives Matter activists calling for his firing.

Moore had escaped that treatment — until his remark about the looters.

Now, he has become the focus of ire. And it remains unclear how much the historic protests will change the political dynamics at City Hall. Garcetti has proposed cuts at the department, though only a fraction of what Black Lives Matter wanted.

Still, the protests are likely to significantly expand the clout of Black Lives Matter and other police reform groups.

Moore continues to have support from some black community leaders the department has cultivated in recent years.

As unrest unfolded around the city last weekend, Perry Crouch heard that young people were planning to loot a Smart & Final store near the Jordan Downs housing development in Watts.

Crouch, a longtime Watts resident and member of the Watts Gang Task Force, was determined to keep looting out of his neighborhood. He worked with the captain of Southeast station to coordinate the response and stood with police officers to protect the store.

It was a far cry from the days when some LAPD leaders were openly racist, Crouch said. Things started to change when Bill Bratton became chief in 2002 and assigned a new generation of police captains to work with community leaders on common goals, he said.

But despite the progress, the LAPD has much more work to do with young black residents who feel stereotyped and undervalued, Crouch said.

“Young people just want them to listen, to stop judging me as a gang member because I wear baggy pants, to stop judging me as a criminal, as a person not worthy of respect,” he said. “Talk to me. See what’s on my mind.”

Times staff writers Emily Alpert Reyes and David Zahniser contributed to this report.

Source Article from https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-06-06/lapd-chief-moore-under-fire-over-looting-remarks-police-treatment-of-protesters

Kyiv, Ukraine — A small explosive device carried by a makeshift drone blew up Sunday at the headquarters of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet on the Crimean Peninsula, wounding six people and prompting the cancellation of ceremonies there honoring Russia’s navy, authorities said.

Meanwhile, one of Ukraine’s richest men, a grain merchant, was killed in what Ukrainian authorities said was a carefully targeted Russian missile strike on his home.

There was no immediate claim of responsibility for the drone explosion in a courtyard at the naval headquarters in the city of Sevastopol. But the seemingly improvised, small-scale nature of the attack raised the possibility that it was the work of Ukrainian insurgents trying to drive out Russian forces.

A Russian lawmaker from Crimea, Olga Kovitidi, told Russian state news agency RIA-Novosti that the drone was launched from Sevastopol itself. She said the incident was being treated as a terrorist act, the news agency said.

Crimean authorities raised the terrorism threat level for the region to “yellow,” the second-highest tier.

Sevastopol, which was seized along with the rest of Crimea from Ukraine by Russia in 2014, is about 170 kilometers (100 miles) south of the Ukrainian mainland. Russian forces control much of the mainland along the Black Sea.

The Black Sea Fleet’s press service said the drone appeared to be homemade. It described the explosive device as “low-power.” Sevastopol Mayor Mikhail Razvozhaev said six people were wounded. Observances of Russia’s Navy Day holiday were canceled in the city.

Russian Navy members patrol in front of the headquarters of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet in Sevastopol in Crimea on July 31, 2022.

STRINGER/AFP via Getty Images


Ukraine’s navy and an adviser to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said the reported drone attack underlined the weakness of Russian air defenses.

“Did the occupiers admit the helplessness of their air defense system? Or their helplessness in front of the Crimean partisans?” Oleksiy Arestovich said on Telegram.

If such an attack is possible by Ukraine, he said, “the destruction of the Crimean bridge in such situations no longer sounds unrealistic” — a reference to the span that Russia built to connect its mainland to Crimea after the annexation.

Elsewhere in Ukraine, the mayor of the major port city of Mykolaiv, Vitaliy Kim, said shelling killed one of Ukraine’s wealthiest men, Oleksiy Vadatursky, and his wife, Raisa. Vadatursky headed a grain production and export business.

Another presidential adviser, Mykhailo Podolyak, said Vadatursky was specifically targeted.

It “was not an accident, but a well-thought-out and organized premeditated murder. Vadatursky was one of the largest farmers in the country, a key person in the region and a major employer. That the exact hit of a rocket was not just in a house, but in a specific wing, the bedroom, leaves no doubt about aiming and adjusting the strike,” he said.

Vadatursky’s agribusiness, Nibulon, includes a fleet of ships for sending grain abroad.

In the Sumy region in Ukraine’s north, near the Russian border, shelling killed one person, the regional administration said. And three people died in attacks over the past day in the Donetsk region, which is partly under the control of Russian-backed separatist forces, said regional Gov. Pavlo Kyrylenko.

