Source Article from https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/11/03/california-burns-trump-slams-gov-newsom-over-wildfire-response/

WASHINGTON — A year out from the 2020 Election Day, there are some tough numbers for President Donald Trump in the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. The data suggest the pathway to re-election is currently very narrow with little margin for error for the president.

Overall, nearly half of all registered voters say they have already decided they will not vote for Trump next November, regardless of who the Democratic nominee is.

The poll finds 46 percent of registered voters say they are “certain to vote against Trump” in 2020. A far smaller number, 34 percent, say they are “certain to vote for Trump.” And 17 percent say they might vote for or against Trump depending on whom the Democrats nominate for president.

Do the math and the figures suggest that Trump needs to win nearly all of that “depends on the nominee” vote to win the popular vote in 2020.

And the numbers don’t look any better in the 11 “swing states” that will likely decide the presidential race — including Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. In those states, 46 percent of the registered voters also say they are “certain to vote against Trump.”

Those battlegrounds look similar in other ways as well — 35 percent of the registered voters in them say they are certain to vote for the president and, again, 17 percent say their vote depends on whom the Democrats nominate.

The larger message in this poll is how much of the electorate seems to be dug in, even before we know who is going to be on the ballot next fall. There simply isn’t a lot of room for movement in the data.

One of the clearest examples: women with a college degree. That group of voters seems locked in place against the president, with 67 percent already saying they are certain they will vote against the president. Only 22 percent of women with a degree say they certainly will vote for the president.

On the other side of the ledger, the president’s strongest support comes from men without a college degree — 40 percent of those registered voters say they are certain they will vote for Trump. Only 23 percent say they are certain to vote against him.

And if the 2020 election is going to boil down to that 17 percent of registered voters who are undecided, what do we know about them? The good news for Trump is that the data suggest they lean his way.

More than 40 percent of the undecided voters are men without a college degree. Next in line, 28 percent are women without a degree. The 2016 exit polls showed Trump won the majority of the voters who did not have a degree.

But the bad news for Trump remains the 46 percent of registered voters who say they are set against him. It’s never good to begin a campaign with nearly half of all voters saying they are certain they are voting against you, but in Trump’s case there’s a symmetry to the number.

Back in 2016 Trump won the presidency while capturing 46 percent of the vote. Much of it amounted to a part of the electorate that considered themselves to be “anybody but (Hillary) Clinton” voters. The 2020 vote is still a year off, but as of now it appears 46 percent of the electorate is already “anybody but Trump.”

Source Article from https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/poll-half-voters-have-already-decided-against-trump-2020-n1075746

Front-runner Joe BidenJoe BidenTrump: ‘I would love’ to host Ukrainian president at White House Second-tier Democrats face do-or-die phase Biden defends record after Warren attacks: I’m a ‘card-carrying Democrat’ MORE’s support held steady in a new poll of the 2020 Democratic presidential race that saw Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenSecond-tier Democrats face do-or-die phase 2020 Dems target inequality with green plans Biden defends record after Warren attacks: I’m a ‘card-carrying Democrat’ MORE (D-Mass.) and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPeter (Pete) Paul ButtigiegSecond-tier Democrats face do-or-die phase Buttigieg unveils new plan to help people with disabilities Harris swipes at Warren: ‘Unlike others, I’ve never represented a corporation’ MORE make gains.

The poll from ABC News and The Washington Post released early Sunday found Biden with 27 percent support from Democrats and independents who lean toward the party, unchanged from a similar survey in early September.

Warren, however, gained 4 percentage points, climbing from 17 percent to 21 percent. The results mark a new high in the poll for the senator, ABC News noted.

Buttigieg, who is now at 7 percent, added 3 points since early September.

According to the survey, support for Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersSecond-tier Democrats face do-or-die phase 2020 Dems target inequality with green plans De Blasio supports former Deadspin employees: ‘This city is a union town’ MORE (I-Vt.) was also constant, holding at 19 percent.

Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisSecond-tier Democrats face do-or-die phase 2020 Dems target inequality with green plans Harris swipes at Warren: ‘Unlike others, I’ve never represented a corporation’ MORE (D-Calif.) lost 5 points, falling to 2 percent.

Pollsters also found that Biden has 28 percent support among registered voters, while Warren has 23 percent, Sanders has 17 percent and Buttigieg has 9 percent. No other Democratic candidate topped 2 percent in the new survey.

Biden is the favorite of moderates, black voters, men and those above the age of 65, the results show. The former vice president is also seen as having the best chance of beating President TrumpDonald John TrumpJudge blocks White House’s health care requirement for new immigrants: report Trump gets deluge of boos upon entering MSG prior to UFC 244 Trump: ‘I would love’ to host Ukrainian president at White House MORE, with 42 percent saying he has that attribute, compared to 17 percent who said the same about Warren and 16 percent for Sanders.

The new survey of 1,003 adults was conducted between Oct. 27 and Oct. 30. It has a margin of error of 5.5 percentage points.

Biden leads the 2020 Democratic field by about 7 points in the RealClearPolitics average of polling with 27.6 percent. Warren follows with 20.4 percent. She is trailed by Sanders with 17 percent, Buttigieg with 7.1 percent and Harris with 4.7 percent.

This report was updated at 8:13 a.m.

Source Article from https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/468707-warren-buttigieg-make-gains-in-new-national-poll


A long exposure photo shows the Maria Fire as it races across a hillside in Santa Paula on Nov. 1, 2019. (Credit: Josh Edelson / AFP via Getty Images)

As flames rapidly spread along a hillside in Santa Paula early Friday morning, firefighters were faced with a perilous dilemma: ground night-flying helicopters working to contain the growing fire or risk an aerial collision with a thrill-seeking drone.