Podolyak said on Twitter that images of the prison where at least 53 Ukrainian prisoners of war were killed in an explosion on Friday indicated that the blast came from within the building in Olenivka, which is under Russian control.

Russian officials have claimed the building was attacked by Ukraine with the aim of silencing POWs who might be giving information about Ukrainian military operations. Ukraine has blamed Russia for the explosion.

Satellite photos taken before and after show that a small, squarish building in the middle of the prison complex was demolished, its roof in splinters.

Podolyak said those images and the lack of damage to adjacent structures showed that the building was not attacked from the air or by artillery. He contended the evidence was consistent with a thermobaric bomb, a powerful device sometimes called a vacuum bomb, being set off inside.

The International Red Cross asked to immediately visit the prison to make sure the scores of wounded POWs had proper treatment, but said Sunday that its request had yet to be granted. It said that denying the Red Cross access would violate the Geneva Convention on the rights of POWs.

Source Article from https://www.cbsnews.com/news/drone-explosion-russia-black-sea-fleet-sevastopol/

Houston Fire Department paramedics prepare to transport a COVID-19 positive woman to a hospital on September 15, 2021 in Houston, Texas. While the virus is still rampant in the U.S., some vaccinated people will continue to get infected.

John Moore/Getty Images


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John Moore/Getty Images

Houston Fire Department paramedics prepare to transport a COVID-19 positive woman to a hospital on September 15, 2021 in Houston, Texas. While the virus is still rampant in the U.S., some vaccinated people will continue to get infected.

John Moore/Getty Images

When Colin Powell died this week from complications related to COVID-19, it was a shock to many Americans.

Though scientists and federal health officials are adamant that the vaccines work well to protect against hospitalization and death, it’s unnerving to hear of fully vaccinated people like Powell, or perhaps your own friends and neighbors, falling severely ill with COVID-19.

So how well do the vaccines work? How serious is the risk of a serious breakthrough infection, one that could land you in the hospital?

In Powell’s case, of course, there are several reasons he was at higher risk. He was 84 and had been treated in recent years for multiple myeloma — a blood cancer that forms in plasma cells, which are critical for the immune system. These facts alone would put him at very high risk for a breakthrough illness, says Dr. Rachel Bender Ignacio, who directs COVID-19 clinical research at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center.

“We shouldn’t change our risk estimation on one good or bad outcome that happens to a single person,” she says. “The vaccines are still holding up extremely well.”

Even with concerns about the possibility of waning protection from the vaccine, scientists say the best data in the U.S. still tell a clear story: people who are fully vaccinated have a far lower risk of getting infected or dying from COVID-19 than the unvaccinated, according to data representing about 30% of the U.S. population from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

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Who is getting severely ill from COVID after being vaccinated?

Those who do have severe breakthrough illnesses tend to be older or have serious underlying health conditions, or a combination of those risk factors.

“People who are of advanced age or who have impaired immune systems always respond less well to vaccines — that’s true whether it’s flu vaccine or really any other vaccine,” says Bender Ignacio.

The effect of age on the risk of breakthrough infections is stark. The CDC released data separating breakthrough infections and deaths by age. Among fully vaccinated people, those aged 80 or older had a almost 13 times greater risk of dying from COVID than people of all ages. However unvaccinated people in their 80s were at far greater risk than vaccinated ones.

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Research shows that people who fare the worst tend to be especially medically fragile. A study of vaccinated patients hospitalized at the Yale New Haven Health System found that the median age was about 80 and many had underlying problems, including cardiovascular disease, lung disease, diabetes and some were also on immunosuppressive drugs.

While those findings came before the surge of the delta variant, Dr. Hyung Chun, who led the study, says their ongoing research shows these types of patients still account for most breakthrough illnesses “even with the shifting landscape of breakthrough infections.”

Chun says those who are vaccinated generally tend to do better once they are in the hospital, compared to those who aren’t vaccinated.

“Even if you were hospitalized [with a breakthrough infection], the trend we’ve been observing is that you will likely be far less sick in terms of needing things like supplementary oxygen or mechanical ventilation, or even your risk of death,” says Chun, an associate professor of cardiology at the Yale School of Medicine.

As of mid July, the CDC found that people who were immunocompromised accounted for 44% of breakthrough hospitalizations — a figure that supported the decision to recommend a third shot of the vaccine to people who met the criteria of having a weakened immune system. A more recent study conducted by the vaccine maker Pfizer and not yet peer reviewed, found that study participants who were immunocompromised accounted for about 60% of the breakthrough hospitalizations and were three times more likely to have an infection compared to people who weren’t immunocompromised.