A Ventura County Fire Department helicopter pilot radioed in at 3:19 a.m. that a drone had been spotted flying above the flames, apparently trying to take a photograph or video of the scene below. Air operations were immediately stopped for at least 45 minutes until the sky was clear.

But at 4:05 a.m., another drone sighting occurred.

The aerial fight against the wildfire was upended for another hour while at least two helicopters with night-flying capabilities that had been deployed to help contain the Maria fire were grounded. Meanwhile, the blaze that broke out atop South Mountain, just south of Santa Paula, shortly after 6 p.m. Thursday marched toward the small agricultural towns of Somis and Saticoy.

Read the full story on LATimes.com.

Source Article from https://ktla.com/2019/11/02/illegal-drones-interrupt-water-dropping-helicopters-during-critical-moment-in-maria-fire/

Norwegian Pvt. Ivan Sjoetun sits in the border post where Russian land can be seen out the window. The post is in the far northeast corner of Norway and offers a commanding view of this starkly beautiful area some 250 miles above the Arctic Circle.

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Norwegian Pvt. Ivan Sjoetun sits in the border post where Russian land can be seen out the window. The post is in the far northeast corner of Norway and offers a commanding view of this starkly beautiful area some 250 miles above the Arctic Circle.

Claire Harbage/NPR

There are precisely 525 stairs from the icy waters of the Barents Sea to the top of the observation post in the far northeast corner of Norway, along the Russian border. It’s a steep climb, but once you reach the apex, there’s a good chance one of the young Norwegian conscripts manning the outpost will have a platter of waffles — topped with strawberry jam and sour cream, a Norwegian favorite — waiting.

These waffles were made by Sander Bader, 19, in the observation post where he and other privates stay while they keep an eye on the Russian border activities.

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These waffles were made by Sander Bader, 19, in the observation post where he and other privates stay while they keep an eye on the Russian border activities.

Claire Harbage/NPR

The border post, OP 247, offers a commanding view of this starkly beautiful area some 250 miles above the Arctic Circle. To the east, on the other side of the border, is a Russian observation post and a coast guard facility. Directly ahead, across the Barents Sea, is the small Norwegian island of Vardo, which houses a U.S.-funded military surveillance radar system.

“Apparently it’s annoying the Russians a lot,” says Capt. Sigurd Harsheim, commander of Jarfjord border company, because the radar installation helps keep an eye on Russian movements in the High North. “Basically you have good control of the entire Barents Sea and everything around it … and I think part of the irritation is that it’s American built.”

There’s good reason recently to keep a line of sight on Russia, whose sheer land mass overwhelms the seven other Arctic nations. Warming temperatures are opening up shipping lanes and uncovering the polar region’s abundant natural resources. And now several nations are engaging in a military buildup of the Arctic. Russia is upgrading its military capabilities with new fighter jets and navy vessels, and its submarines are pushing farther into the North Atlantic. Norwegian military officials say Russia is also carrying out cruise missile tests and live-fire military exercises. That is forcing its neighbor, Norway, and other NATO members to rethink their military strategy in the region.

More than 500 stairs are built into the side of the mountain where the Norwegian military observation post is located near the Russian border.

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More than 500 stairs are built into the side of the mountain where the Norwegian military observation post is located near the Russian border.

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“[The Russians] are rebuilding the Northern Fleet, building new submarines; they’re flying more; they are exercising more in the northwest of Russia with their battalions,” Norwegian Defense Minister Frank Bakke-Jensen tells NPR.

A number of countries crowd the Arctic. Marked here are Porsangermoen, a Norwegian military camp; Vardo, an island in Norway where the U.S. has funded a military radar system; the Norwegian observation post 247 that overlooks Russia; and Kola Peninsula, the home of Russia’s Northern Fleet.

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A number of countries crowd the Arctic. Marked here are Porsangermoen, a Norwegian military camp; Vardo, an island in Norway where the U.S. has funded a military radar system; the Norwegian observation post 247 that overlooks Russia; and Kola Peninsula, the home of Russia’s Northern Fleet.

Sean McMinn/NPR

The center of Russia’s Arctic military activities is the Kola Peninsula, in the far northwest of the country, next to Norway. “Out on the Kola Peninsula … you’ll see that … they’re modernizing and rebuilding and also building new facilities,” says Maj. Brynjar Stordal, a spokesman for the Norwegian Joint Headquarters. “There’s a lot more activity and more new equipment. And we also see that the tactics are becoming more advanced.”

Capt. Sigurd Harsheim stands at the base of the mountains where the observation post sits. Russia is steadily building up military bases and its nuclear arsenal in the Arctic.

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Capt. Sigurd Harsheim stands at the base of the mountains where the observation post sits. Russia is steadily building up military bases and its nuclear arsenal in the Arctic.

Claire Harbage/NPR

The heavily militarized Kola Peninsula is also a base for the Russian navy’s Northern Fleet, says Thomas Nilsen, a journalist who covers the region for the Independent Barents Observer online newspaper, based in Kirkenes, Norway.

“This is the home of the nuclear-powered submarines. This is the home of the [Russian] Spetsnaz special marine forces,” Nilsen says. He says the Kola Peninsula is also a key training area for Russia’s new weapons such as nuclear-powered cruise missiles and the nuclear-powered underwater drone.

Nilsen says Russia’s buildup is due in part to its deteriorated trust with the West and to protecting military assets in the High North, including its natural resources. Ninety percent of Russia’s natural gas exports come from Yamal Peninsula in the Arctic.

“We always have to remember that for Russia, the Arctic is economically and enormously important,” Nilsen says. “So the Arctic has a much stronger role in Russia’s national thinking than in any of the other Arctic states, including Norway.”

The Russian government, meanwhile, has long expressed concerns about NATO’s expansion near its borders. In June 2018, the Russian Embassy in Oslo complained that a Norwegian request for more U.S. troops “could cause growing tensions, triggering an arms race and destabilizing the situation in northern Europe.”

Still, the extent of Moscow’s aggression in the region has taken Western nations by surprise. In the years after the 1989 fall of the Berlin Wall and the end of the Cold War, the U.S. and NATO shuttered Arctic bases and moved weaponry and other assets out of the region. The Arctic region was peaceful, as Russia stopped being a concern, says Col. Joern Erik Berntsen, the commander of Norway’s Finnmark Land Defense. That changed in 2014 when Russia annexed Crimea.

Two privates walk on the mountain just outside the border post.

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Two privates walk on the mountain just outside the border post.

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“The operations in the Ukraine was kind of a game-changer for NATO and for us,” he says. “The security situation in the world has definitely changed; we are more or less back where we were before the fall of the wall.”

Berntsen says after Russia’s actions in Crimea, Norway needed to reexamine its security situation. It went on a buying spree, acquiring submarines from Germany and dozens of F-35 fighter jets from the United States. Norway is also rebuilding and rearming some of its own bases.

One of those is Porsangermoen, the world’s northernmost military camp, set among rolling hills and ponds in the county of Finnmark. In October, about 1,400 Norwegian troops carried out military exercises at the camp. There was snow on the ground, and a cold wind sliced through layers of clothing. Part of their training was how to fight under winter conditions.

Snow falls on artillery battery near the Porsangermoen military base, where soldiers participate in military exercises in northern Norway. It is the world’s northernmost military camp.

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Snow falls on artillery battery near the Porsangermoen military base, where soldiers participate in military exercises in northern Norway. It is the world’s northernmost military camp.

Claire Harbage/NPR

“Fighting during winter conditions is probably the hardest you can do,” says Platoon Commander Lt. Benjamin Thompson. “That demands a lot of training.”

Thompson, wearing a partially white camouflage uniform, says he has also had to train U.S. troops that have been rotating into the country over the past couple of years. The U.S. has hundreds of service members, mainly Marines, stationed farther south in Norway.

Platoon Commander Lt. Benjamin Thompson at Norway’s military base. “Fighting during winter conditions is probably the hardest you can do,” he said.

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Platoon Commander Lt. Benjamin Thompson at Norway’s military base. “Fighting during winter conditions is probably the hardest you can do,” he said.

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“They were struggling in the beginning but after a while they became really good and learned a lot of important things to do during wintertime to be able to survive,” he says.

Norway has lobbied the U.S. and other NATO allies for a stronger presence and more military exercises in the Arctic. Last year, Norway was the key staging ground for Trident Juncture, one of the NATO’s biggest military exercises since 2002.

Two years ago, NATO reestablished an Arctic command, now out of Norfolk, Va., and the U.S. Navy recommissioned the 2nd Fleet to counter Russian activity in the North Atlantic.

Norway’s defense minister, Bakke-Jensen, is pleased. “We have been working through NATO and with the U.S. to bring attention back to the North Atlantic, to these areas,” he tells NPR. “We are satisfied with the new command structure; we are satisfied with the command control in Norfolk.”

In September, the U.S. flew a B-2 stealth bomber over the Arctic. James Townsend, who spent two decades working on NATO policy at the U.S. Department of Defense, says the mission helped send a signal to the Russians.

“The B-2 was showing that we can fly up there and showing the Russians that we will fly up there,” he says. “It was a training thing on the one hand, but it’s also a deterrent message to the Russians too.”

Townsend, now with the Center for a New American Security, says it is important for the U.S. to know what’s going on in the Arctic, but not get spooked by Russia’s buildup.

“What we don’t want to do is to back into a military conflict or military arms race, or back into militarization of the Arctic if we don’t have to,” he says.

In October, about 1,400 Norwegian troops carried out military exercises at the camp. Part of their training was how to fight under winter conditions.

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In October, about 1,400 Norwegian troops carried out military exercises at the camp. Part of their training was how to fight under winter conditions.

Claire Harbage/NPR

Berntsen of the Finnmark Ground Defense says too large a U.S. military presence in the Arctic could provoke Russia. For now, he says, it is best to build up Norway’s forces and be ready to defend itself from its eastern neighbor.

Source Article from https://www.npr.org/2019/11/03/775155057/in-a-remote-arctic-outpost-norway-keeps-watch-on-russias-military-buildup

“Today’s decision highlights the urgency of blocking this health care ban before it causes irreparable damage to our community and those we serve,” Carmen Rubio, executive director of Latino Network, said in a statement. “We know that our fight is far from over, we will be steadfast in our work to ensure that we end family separation, ensure the dignity and rights of our community are respected, and hold this administration accountable to our nation’s constitution.”

Source Article from https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2019/11/03/judge-temporarily-blocks-trump-order-requiring-would-be-immigrants-prove-they-have-health-insurance/

WASHINGTON — Exactly one year out from the 2020 general election, a majority of all Americans — or close to it — support impeaching President Donald Trump and removing him from office, disapprove of his job performance and back his top Democratic rivals in head-to-head matchups.

Those are the findings from the latest national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, which was conducted amid the House Democrats’ impeachment inquiry against the president, after Trump’s decision to withdraw U.S. troops from Syria, and after the military raid that killed the leader of ISIS.