The three major clinical trials done by the vaccine makers did not include immunocompromised people, so researchers are still trying to tease apart how different medical conditions affect a person’s immune response to the vaccine, says Dr. Jonathan Golob, an assistant professor at the University of Michigan in the Division of Infectious Diseases.

“The vaccines are still stellar, including against delta for just about everyone, except for people with very, very impaired immune systems,” he says. That list includes patients who’ve had an organ transplant, with active cancer, or some other severe autoimmune disease that requires a lot of medicine to treat it. “All those people, I would say, still need to be cautious and the best thing to protect them is to have everyone around them vaccinated,” he says.

How common is it to have a severe breakthrough illness?

It’s currently hard to answer that in the U.S. To date, 7,178 people are reported to have died from COVID-19 after being vaccinated and about 85% were 65 and older, according to the CDC, but these figures are meant to be a “snapshot” and are an undercount, an agency spokesperson told NPR. In that same time period, approximately 190 million have been fully vaccinated in the U.S.

As more Americans get vaccinated, the raw numbers of serious breakthrough infections will inevitably increase as long as the virus is spreading, but those figures can be misleading.

“Hospitalizations due to breakthrough infection are higher than even a few months ago, but this should be viewed in light of the fact that more people are fully vaccinated,” says Chun. “You’re working with a much bigger denominator of patients.”

Bottom line: The risks of hospitalization are far greater for the unvaccinated. The chance of being hospitalized in the U.S. for COVID-19 is 12 times higher if you are unvaccinated, according to recent CDC data. These rates may vary week to week, the agency notes. And they vary by age group. Unvaccinated adults aged 18-49 were 14 times more likely to be hospitalized, while those over 65 were 9 times more likely.

Some of the most compelling data also comes directly from what hospitals are seeing in their communities.

A study of hospitalized COVID-19 patients at Beaumont Health — Michigan’s largest hospital system — found a “dramatic” difference in hospital visits between the vaccinated and unvaccinated, says Dr. Amit Bahl, an emergency physician who authored the study.

“If you were fully vaccinated, you had a 96% reduction in the chance of being hospitalized or going to the emergency room,” he says. “A bad outcome for a patient that’s fully vaccinated was exceedingly rare.”

Some states that track breakthrough hospitalizations are finding a similar pattern.

For example, New York’s data shows that 0.06% of the vaccinated population has ended up in the hospital for COVID-19. Minnesota has a similar rate.

However, it’s still hard to quantify how often a breakthrough infection leads to someone being hospitalized, because the U.S. is not tracking this data closely on a national level, says Angela Rasmussen, a virologist at the University of Saskatchewan.

“I don’t think we’re there yet,” she says. “We don’t really know the denominator — how many breakthrough infections there have been overall.”

Has the chance of getting very sick increased and is that why the government is starting to roll out boosters?

The push for booster shots reflects the concern that certain groups of Americans — namely those who are older — appear to be now slightly less protected against a severe case of COVID-19 than they were in the spring, and worries that the risk of infections has risen because of the delta variant. The data vary between the vaccines. The one shot Johnson & Johnson vaccine appears to be the least effective against hospitalization.

But scientists are still trying to untangle exactly what’s behind this increased risk.

Older Americans were already more susceptible to the virus. They were also some of the first groups to get vaccinated. “So we have not only a higher risk population, but now a longer time since they received the vaccine,” says Bender Ignacio. “And this is exactly why boosters have been recommended for those populations.”

The arrival of the delta variant and a surge in cases among the unvaccinated has put many more people in contact with the virus, including people who may be especially vulnerable, says Rasmussen.

“Unfortunately, even though we have a lot more people getting vaccinated, it’s still not enough and we still have a lot of virus around,” she says. “When those two conditions are met, you’re just going to have more breakthrough cases.”

Ultimately, the protection against hospitalization — while it may be waning for some groups — doesn’t appear to have translated into a major spike of severely sick vaccinated patients, even as the country has dealt with a huge surge in cases.

“Everyone I’ve seen this week who is critically ill from COVID is unvaccinated,” says Golob of the University of Michigan health care system.

Source Article from https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2021/10/20/1047727415/what-to-know-about-the-risk-of-serious-or-fatal-breakthrough-covid-infections