Despite those grim numbers for Trump, the poll also contains silver linings for the president, including more than 50 percent who approve of his handling of the economy and a GOP base that remains loyal to him, with nine-in-10 Republicans opposing his removal from office. That party support is a crucial factor given that an impeachment conviction in the Senate requires a two-thirds vote.

“At this very early stage of the impeachment inquiry the data suggest a path for victory for Trump with the judges in the Senate,” said Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt of Hart Research, who conducted this survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff at Public Opinion Strategies.

“But there’s a much more challenging road ahead come next November with the judges at the ballot box,” Horwitt added.

In the poll, 53 percent of Americans say they approve of the impeachment inquiry regarding Trump’s actions with Ukraine’s president, while 44 percent disapprove.

The results largely break along partisan lines, with 89 percent of Democrats and 58 percent of independents supporting the inquiry — versus just 9 percent of Republicans who agree.

Then asked if Trump should be impeached and removed from office, 49 percent answer yes, while 46 percent say no.

That’s a reversal from a month ago, when the survey found the numbers essentially flipped — 43 percent yes, 49 percent no.

The increase in those supporting removal from office comes mainly from Democrats and independents.

And once again, the partisan divide here is striking: 88 percent of Democrats now support Trump’s impeachment and removal from office, compared with 90 percent of Republicans who oppose it.

Independents are split, with 43 percent supporting Trump’s removal and 46 percent opposing it.

The bad news for Trump heading into the 2020 election

A year away from the 2020 general election, the NBC/WSJ poll contains other ominous signs for the president.

Fifty-three percent of Americans disapprove of hisjob performance, including 45 percent who say they strongly disapprove.

That’s compared with 45 percent who approve, including 31 percent who do so strongly.

These numbers are essentially unchanged from the last month and over the past year.

“These are the same exact numbers we’ve been seeing,” said McInturff, the GOP pollster.

By party, 91 percent of Republicans approve of his job, versus just 6 percent of Democrats and 38 percent of independents.

In addition, half of Americans — 50 percent — say they have no confidence that Trump has the right goals and policies to be president, compared with just 35 percent who say they are “extremely” or “quite” confident.

“What should trouble Donald Trump is both the size of the opposition to him and how locked in it is,” said Horwitt, the Democratic pollster.

And the president trails the leading Democratic candidates by nearly 10 points in hypothetical general-election matchups.

Former Vice President Joe Biden leads Trump by nine point among registered voters, 50 percent to 41 percent. Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., is ahead of him by eight points, 50 percent to 42 percent.

In a separate question, 46 percent of all registered voters say they are certain to vote against Trump in 2020, versus 34 percent who say they are certain to vote for him.

Seventeen percent — made up disproportionately of independents, soft Republicans and younger voters — say they might vote either way depending on the nominee.

On this same question in the Dec. 2011 NBC/WSJ poll, 34 percent said they were certain to vote for Barack Obama; 37 percent said they were certain to vote against him; and 27 percent said they could vote either way depending on the nominee.

The good news for Trump for 2020

Despite those challenging numbers for Trump, there are positive signs for him in the poll.

For starters, a majority of Americans — 52 percent — approve of his handling of the economy, which is higher than his overall job rating (45 percent) and his foreign-policy handling (41 percent).

Next, Republican voters are essentially tied with Democrats when it comes to expressing high interest in the upcoming election — which wasn’t the case at this stage in the 2018 midterms, when Democrats won control of the U.S. House of Representatives.

And, by a 40 percent-to-9 percent margin, Americans say that the death of ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi makes the United States safer rather than less safe.

By contrast, the public believes Trump’s decision to withdraw U.S. troops from northeastern Syria makes the United States less safe by a 35 percent-to-10 percent margin.

Biden, Warren, Sanders lead Democratic horserace

Turning to the contest for the Democratic presidential nomination, Joe Biden gets the support from 27 percent of Democratic primary voters in the new NBC/WSJ poll.

He’s followed by Elizabeth Warren at 23 percent and Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., at 19 percent.

After that, it’s South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 6 percent, Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., at 5 percent, Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., at 4 percent and entrepreneur Andrew Yang at 3 percent.

No other Democratic presidential candidate gets more than 2 percent support in the national poll.

In September’s NBC/WSJ poll, Biden was at 31 percent, Warren at 25 percent and Sanders at 14 percent.

More than eight-in-10 Democratic primary voters say they’re satisfied with their presidential field, with 31 percent saying they’re “very” satisfied and another 54 percent saying they’re “fairly” satisfied.

And 37 percent of Democratic primary voters say they prefer a candidate who will build on former President Barack Obama’s legacy, versus 55 percent who want a candidate who will take a new and different approach.

Biden (at 34 percent support) and Warren (24 percent) lead among the Democratic voters who want to build on Obama’s legacy.

And among the Democrats who want to go in a different direction, it’s Sanders (at 27 percent), Warren (22 percent) and Biden (20 percent).

The NBC/WSJ poll was conducted Oct. 27-30 of 900 adults — including more than half who were reached by cell phone – and the overall margin of error in the poll is plus-minus 3.3 percentage points.

The poll also surveyed 720 registered voters (a margin of error of plus-minus 3.7 percentage points) and 414 Democratic primary voters (plus-minus 4.8 percentage points).

Source Article from https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/nbc-wsj-poll-49-percent-now-back-trump-s-impeachment-n1075296

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Contra Costa County search and rescue officers approach the property in Orinda

Airbnb has said it will ban “party houses” after a mass shooting at a California home rented through the company left five people dead.

CEO Brian Chesky said in a tweet the company would take steps to “combat unauthorized parties and get rid of abusive host and guest conduct”.

“We must do better, and we will. This is unacceptable,” Mr Chesky added.

Three people died at the house, in the city of Orinda, near San Francisco, and two more died later in hospital.

The house was reportedly booked under a pretence for a small group, before being publicised on Instagram as the venue for a Halloween party which eventually drew a crowd of more than 100 people. The host did not authorise the party, Airbnb said.

All of those who died were under 30. The fifth victim died in hospital on Friday night. By Saturday, police had not arrested or identified any suspects. Officers said they found two guns at the house.

Mr Chesky said Airbnb would create a dedicated “party house” rapid response team and expand manual screening of high-risk reservations. The company, which is expected to float on the stock market in 2020, would also take action against users who violated its policies, he said.

Responding to the mass shooting, California Governor Gavin Newsom called for Congress to pass gun control legislation. “This will barely make the news today. That’s how numb we have become to this,” he said. “Our hearts are aching for the victims and all those affected by this horrific tragedy.”

Writing on Twitter on Saturday, Mr Chesky said: “What happened on Thursday night in Orinda, CA was horrible. I feel for the families and neighbors impacted by this tragedy – we are working to support them.”

Source Article from https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-50276485

A boat that has been grounded in shallow rapids near Niagara Falls since 1918 became dislodged on Halloween night and moved downriver about 150 feet.

The development was reported by Niagara Parks, an agency of the government of Ontario, Canada, in a video posted to social media on Friday. At the time, the boat was again grounded in a new location.

The agency says the boat, an iron dumping scow, became stuck after an incident on August 6, 1918, where the barge broke loose from a tugboat.

Two men were rescued in a joint effort between the U.S. Coast Guard and local authorities. The men opened dumping doors in the bottom of the barge in a successful attempt to slow the boat from being carried away by the current, the agency says.

Watch:Man survives going over Niagara Falls with ‘non-life threatening’ injuries

Since then, the boat has been remained about one-third of a mile from the edge of the Horseshoe Falls and about one-tenth of a mile from Canadian shores, according to the agency.

That is, until the night of Halloween, 2019.

Source Article from https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2019/11/02/iron-scow-niagara-falls-dislodged-severe-weather-after-101-years/4144104002/

Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenTrump: ‘I would love’ to host Ukrainian president at White House Second-tier Democrats face do-or-die phase Biden defends record after Warren attacks: I’m a ‘card-carrying Democrat’ MORE hammered Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenSecond-tier Democrats face do-or-die phase 2020 Dems target inequality with green plans Biden defends record after Warren attacks: I’m a ‘card-carrying Democrat’ MORE (D-Mass.) Saturday as the conflict between the two 2020 frontrunners continues to escalate. Biden defended his record as an unwavering Democrat who has been loyal to the party for many years after Warren criticized her opponent for his health care plan. 

“Yesterday, Elizabeth Warren suggested I was ‘running in the wrong presidential primary’ because I believe in building on Obamacare — not getting rid of it. That’s so wrong, it’s almost laughable. I’ve been a card-carrying Democrat since I was 27. And I am running for president because of my progressive record,” Biden wrote in an email to supporters, hitting Warren for registering as a Republican for years before becoming a Democrat. 

“If my opponents want to have a debate on what they’ve done to truly implement progressive, meaningful change in our country — not what they’re planning, not what they’re proposing, but what they’ve accomplished — I welcome it,” he added, swiping at Warren’s “I’ve got a plan for that” mantra. “But to hurl insults because we don’t share the same approach for the best way to get to the same goal…well that is something I would expect in the other primary.” 

The email is the latest salvo in a burgeoning feud between the two Democrats as they battle for the helm of the crowded 2020 primary field. 

Biden slammed Warren’s “Medicare for All” plan Friday, saying that the plan’s proposed $9 trillion tax on employers would be passed off to companies’ employees.

“For months, Elizabeth Warren has refused to say if her health care plan would raise taxes on the middle class, and now we know why: because it does,” said Biden deputy campaign manager Kate Bedingfield. “Senator Warren would place a new tax of nearly $9 trillion that will fall on American workers.” 

Warren shot back that Biden was running in the wrong primary. 

“Democrats are not going to win by repeating Republican talking points and by dusting off the points of view of the giant insurance companies and the giant drug companies who don’t want to see any change in the law that will bite into their profits,” Warren fired back. 

“But if anyone wants to defend keeping those high profits for insurance companies and those high profits for drug companies and not making the top 1 percent pay a fair share in taxes and not making corporations pay a fair share in taxes, then I think they’re running in the wrong presidential primary,” she added.

Warren and Biden have swapped leads in national and early state polls with the Iowa caucuses less than 100 days away.

The feud underlines a broader schism within the Democratic Party between centrists and progressives. Biden, who hast sought to appeal to moderates, has slammed liberal policies as pie-in-the-sky ideas that would skyrocket taxes, while Warren, a longtime progressive, has argued that bold ideas are needed to shake up historical inequities in government policies.

Source Article from https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/468692-biden-defends-record-after-warren-attacks-im-a-card-carrying-democrat

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Reuters

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A US judge said the proposal would cause “irreparable harm” to families

A US judge has temporarily blocked a rule proposed by President Donald Trump that would require immigrants to prove they will have health insurance within 30 days of arrival in the US, or can pay for medical care.

Judge Michael Simon, a district judge in Oregon, granted a preliminary injunction against the proposal.

Seven American citizens and an NGO had filed a lawsuit opposing the rule.

They argued it would block hundreds of thousands of legal migrants.

The lawsuit said the number of immigrants who enter the US with family-sponsored visas would drop considerably, or be eliminated altogether.

Judge Simon said the potential damage to families justified a US-wide ban.

“Facing a likely risk of being separated from their family members and a delay in obtaining a visa to which family members would otherwise be entitled is irreparable harm,” his legal order read.

Media captionPresident Trump wants to move away from an immigration system that favours people with family ties to the US

Would-be immigrants had been struggling to establish how to get the required insurance coverage. The US healthcare system is complex, and has not generally catered to people yet to arrive there.

The policy is part of Mr Trump’s effort to shift the US away from a family-focused immigration system.

Judge Simon’s 28-day temporary restraining order will prevent the rule from coming into effect on 3 November, but the legal battle is likely to continue.

The Trump administration has argued that legal immigrants are about three times more likely to lack health insurance than US citizens, and that taxpayers should not bear their medical costs.

However, US policy experts say immigrants are less likely to use the healthcare system than American citizens.

Research from George Washington University found that recent immigrants without insurance made up less than a tenth of 1% of US medical fees in 2017.

Source Article from https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-50278527

Smuggling gangs in Mexico are reportedly using power tools to cut large holes in walls at the southern US-Mexico border, according to a new report from The Washington Post.

The steel-and-concrete portions of the walls, which President Donald Trump has touted as the solution to the flow of undocumented immigrants coming across the US-Mexico border, can be sawed apart with at least one commercially available cordless tool that retails for less than $100, according to the Post, which cites US border officials with knowledge of the damage.  

In addition to cutting through the walls, officials told the Post that smugglers have also repeatedly scaled and climbed over the walls with makeshift ladders, particularly in areas near San Diego. 

The report comes as the first and most detailed description of such breaches and says that the lack of government reporting means it is unclear how many times they have occurred. US Customs and Border Protection reportedly declined to provide further information about the number of wall breaches to the Post and had not yet fulfilled a Freedom of Information Act request seeking such data at the time of the report.

One factor of deterrent is electronic sensors that are yet to be added but could sense where and when the wall was damaged, triggering repairs. However, one former border chief said smugglers would likely eventually find a way around those as well.

The wall has been a costly and politically tense issue between lawmakers and Trump, after the president previously enacted what became the longest shutdown in government history when he did not relent in debates with lawmakers through December 2018 on his request for $5 billion to be allocated for the wall.

Despite the president’s repeated pushes for the wall, environmental and immigration experts have expressed doubts about its possible effects on nearby areas and its overall efficacy. CBP officials were vocal during Trump’s weighing of different designs that a solid concrete wall wouldn’t be beneficial to agents who ideally would be able to see through to the other side.




According to the Post’s report, smugglers are exploiting the “bollard” style design that the administration eventually settled on, which has been described as part of a “border wall system” as agents insisted a wall alone couldn’t safeguard the border.

NBC News reported in January 2019 that a test of a steel bollard wall in Trump’s chosen design by the Department of Homeland Security showed the wall could be sawed through.

Photos of the breaches were not included in a redacted version of an internal February 2018 US Customs and Border Protection report that mentioned the faults, NBC reported, and Trump denied the validity of the photos, saying it was “a wall designed by previous administrations,” though the one in question was made under his administration. 

Source Article from https://www.aol.com/article/news/2019/11/02/smugglers-are-reportedly-cutting-holes-in-trumps-newly-constructed-border-wall-with-saws-and-power-tools/23852359/

“It puts Arizona out of sync with everybody else,” Dr. Prerau said.

Hawaii’s choice against observing daylight saving time causes less disruption than Arizona’s given that it is isolated from other states and near the Equator, where the sunrises and sunsets don’t vary much.

Several overseas territories, including American Samoa, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico and the United States Virgin Islands also do not observe daylight saving time.

And many other states are pushing to drop daylight saving time all together. Over the past few years states including Ohio, Illinois, Michigan, Alaska, Texas, Utah and Washington have pushed back against daylight saving time.

But others have fought to permanently stay in daylight saving time. Proposals have been filed in Florida, Idaho, Oregon and New Mexico.

“We’re marching away from that uniformity, which could wreak havoc on all the systems that rely on synchronized time,” Professor Schermerhorn said.

There is support for getting rid of the time changes. Seven in 10 Americans would rather not have to switch their clocks twice a year, according to a poll by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research released this week.

What is less clear is whether they want to stay on standard time year round, or daylight time. Four in 10 Americans would like to stay on standard time, the poll found, while about three in 10 prefer full-time daylight time.

Even if everyone was on the same page with daylight saving, there would still be temporal fissures across the nation, with 14 states split by two different time zones. There are even some instances of towns which recognize time zones unofficially, such as Kenton, Okla., in the western edge of the Panhandle. Officially, it’s on Central Time, but the town informally follows Mountain Time to be in sync with New Mexico, which is only three miles away.

Source Article from https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/02/us/daylight-saving-time-doughnut.html

Firefighters Saturday continued to get the upper hand on destructive fires across California.

• The Kincade fire, which has burned 77,000 acres and destroyed 350 structures in Northern California’s wine country, was 72% contained.

• The Maria fire, which has burned nearly 10,000 acres and several structures in rural Ventura County was 30% contained. All evacuations have been lifted.

• The Easy fire in Simi Valley was 95% contained after burning 1,845 acres.

The Maria fire, for which evacuation orders are still in effect, remains the biggest concern, with hundreds of firefighters still on the scene.

Offshore wind gusts of 20 to 30 mph and humidity below 5% continued to hinder efforts to control the fire Saturday morning, but a shift to weaker onshore wind was expected by midday, said Ryan Kittell, a meteorologist for the National Weather Service in Ventura County.

The moister ocean breezes were expected to be about 10 mph and would raise humidity to 20% to 30%, Kittell said.

The wind shift would be good news for firefighters but could also pose problems by pushing the flames in different directions, Kittell said.

“The plans for the shift can be challenging,” he said.

Red flag warnings remain in effect until 6 p.m. Saturday, but would probably not be required after that, Kittell said.

Drier offshore winds were expected to return later Saturday or early Sunday but at speeds of 10 to 20 mph and with humidity of about 10%.

A spokesman for the Ventura County Fire Department said the Maria fire was still only 20% contained late Saturday morning and still threatened 2,500 homes.

Evacuation orders were lifted in parts of Santa Paula.

The cause of the fire is unknown. But Southern California Edison told regulators Friday that it had reenergized a 16,000-volt power line 13 minutes before the fire broke out. Edison had earlier turned off the line due to heavy winds.

Edison has also reported to regulators that its lines might have been involved in the Easy fire as well as the Saddleridge fire that swept the northern San Fernando Valley two weeks ago.

Red flag warnings indicating extreme fire danger remain in effect til 6 p.m. Saturday for the Los Angeles and Ventura county mountains, including the Maria fire area.

Source Article from https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2019-11-02/firefighters-finally-get-handle-on-wildfires-burning-across-california

It is often said that the road to hell is paved with good intentions. Nonetheless, Senate Republicans are increasingly aiming to change the focus of the impeachment inquiry into Donald Trump’s Ukraine dealings to the executive’s intent, rather than his actions.

Trump is being investigated by the House for allegedly withholding funds from Ukraine in exchange for a personal favor. Based on the record of a phone call he disclosed, he asked Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky to investigate his political rival Joe Biden, a 2020 presidential candidate and former vice president. Trump has continually said, however, that there was no “quid pro quo,” meaning that he didn’t withhold the funds in order to force Ukraine’s hand.

But at least six people who’ve testified before House investigators have said otherwise. Acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney publicly admitted to a quid pro quo last month, saying it was entirely legitimate to condition foreign aid. He then tried to walk back his assertions.

Now, it seems that Mulvaney’s perspective could save the president if the House votes on articles of impeachment and Trump is brought to trial in the Senate.

The Washington Post reports that at a lunch for Republican senators this week, there was much discussion of admitting quid pro quo. Rather than continuing to deny that the president premised aid on a favor, GOP lawmakers—who will serve as jurors in a possible Senate trial—are leaning toward saying it did happen, but that there’s no problem with it.

Louisiana’s John Neely Kennedy advanced a similar view in an interview with the publication, stating, “To me, this entire issue is gonna come down to, why did the president ask for an investigation. To me, it all turns on intent, motive…Did the president have a culpable state of mind?”

Kennedy is using the language of criminal law, laying the groundwork to justify a finding that Trump is not guilty of an impeachable offense. Mens rea, Latin for “state of mind,” is one of two elements of a crime. It asks whether defendants had the requisite intent for conviction. To prove most crimes, prosecutors must show the defendant committed a proscribed act and did so with a guilty mind—ill intent—with the exception of a very few strict liability offenses, like statutory rape.

For example, if someone is charged with murder but was involved in an accidental death, the defendant wouldn’t have the requisite intent to be convicted. But if the same person was charged with manslaughter for the same act, they could be found guilty if the accident happened due to their negligence because the level of intent that must be shown is different.

When it comes to quid pro quo for foreign aid, the president’s defenders are saying that the real question isn’t whether he conditioned it on Ukraine doing a favor—because aid is often conditional—but on whether that favor was requested on behalf of the nation because Trump is fighting corruption or because his own intentions were corrupt and he sought to personally benefit. With this, they make the case a little more nuanced and harder to prove than just showing the president made moves to withhold money while asking for a favor.

Trump, for his part, is keeping it simple, unlike Republican senators shifting the spin on quid pro quo so that they can plausibly find him not guilty. In a tweet on Nov. 1, the president issued a short defense, declaring, “You can’t Impeach someone who hasn’t done anything wrong!”

Source Article from https://qz.com/1740961/why-trumps-state-of-mind-will-be-key-in-impeachment/

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EPA

Image caption

Contra Costa County search and rescue officers approach the property in Orinda

Airbnb has said it will ban “party houses” after a mass shooting at a California home rented through the company left five people dead.

CEO Brian Chesky said in a tweet the company would take steps to “combat unauthorized parties and get rid of abusive host and guest conduct”.

“We must do better, and we will. This is unacceptable,” Mr Chesky added.

Three people died at the house, in the city of Orinda, near San Francisco, and two more died later in hospital.

The house was reportedly booked under a pretence for a small group, before being publicised on Instagram as the venue for a Halloween party which eventually drew a crowd of more than 100 people. The host did not authorise the party, Airbnb said.

All of those who died were under 30. The fifth victim died in hospital on Friday night. By Saturday, police had not arrested or identified any suspects. Officers said they found two guns at the house.

Mr Chesky said Airbnb would create a dedicated “party house” rapid response team and expand manual screening of high-risk reservations. The company, which is expected to float on the stock market in 2020, would also take action against users who violated its policies, he said.

Responding to the mass shooting, California Governor Gavin Newsom called for Congress to pass gun control legislation. “This will barely make the news today. That’s how numb we have become to this,” he said. “Our hearts are aching for the victims and all those affected by this horrific tragedy.”

Writing on Twitter on Saturday, Mr Chesky said: “What happened on Thursday night in Orinda, CA was horrible. I feel for the families and neighbors impacted by this tragedy – we are working to support them.”

Source Article from https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-50276485

An air tanker drops retardant as the Maria Fire approaches Santa Paula, Calif., on Friday.

Noah Berger/AP


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An air tanker drops retardant as the Maria Fire approaches Santa Paula, Calif., on Friday.

Noah Berger/AP

Firefighters continue to combat a fire northwest of Los Angeles, as most fires that ravaged California over the past two weeks are now more than 70% contained, according to the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection. But reports of drones in airspace that is being used by first responders have slowed the response.

The outbreak of the Maria Fire on Thursday night added a new chapter in the state’s ongoing struggles with destructive wind-whipped blazes, widespread evacuation orders and discontent over power shut-offs by Pacific Gas & Electric. The situation has forced Gov. Gavin Newsom to expand the state of emergency in Sonoma and Los Angeles counties to the entire state.

The Maria Fire, near the cities of Ventura and Oxnard outside of Los Angeles, is only 20% contained after erupting on top of South Mountain and burning over 9,000 acres. Cal Fire has joined command with the Ventura County Fire Department and the county sheriff’s office to fight the fires. The state has also secured a federal grant from the Federal Emergency Management Agency to assist the agencies, Newsom announced Friday.

The utility company Southern California Edison said it had reenergized a power line near the area of the reported location of the fire 13 minutes before it started.

Two separate instances of drone flights disrupted water-dropping helicopters from attempting structure protection in the nearby city of Santa Paula, Ventura County Fire Department spokesman Mike DesForges said.

“The helicopters had to set down for 30 to 40 minutes each time,” DesForges said. “The drones are difficult to see and they can be pushed by winds very easily. If they strike one of our helicopters, they could cause it to crash, and if not, we would still need to land that helicopter to perform repairs.”

Evacuation orders are still in effect for much of the affected area. Power is shut off to 180 Southern California Edison customers in Ventura County, and seven school districts in the area are closed. The National Weather Service has extended a red flag warning through 6 p.m. on Saturday for the areas in and around the Maria Fire, meaning weather conditions in the valleys and mountains of Ventura and Los Angeles Counties are still ripe for another dangerous fire.

Despite the warning, DesForges said the efforts to contain the Maria Fire were proceeding smoothly.

“We’re getting good progress. We’re definitely taking advantage of that before another weather system hits.”

Justo and Bernadette Laos hug while looking through the charred remains of the home they rented that was destroyed by the Kincade Fire near Geyserville, Calif.

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Justo and Bernadette Laos hug while looking through the charred remains of the home they rented that was destroyed by the Kincade Fire near Geyserville, Calif.

Charlie Riedel/AP

In Northern California, the Kincade Fire, the largest fire of the current active incidents, is now 72% contained after burning through more than 77,000 acres over 10 days. On Oct. 24, PG&E reported that one of its transmission towers may have been the source of the fire. A windstorm that began Tuesday evening fueled the blaze, expanding its perimeter. The fire has destroyed at least 360 structures and injured four first responders west of Sacramento.

“It was a wind-driven episode,” Scott McLean, Cal Fire information officer, said. “We watched the weather very religiously, so we’ll staff up the areas that are predicted to be affected. We brought in extra aircraft and moved fire equipment from other parts of the state that were not affected by these fires.”

“The weather is definitely cooperating, and it sounds like it’ll be that way for the next week, at least,” McLean said.

McLean said there had been rumors of drones above the Kincade Fire, as well.

“Our aircraft are coming in low, 150 to 200 feet off the ground, and you’re having them fly through mountainous topography, not a simple straight line,” McLean said. “One, you have no time to react, and two, you have no time to avoid it in any way, because what are you going to run into if you do? Whether that be a tree or a hillside, it’s a very dynamic situation.” McLean added that if those flying the drones are caught, his department would pursue all legal actions available against the individuals.

“It’s a safety issue. If they collide with an aircraft, it could go into the windscreen or a motor or a fixed wing. It’s not a game,” McLean said. In 2015, the California legislature made it law that firefighters could not be held liable for destroying drones that impeded their ability to respond to an emergency.

McLean said Cal Fire is sticking to its original target of full containment of the Kincade Fire by Thursday, but added that even after the fires are contained, firefighters will have to contend with the consequences of such a devastating fire.

“We’ll still have resources doing fire suppression repair and provide for any erosion situations. With the grass and the brush, their roots hold the soil together in those hilly areas, so we’ll have crews for quite some time working in those areas, and others patrolling.”

The other four fires in Southern California listed as active incidents are 95% or more contained, except for the Getty Fire in western Los Angeles, where the Los Angeles Fire Department is reporting 79% containment but has lifted evacuation orders.

Northern and Central California residents still face power shutoffs from PG&E. The company’s preemptive blackouts have drawn harsh criticism from lawmakers and customers. PG&E, which filed for bankruptcy in January after facing potential liabilities of $30 billion in its role causing the state’s 2018 wildfires, has stalled in negotiations of its bankruptcy case. Newsom threatened a state takeover of the struggling utility company if no progress is made soon, as California residents have contended with preemptive power shutoffs that have threatened lives.

“While this week showed how California is leading the world in wildfire prevention and response, PG&E presented the opposite portrait,” Newsom said in a Medium post yesterday. “Long and widespread blackouts highlighted their culture of ineptitude — a behemoth that was slow to act and resistant to change.”

Alexander Tuerk is an intern at Here & Now.

Source Article from https://www.npr.org/2019/11/02/775705225/most-california-fires-over-70-contained-as-ventura-firefighters-contend-with-dro